Very interesting article here. FiveThirtyEight compiled the rankings of the main group of programs that have been consistently ranked from 1996 to now, and compared preseason rankings to end of year positioning. As you would expect, they found some notable trends.
Article on FiveThirtyEight.com
Shockingly, they found the worst Overhyped offender to be... drumroll... Notre Dame, who has an average preseason ranking of 25th, and 70% of the time, finishes the year worse than expected. Other notable overrated programs include Texas, Florida, Florida State, and Penn State.
Interestingly, the Hokies come out of this appearing to be slightly overrated over the years, with an average preseason ranking of 17th, and missing the mark 60% of the time.
And before anyone asks, Miami is historically overrated as well, with also an average ranking of 17th, and missing the mark 60% of the time. That said, they rank higher on the overrated scale because we beat our mark 35% of the time to their 25%.
Certainly opened my eyes a bit. I wouldn't have guessed we trended toward overhype, but the numbers do speak for themselves, even if the margin for us is fairly small as opposed to others.
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