Paging Eshiben for NoVA storm guidance

It seems like the snow totals are all over the place depending on where each weather service has its rain/snow line. If I'm in Annandale, should I be stocking up on bourbon tonight?

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YES.

You don't need the weather report to answer that question.

"How the ass pocket will be used, I do not know. Alls I know is, the ass pocket will be used."
- The BoD

Snow is werid this year

Roses are red. FSU is ded

I appreciate all the support, and I appreciate all the hate I am getting. I will continue to work as hard as I can to be the best I can be and bring this team a championship. Go Hokies 🐔 - Josh Jackson

In all seriousness though... here is the dude I trust. Justin Berk. He is more accurate then most, and he is a private contractor that is paid to make decisions for companies, school systems etc. He doesn't get hyped up for big amounts for views.

My Call For Snowfall

I labeled this with letters to give each zone a description below. The + is the upside potential. That depends on how much can stick on Wednesday during the day. I went lower out of caution.

A: 8 to 14+ inches. Mostly Snow! Elevation will help stickage

B: 4 to 8+ inches. (Tuesday part will be 1 to 3 inches) Mostly snow or mix, but melting during the day. Road issues after 6 PM Tuesday into Wednesday. Snow during the day will add up a little. + Upside potential depends on how much can stick during the day. Icing up overnight into Thursday morning.

C: 3 to 6+ inches. The ground will be warmer so it will take longer to get stickage. Most accumulation of this amount of snow will be before 10 AM Wednesday. Snow during the day will be tough to accumulate. If it sticks during the day, amounts will be high +. Icing up overnight into Thursday morning.

D: 2 to 5+ inches. There will be snow here Wednesday. It will snow most of the day, but battle the sun and warm influence from the Bay. More snow will fall than can stick. There will be icing up by Thursday morning.

E: Slushy coating to 3 inches. This area will get snow most of Wednesday but most will stick on the grass. Might get Wednesday evening snow and possible freezing of ground into Thursday morning.

https://justinweather.com/

I appreciate all the support, and I appreciate all the hate I am getting. I will continue to work as hard as I can to be the best I can be and bring this team a championship. Go Hokies 🐔 - Josh Jackson

Click that link. Totals have gone up. Get your bourbon and bread.

I appreciate all the support, and I appreciate all the hate I am getting. I will continue to work as hard as I can to be the best I can be and bring this team a championship. Go Hokies 🐔 - Josh Jackson

Image result for panic and run gif

"We judge ourselves by our intentions and others by their behavior" Stephen M.R. Covey

“When life knocks you down plan to land on your back, because if you can look up, you can get up, if you fall flat on your face it can kill your spirit” David Wilson

That map picked some weird ass cities to use. No Arlington, Alexandria, Annandale , Reston, or Fairfax..... but they gave us Dale City, Clinton, St. Charles, Golden Beach, and Lexington Park.

Recruit Prosim

He's a Baltimore/York PA guy. Hence the focus on those cities.

I appreciate all the support, and I appreciate all the hate I am getting. I will continue to work as hard as I can to be the best I can be and bring this team a championship. Go Hokies 🐔 - Josh Jackson

I guess that makes sense, but just looking at the map, Alexandria seems closer and more relevant to Baltimore/Pa. than wherever Golden Beach is

Recruit Prosim

Ugh, welcome to spring.

If I'm in Annandale, should I be stocking up on bourbon tonight?

Yes. Actually:

If I'm in Annandale, should I be stocking up on bourbon tonight?

Yes. And also soju, but yes.

Id say that map above is pretty spot on. dc will start with rain but transition to snow and nastyness. expect about 4" of snow. the further into the VA you get the higher your totals will get. Good ole winchester can be looking at 10ish inches.

itll start tuesday morning turning to snow wed morning and tuesday night. if you want more specifics lmk

Taylor, looking desperately throws it deep..HAS A MAN OPEN DANNY COALE WITH A CATCH ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE FIVE!!!!....hes still open

Any thoughts on an early flight out of Dulles Thursday morning? Should I try to change and fly out of Charlotte? Driving up from Blacksburg Wednesday night is the plan right now.

mmmm thats cuttin it close what time tuesday? im no specialist on how quickly or early they shut down flights. but if its 8 or later id change to charolette

Taylor, looking desperately throws it deep..HAS A MAN OPEN DANNY COALE WITH A CATCH ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE FIVE!!!!....hes still open

Thanks for the info.

Appreciate your reports. For the record, I'm a bit of a weather geek (no offense intended) and although I'm completely uneducated with regard to weather science, I do enjoy the knowledge you drop in your posts so feel free to keep some of that in your future endeavors.

Not Dulles but Reagan National is already offering to change Wed/Thurs flights with no change fee.

My wife just shifted her & the kids trip to FL to today.

Run to Win. Pass To Score
Josh Jackson on Ricky Walker - ““He is the captain of this team, He’s the leader. He’s the bell cow, the Pail Holder.“

Once the snow starts falling is there any chance we can get a Facebook Live weather update from Mark in Winchester??

I thought Kevin was in Winchester? Anyway he/ they are both getting hammered right now.

Year 3 is coming up!

Now, when you say "hammered"....

#FUENTEenFUEGO
Waho's suck
Uva swallows

Snow which leads to the other!

Year 3 is coming up!

What about the NRV

Roses are red. FSU is ded

mostly just rain maybe an inch of snow or 2 but nothing substantial

Taylor, looking desperately throws it deep..HAS A MAN OPEN DANNY COALE WITH A CATCH ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE FIVE!!!!....hes still open

I'm so glad I no longer live somewhere where an inch or two of snow "is nothing substantial".

Wet stuff on the red stuff.

Join us in the Key Players Club

Yes, instead the threat of a flake of snow will have the schools closed for days. At least, here in Wake county that would be the case.

Wdbj 7 has the nrv as 3-5 with a possible 7 inches but I don't know whos word to take

Roses are red. FSU is ded

Between channel 7 and eshiben, I'd stick with eshiben.

"How the ass pocket will be used, I do not know. Alls I know is, the ass pocket will be used."
- The BoD

Oh man I Wanted more snow 😢😢

Roses are red. FSU is ded

while I thank you, I love me some robin reed and respect that crew. It really comes down to how quickly and how much it cools and the transition speeds. its gonna be some pretty wet snow which will pile up easily once it starts but i just am not totally sold. Im feelin rain and I tend to trust my gut on these ones

Taylor, looking desperately throws it deep..HAS A MAN OPEN DANNY COALE WITH A CATCH ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE FIVE!!!!....hes still open

Well to be fair I didn't trust you for the Duke game. All the weather services around here said it would be a super light rain, and you said it would be coming down pretty hard.

I wanted it to be light, so I believed the others.

Big mistake.

haha appreciate it always like to hear that my forecasts were right and heeded (sp?). That one certainly wasnt my finest im hoping to kick into overdrive this next fall now that ill finally be done with classes forever (for the third and final time.) and have some fun with them again. speaking of which if anyone has any input im all ears? should I keep them brief? go into satire again? im going to refrain from going into science lectures because that got kinda ugly

Taylor, looking desperately throws it deep..HAS A MAN OPEN DANNY COALE WITH A CATCH ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE FIVE!!!!....hes still open

This whole thing is very inconvenient. I am moving a business this week. And where is half our help coming from? Yeah Winchester. Stupid winter

Since you agree I ain't gonna let you drive this car to dinner and I agree you ain't gonna let me drive this car to dinner, there's only one way to settle this.

Clearly, you need the same policy in place as my employer: we are open whether you can get to work or not, so you better get to work. That said, as one of the few people without kids (school/daycare closures) and that actually, truly cares, I've always made it in without significant issues and my manager always gives me comp time for making the effort. Seems worth my trouble.

I hear ya. I'm supposed to be taking clients fishing in this!

You will see this game, this upset and this sign next on ESPN Sportscenter. Virginia Tech 31 Miami 7

I am trying to compare moving to fishing but its not working 🤨

Since you agree I ain't gonna let you drive this car to dinner and I agree you ain't gonna let me drive this car to dinner, there's only one way to settle this.

They are both more fun while drinking.

I appreciate all the support, and I appreciate all the hate I am getting. I will continue to work as hard as I can to be the best I can be and bring this team a championship. Go Hokies 🐔 - Josh Jackson

I am trying to compare moving to fishing but its not working

That's correct, they are both not working.

Well, not sure what it is but I'm close to death and still have a ways to go. Someone come rub my feet.

Since you agree I ain't gonna let you drive this car to dinner and I agree you ain't gonna let me drive this car to dinner, there's only one way to settle this.

Ice bath. It's like magic. I took one after a full day of basketball this weekend and I'm only a little bit sore now.

I get the benefits of ice baths, but to me, that just sounds like something you'd find in the CIA handbook right next to water boarding...

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

It is terrible while you're sitting in the icy water. But then when you feel so much better a few hours later because of it, it seems worth it to me. I like to drink coffee while I'm in there. Or if it's later in the day, a hot toddy, since it helps to take my mind off the cold.

Since you agree I ain't gonna let you drive this car to dinner and I agree you ain't gonna let me drive this car to dinner, there's only one way to settle this.

Stupid winter

Ummm, it will be Spring...

Pain is Temporary, Chicks Dig Scars
Glory is Forever, Let's Go Hokies!!

Lol we're about to get some thunderstorms here in upstate SC.

Using /s is for cowards.

this past weekend we got 10 inches of snow throughout the day, followed by thunderstorms at night, followed by flurries the next morning, followed by t-storms that night.

South Dakota doesn't make sense.

As someone who hunts in the dakotas every October you guys have some abstract weather some years it's still summer 90 degrees getting cooked then some years it's a major blizzard and you get a few minutes outside before you're an icicle packing for that trips always a nightmare you never know what you'll get

Directions from Blacksburg to whoville, go north till you smell it then go east until you step in it

I've just decided that I don't want to live in South Dakota.

The Poster Formerly Known As The Spirit Of Bernard Basham

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

[Private to TKP Users] Time to conveniently forget to bring my work laptop home so i don't have to do any work tomorrow...

Ask me no questions, and I'll tell you no lies

Just make sure not to post that on the internet.

"We judge ourselves by our intentions and others by their behavior" Stephen M.R. Covey

“When life knocks you down plan to land on your back, because if you can look up, you can get up, if you fall flat on your face it can kill your spirit” David Wilson

looks up...goddamnit

Ask me no questions, and I'll tell you no lies

It's cool; just go back and edit your first post and add [Private] to the beginning to activate that feature.

"We judge ourselves by our intentions and others by their behavior" Stephen M.R. Covey

“When life knocks you down plan to land on your back, because if you can look up, you can get up, if you fall flat on your face it can kill your spirit” David Wilson

good call... give me a minute

Edit: Thank the makers for creating such a life saving feature

Ask me no questions, and I'll tell you no lies

Ha... reminds me of this

As of January 3rd, 2015 at 3:30 p.m. Central standard time. I do not give Facebook or any entities associated with Facebook permission to use my pictures, information, or posts, both past and future. By this statement I give notice to Facebook it is strictly forbidden to disclose, copy, distribute or take any other action against me based on this profile is private and confidential information. The violation of privacy can be punished by law (UCC 1-308-11 308-103 and Rome statute). NOTE: Facebook is now a public entity. All members must post a note like this. If you prefer, you can copy and paste this version. If you do not publish this statement at least once it will be tactically allowing the use of your photos, as well as information contained in the profile status updates. DO NOT SHARE you MUST copy and paste this.... I will leave a comment so it will be easier to copy and paste!!!

I appreciate all the support, and I appreciate all the hate I am getting. I will continue to work as hard as I can to be the best I can be and bring this team a championship. Go Hokies 🐔 - Josh Jackson

kinda like this right?

Ask me no questions, and I'll tell you no lies

...I give notice to Facebook it is strictly forbidden...

...based on this profile is private and confidential information.

...it will be tactically allowing the use...

...contained in the profile status updates.

*chuckles*

The Poster Formerly Known As The Spirit Of Bernard Basham

oh shit i really logged out to see if it worked.

joe delete my account

I have no idea why my username is VT_Warthog.

Arkansas blew a 24-0 lead in the Belk Bowl.

well did it?

Ask me no questions, and I'll tell you no lies

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Your account must be glitchy, It's still working for me.

"We judge ourselves by our intentions and others by their behavior" Stephen M.R. Covey

“When life knocks you down plan to land on your back, because if you can look up, you can get up, if you fall flat on your face it can kill your spirit” David Wilson

Giles has been upgraded to a winter storm warning bring on that damn snow I'm ready for it!!!!!!

Roses are red. FSU is ded

Christiansburg update: just changed from rain to ice pellets. Coming down VERY hard. Hope it changes to snow soon. Stay safe out there Hokies.

Pain is Temporary, Chicks Dig Scars
Glory is Forever, Let's Go Hokies!!

Yeah my wife was driving from campus to Cburg 20 min ago and slid through a stop light and stop signs. Its turned over to snow now and looks like if it keeps it up we will have another 6" like last week.

Wow, not good, glad she's ok, its still ice pellets here on main st, cburg. Its not stickin to trees which is good, but heavy ice pellets. Already 1 inch of ice pellets on ground. Sounds crazy outside.

Pain is Temporary, Chicks Dig Scars
Glory is Forever, Let's Go Hokies!!

Its full snow now, what a difference in the sound, very quiet outside now. Coming down very heavy, roads r super slick. My wife watched a car skid off the road out front, but their ok. Stay home!

Pain is Temporary, Chicks Dig Scars
Glory is Forever, Let's Go Hokies!!

Im supplying ground truth for eshiben for his modeling. Snow rates here near dtown cburg have dropped dramatically, snowing but at about 1/2" per hour rate now. Looks beautiful outside.

Pain is Temporary, Chicks Dig Scars
Glory is Forever, Let's Go Hokies!!

I'm in Germantown,MD (northern Montgomery Co.) and we've got about 2" of powder on the grass so far. Coming down pretty steady.. we are in the 10-14" range depending on where you look.

Day 1

The winter storm has reached the Triangle. The ground is not frozen, and the air is currently above freezing, but due to the fluffy frozen precipitation falling from the sky, without the appropriate provisions, we will all surely perish. Extreme caution is necessary when venturing out and about lest you get caught in this untimely blizzard.

live from Raleigh:

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

This is accurate. Minus the presence of any actual ground accumulation.