2017 Six-Pick Week 4

An even worse week than last week awaits us, with loser-leaves-town matches going on at a couple of venues this Saturday. Again no perfect picks last week; since the odds of 8-for-8 are 1 in 256 (I finally get some real-world use out of my Discrete Math class), you'd think we would have had somebody get them all now. Several got 7-of-8. Not me, as the law of averages drives me back to 12-12 on the season.

Remember, you make your picks at CBSSports.com (LINKY HERE).

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 23
Texas A&M (-3) at Arkansas
Factoid #1: An uptick in sales of Duluth Trading's Armachillo Cooling Cargo Pants in College Station this season was brought on by Kevin Sumlin's absurdly hot seat.
Factoid #2: Bret Bielema is on the rules committee, which is worth at least +1 in turnover margin per game.
PICK: Neither of these teams makes you feel very confident here. I'll take A&M.

Factoid #1: Since the start of 2013, NC State has a total of 2 wins over P5 teams that finished the year with a winning record. Pictured: their typical behavior in their losses.
Factoid #2: Colorado State has already played 4 games going into the weekend, while FSU has played only 1.
PICK: This is FSU's first game without Deondre Francois, but it won't matter because NC State has hit their ceiling under Dave Doeren. FSU covers.

Michigan (-10) at Purdue
Factoid #1: Michigan has gained 1 yard or less on 43 of their 88 first down plays on offense.
Factoid #2: Purdue is one of the few schools bold enough to name their team after an alcoholic drink. Kudos to them.

PICK: This looks like quite the little trap for Michigan, with Mike Hart's favorite little brother up for them next week. I'm taking a greatly improved Purdue team to cover, and wouldn't be surprised if they spring the upset.

Mississippi State at Georgia (-5)
Factoid #1: MSU pounded LSU last week, just their third win over LSU since 1992.
Factoid #2: Kirby Smart indicated QB Jacob Eason may have lost his starting job due to injury Tuesday. Don't see that one too often.

PICK: I believe MSU's better this year, but not as good as they looked against an LSU team that'll underachieve. Georgia covers.

Florida (-3) at Kentucky
Factoid #1: Florida's last-second TD against Tennessee last week was their first completion over 10 yards the entire game.
Factoid #2: Kentucky has somehow appeared in the top 8 games two weeks in a row. Like, Kentucky football. Huh.
PICK: Florida gets caught on the road against an improved Kentucky squad.

Penn State (-10) at Iowa
Factoid #1: Penn State RB Saquon Barkley returns after calling out Iowa's defense following last year's game.
Factoid #2: Kirk Ferentz is the longest tenured coach in FBS, having taken over from Craig T. Nelson after his show was cancelled.

PICK: While I'd love to take Iowa here, they're well on their way to a typical 8-4 finish and can spare this loss. Penn State covers.

Notre Dame (-4) at Michigan State
Factoid #1: Did you know this is a trophy game? They apparently play for a megaphone. Midwest rivalries are weird.
Factoid #2: This is the last time Michigan State will play Notre Dame until 2026. Conference realignment is gross sometimes.

PICK: I wonder if Mark Dantonio hasn't entered late Beamer territory. Give me Notre Dame.

UCLA at Stanford (-7)
Factoid #1: UCLA managed to lose as a ranked team to a G5 team last week (Memphis).
Factoid #2: Stanford managed to lose as a ranked team to a G5 team last week (San Diego State). Plus the lights went out.

PICK: Stanford's loss can be excused as a hangover, but Memphis actually looked like the better team vs. UCLA. I'll take Stanford and lay the points.

DRINK OF THE WEEK:

I've always liked Gentleman Jack, the mellower, less bar-fight oriented version of it's older brother Jack Daniels. The fact that they had it on sale for $28 at my local liquor store made it a must-get this week. Come to think of it, I've never seen it at a discount before anywhere. Is it not as popular as I thought it was?

Remember, we're making our picks on CBSSports.com (LINKY HERE), though feel free to let everybody know what the correct answers will be in the comments.

DISCLAIMER: Forum topics may not have been written or edited by The Key Play staff.

Comments

So the drink of the week made me wonder:

What is the bourbon of choice amongst TKP'ers this year? I usually pick out a bourbon that is my 'season's choice' - this year, I went with John J. Bowman

Good choice. The GF and I usually drink Woodford (found me a winner) until I stumbled (pun intended) upon this gem:

"What kind of person would throw away a perfectly good dog?"

Good choice. I almost picked up a bottle of Small Batch before the GJ sale caught my eye.

That Single Barrel is some great stuff. I also love Blanton's Single Barrel and Noah's Mill by Willet.

"That move was slicker than a peeled onion in a bowl of snot." -Mike Burnop

Yes! Love me some Blanton's. How many letters of the horse's back right foot have you got?

"What kind of person would throw away a perfectly good dog?"

Y'all need to live where Costco has a liquor section. I always have this on hand thanks to the DC Costco.

Excellent choice! I managed to win the ABC's lottery to purchase the Abraham Bowman limited edition bourbon for this year. I'm very much looking forward to cracking that one open, if I don't get talked into selling it. They make good stuff there.

“You got one guy going boom, one guy going whack, and one guy not getting in the endzone.”
― John Madden (describing VT's offense?)

What is the bourbon of choice

Yes.

Had no idea Marshall Erickson's dad was on Coach. Also just hit me that the Ericksons are huge Vikings fans. Ericksons...Vikings. Like that famous Viking dude.

"I'm a Miller Lite guy, always have been, since I was 8." -John Daly

Beer of the week: I'll be spending Saturday on Lake Anna. Gotta stay hydrated

After I graduate from Iowa, I'm heading to Michigan State for a Master's, then will follow that up with a PhD at UCLA. I'll be too tired for further schooling after that.

Stomp Loluva

The inclusion of UCLA almost makes the exclusion of the Song Girls USC bearable.

Take the shortest route to the ball and arrive in bad humor.

Arkansas ... SEC is poop, so basically going to take home dogs, unless it's neKtucky
Michigan ... everyone is calling for Purdue to sneak up on Michigan, Harbaugh will have his team ready now
Georgia ... that Dawg D is legit, O will be better at home
Florida ... i know the gators are poop and neKtucky just won against a solid sakerlina team, but it's a fluke until they win 2 in a row
Penn State ... Iowa isn't ready for a team that can score like this
Michigan State ... because MSU handles ND on the reg
Stanford ... both are disappointing, but i expect Stanford to ugly it up with #manball

BotW:
Tha Answer TDH Calculated Risk
- triple dry hopped 100% Mosaic hopped Triple IPA

***

Tailgate/Fan Pic of the Week:
2 for 1 ... I am guessing these fine ladies didn't come in the special neKtucky short bus.

The Answer's DDH and TDH beers are Nectar of the Gods

I'll have to try that one. I've been on a bit of a stout craze lately and picked up a six pack of the Commodore Stout at Ballast Point in Daleville several weeks ago. I highly recommend it for any Stout TKP drinkers out there. It's not part of my September/October tailgate lineup, but come November it'll have its place. Now that our annual matchup with Eastern Carolina has sadly come and gone, I can look past the fact that the label has a pirate skeleton donning ECU colors...

"What kind of person would throw away a perfectly good dog?"

i drink stouts pretty often, prolly a few more weeks until it really moves into high gear.

BCO, what's a few of your favorite stouts? I'm just getting my feet (and lips) wet with them and need some good recommendations.

"What kind of person would throw away a perfectly good dog?"

We lips and wet feet? That's pretty kinky. Are you sure you aren't Rex Ryan?

"What kind of person would throw away a perfectly good dog?"

that's a loaded question, so lets break it down ...
a) want a drinkable 6-8% stout or something closer to 10% or above that you chew on?
b) do you like other flavors, say coffee, cinnamon, vanilla, peanut butter etc?
c) a lot of this varies depending on where you live and distro and how hard you want to work to get it i.e. mostly grocery store, or total wine, or small craft beer shop or go to the brewery or be totally in it like a moron and chase beer
d) there are no wrong answers to this. plenty of really good beer, that is attainable out there that will be in your wheelhouse ... also plenty of trash too.

Here's a list of a few that you can get locally at good bottle shops. And maybe even Kroger in VA. They vary across them, but all are great stouts and will give you a great feel for the styles.
Sierra Nevada Narwhal
Oskar Blues Ten Fidy
Duck Rabbit
Founders Breakfast
Stone Woot Stout

I'm a man! I'm 44! Hokie thru and thru.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

I love the Duck Rabbit Milk Stout if that's what you're referring to. Founder's Breakfast was pretty good. I'll have to try the others, thanks.

"What kind of person would throw away a perfectly good dog?"

If you want to jump into the deep end with something that is readily available, get a bottle of the Dogfish World Wide Stout. The version out now is oak aged with vanilla. Start with one...it's @17%

I'm a man! I'm 44! Hokie thru and thru.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

a) Unless I'm watching Christmas Vacation or Home Alone by the fire, I'd prefer a drinkable (6-8%) stout.
b) Coffee and cinnamon
c) Where I live, we've got a great selection at the big grocery stores and 2 solid craft beer stores, so sourcing isn't really an issue. If they don't have it, they'll order it directly most of the time.
d) E, All of the Above

"What kind of person would throw away a perfectly good dog?"

The best ones probably aren't quite in-season yet and I don't know how far out some of these places get distro, but here are some of my favorites.

Three Notch'd Biggie S'mores 8.4%
Brothers Resolute 13.5% (There's a Coconut version that's amazing, if you're lucky enough to get your hands on some.)
Alewerks Cafe Royale 8%
Hardywood Gingerbread Stout 10.2%

Edit: Also, pretty much anything on tap at Blue Mountain Barrel House

Am I the only one who doesn't like Hardywood's Gingerbread stout? I used to love it when it first came out, but I think it's insanely sweet and overly spiced now.

"That move was slicker than a peeled onion in a bowl of snot." -Mike Burnop

It has definitely gone downhill since they started the semi large-scale production of it, but I think it was still solid. I definitely like the barrel aged versions of it better these days when that wasn't always the case

Good recommendations; Blue Mountain Barrel House is great, love that place.

"What kind of person would throw away a perfectly good dog?"

stout season is coming ...
for the most part they seem to making more of the higher abv ones. i recommend going to total wine or grocery store and buying a mix six and seeing which you like best.

good suggestions above. also, old rasputin is worth a look, it's bigger at 9%, but it's sold yr round is pretty fantastic.

big fan of cafe royale.

Samuel Smith's Organic Chocolate Stout smells like dark chocolate and a little bit of butter (byproduct from the yeast they use). It's delicious and only about 5%. You can normally find it in craft beer stores and sometimes a big Kroger.

"That move was slicker than a peeled onion in a bowl of snot." -Mike Burnop

That glass is awesome.

street value for that glass is over $100

that.glass.is.amazing.

need.

Arkansas
FSU
Michigan
Muhssippi St
UK
Penn State
Michigan St
Stanford

"How the ass pocket will be used, I do not know. Alls I know is, the ass pocket will be used."
- The BoD

Texas A&M
NC State (covering)
Purdue (upset)
Miss. St (covering)
Florida
Iowa (covering)
MSU (covering)
UCLA (upset)

I'm a big fan of the Gentleman but right now I'm on a Basil Hayden kick

This is an acceptable answer.

am I the only one that is kinda' meh on bH?

FTW, and spectacular for the price point.

I'm a man! I'm 44! Hokie thru and thru.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

Well, yeah. It's just never in stock here.

I'm really interested to see how the NC State - FSU game unfolds. For some reason, the 12 point line and FPI of 86% in favor of FSU seems a bit high without them playing in two weeks and still breaking in James Blackman at QB, who hasn't even thrown a collegiate pass (link below). I could see FSU playing flat while they get the rust off or come out swinging hard. Neither would really surprise me, but this could be a lot closer than some people think.

http://www.tallahassee.com/story/sports/college/fsu/football/2017/09/04/...

"What kind of person would throw away a perfectly good dog?"

Agreed. Depending on what the +12 pays out, I'm probably gonna hammer that bet hard

Texas A&M
NC State
Purdue
Miss. St
Florida
Penn St
MSU
Stanford

Beer of the week: I'll be celebrating Cantillon's Zwanze Day on Saturday by enjoying their Oolong infused 2 year old lambic!

"That move was slicker than a peeled onion in a bowl of snot." -Mike Burnop

Are the week one results ever going to make it into the CBS picks or do they not allow for that? If not, it's fairly easy to export the CBS picks to excel. Not everyone has changed their CBS names to their TKP username so matching up week 1 picks to the rest of the weeks is problematic.

Also, I am the king of slightly above average consistency (as far as I know, 5 in each of weeks 2 and 3).

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

They don't allow you to import them. I've got the Week 1 results in Excel, and yeah, most folks haven't changed their CBS user ID's. Not sure how we're going to match them up; maybe just post them here and let everybody match their own picks up? I'm open to suggestions.

Oi!! EVERYBODY CHANGE YOUR USER NAME ON CBS TO YOUR TKP USER NAME!

  1. Click on the link above.
  2. Then click options.
  3. Then change your name and hit save.
  4. Done-ski.

That's the only suggestion I have. Anyone who doesn't do it gets a goose-egg for week one.

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Also it can't be done on the app have to log into desktop version.

Wet stuff on the red stuff.

Join us in the Key Players Club

Where the hell were you when I was trying to figure this out for myself? Took me forever. I kept trying to do it from the account settings.

"How the ass pocket will be used, I do not know. Alls I know is, the ass pocket will be used."
- The BoD

took me quite a few tries myself.

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

It's almost like some jackass didn't break it down two weeks ago

I'm seeing a lot of words but no pictures...

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Touche. I should know better

I should have given you a shout out, because your comment did lead the way for me.

"How the ass pocket will be used, I do not know. Alls I know is, the ass pocket will be used."
- The BoD

Michigan
UGA
UF
PSU
MSU
UCLA

"You know when the Hokies say 'We are Virginia Tech' they're going to mean it."- Lee Corso

A&M only bc lol arkansas blew a 24-0 lead
NCSU bc they always show up for big games (but still lose)
Michigan bc purdue actually still kinda sux despite their past few performances
UGA bc idk
Florida...bc kentucky
Penn St bc that's easy
Notre Dame bc damn mich st get it together
UCLA bc they'll cover but still lose

I don't bourbon that classy so I'll stick with beer:

Bad Penny is by far my favorite by Big Boss out of Raleigh. Classic brown ale for the upcoming cooler weather.

A&M only bc lol arkansas blew a 24-0 lead

I guess you missed the game two weeks ago when A&M blew a 44-10 lead?

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

yeah that one was pretty funny too

this is the worst ive felt about my picks so far this year.

Party on

aTm
NCState
Purdue
Miss St. OUTRIGHT!
Florida
PSU
Mich St. Outright
UCLA

This is getting released on Saturday, so it will be Bingo for Saturday night.

I'm a man! I'm 44! Hokie thru and thru.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

I'm a man! I'm 44! Hokie thru and thru.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

I might get more of these wrong than last week and I forgot to submit my picks last week.

Did anyone get credit for last week? I see a column of 0's for week 3.

Also, this is definitely a bourbon week:

This is week 3. The first week on here isn't loaded in there yet.
(See above about matching name here and there.)

I'm a man! I'm 44! Hokie thru and thru.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

I knew the first week wasn't on there, but I think I got confused since the first week was really almost 2 weeks long, and this is week 5 in a way. I dunno, counting is hard.

Arguably the best "new" bourbon one tried, but almost $50 here.

I will never stop extolling the amazingness of DC Costco.

Went from second place in the pickem to zero-win week. Oof.

#thingsiblamethemvsfor

I broke my streak of 5 win weeks.

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Looks like CBS doesn't open up the games until Tuesday. I'll get a head start on the post and have them up tomorrow.