GAMBLING LINES 2019: WEEK 8

OP note: Sorry this is late. I've been travelling for work all week and I'm nowhere near as dedicated to this as French is to his stuff. Finally getting to this when I've gotten a free night. The formating is a little off and I'm sure many of the lines have shifted since I pulled them, but what are you gonna do?

This is the part where I bitch about how last week went down. How I lost money mostly and how I came away Monday morning swearing I wouldn't bet again this week. I went to bed Saturday night thinking that's how my weekend went. I wasn't at a computer and didn't feel like fighting the format of my betting site on my phone to see how my over on the Baylor game was scored. See, I took the over and even cheated it up to 60.5 to get a better return. They didn't sniff that in regulation (tied 20-20 as the clock hit 0:00), but the betting gods caused a high scoring overtime. No single OT win because of a FG followed by a turnover. No, both teams put up 7 in the first OT and then combined for 11 more in the second. I'd been bitten before by some small print on a soccer bet that said any score bets are graded at the end of regulation and that overtime/penalties does not count. I worried it would be the same with CFB. So when Monday rolled around and I checked my account, I fully expected to have had a losing weekend. Lo and behold, I won! Even though the weekend was only barely in the black, the lowered expectations made it that much more satisfying. Ain't the human psyche wild?

Anyway. Yeah, back to bitching. Tennessee figured out how to win a game. UGa figured out how to lose one. On the flip side, Bama did Bama things. GT did GT things. Somehow I actually hit on my 5 team ML parlay of heavy favorites for a nice return. But, Temple? Really? Temple? They get blown out by 2-4 Buffalo only to quietly slink up to 5-1 with a win over Memphis this weekend. Don't bet, kids.

Anyway, on to this week's lines.

  • Miami (-18): Until proven otherwise, I'm taking whoever is playing GT. I don't think Vegas is giving Miami nearly enough credit here. They held LOLUVa to ZERO TDs. Temple held GT to ZERO offensive points at all. Miami by triple digits...
  • LOLUVa (-3.5): It pains me that we want LOLUVa to win this to increase our chances of surpassing Duke. Do I think they can do it? Sure. I also thought they'd get it done in Miami, but man was I wrong. I think Cutcliffe takes this one outright and we're hoping for two more Duke losses somewhere else on their schedule.
  • Houston (-22): Houston is unwinfeated against FBS teams. Wait, North Texas is FBS. Fine. They're 1-4 against FBS competition. They've also faced Wisconsin, Oklahoma, and Cincinnati. Also, UConn sucks. Like really sucks. Normally I'd say we're in for a backdoor cover by the underdogs, but I think Houston's QB does better with a second week of 1st team snaps under his belt and they show it against the GT of the American.
  • Florida (-6): The fact that USCe fans get to watch top ten teams play in their stadium in back to back weeks really pisses me off given our schedule. Even moreso now that they managed to ride 4 TOs to a win over #3 UGa last weekend. Oh to be going into a game like this sitting on top of the world and thinking you can take all comers. Well, you don't get that two weeks in a row. Florida covers if for no other reason that they have to win convincingly to make an argument for a playoff berth despite losing to LSU/Bama in the SEC title game.

As always, please do not take my ramblings as legitimate gambling advice. You will lose your shirt and anything else you're foolish enough to bet based on my idiocy.
Lines may change over the course of the week. I also may have made errors copying them. Always triple check when money is at stake
TKP does not encourage gambling and even if it did, I am neither employed nor sanctioned by Orange and Maroon Media, LLC so who cares.

Away Team Home Team Spread ___ Away Team Home Team Spread
South Alabama Troy Troy (-15) Oregon State California California (-10.5 )
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State Louisiana-Lafayette (-5.5) Oregon Washington Oregon (-3 )
UCLA Stanford Stanford (-9) Arizona Southern Cal Southern Cal (-9.5 )
Marshall Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic (-5.5) Colorado Washington State Washington State (-13.5 )
Pittsburgh Syracuse Pittsburgh (-3) Florida South Carolina Florida (-6 )
Ohio State Northwestern Ohio State (-28) Kentucky Georgia Georgia (-25 )
UNLV Fresno State Fresno State (-15) Texas Christian Kansas State Texas Christian (-3.5 )
Duke LOLUVa LOLUVa (-3.5 ) LSU Mississippi State LSU (-19.5 )
Georgia Tech Miami (FL) Miami (FL) (-18) Tennessee Alabama Alabama (-35 )
Clemson Louisville Clemson (-24) Southern Miss Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech (-1.5 )
Army Georgia State Army (-6.5 ) Old Dominion UAB UAB (-16 )
SUNY-Buffalo Akron SUNY-Buffalo (-17.5 ) West Virginia Oklahoma Oklahoma (-33.5 )
Indiana Maryland Indiana (-3.5 ) Baylor Oklahoma State Oklahoma State (-3.5 )
Houston Connecticut Houston (-22 ) Auburn Arkansas Auburn (-18.5 )
Florida State Wake Forest Wake Forest (-2 ) Texas AM Mississippi Texas AM (-6 )
Coastal Carolina Georgia Southern Georgia Southern (-6.5 ) Tulane Memphis Memphis (-4.5 )
Central Michigan Bowling Green State Central Michigan (-12 ) UNCHeat Virginia Tech UNCHeat (-3.5 )
Eastern Carolina Central Florida Central Florida (-33 ) Minnesota Rutgers Minnesota (-29 )
Tulsa Cincinnati Cincinnati (-17 ) Iowa State Texas Tech Iowa State (-7 )
North Carolina State Boston College North Carolina State (-2.5 ) South Florida Navy Navy (-13 )
Purdue Iowa Iowa (-18 ) Louisiana-Monroe Appalachian State Appalachian State (-14.5 )
Kent State Ohio Ohio (-7.5 ) Missouri Vanderbilt Missouri (-21.5 )
Western Michigan Eastern Michigan Western Michigan (-9.5 ) San Diego State San Jose State San Diego State (-7.5 )
Kansas Texas Texas (-22 ) UNC Charlotte Western Kentucky Western Kentucky (-9.5 )
Wisconsin Illinois Wisconsin (-31 ) Middle Tennessee St. North Texas North Texas (-9.5 )
Nevada Utah State Utah State (-21 ) Rice Texas-San Antonio Rice (-4 )
Boise State BYU Boise State (-6.5 ) Temple Southern Methodist Southern Methodist (-7.5 )
New Mexico Wyoming Wyoming (-19.5 ) UTEP Florida Intl Florida Intl (-23 )
Arizona State Utah Utah (-13.5 ) Michigan Pedo State Pedo State (-9 )
Toledo Ball State Toledo (-1.5 ) Air Force Hawaii Air Force (-3 )
Northern Illinois Miami (OH) Northern Illinois (-1.5 )
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Comments

2-5 on the year. Thank you Fighting Illini defense Michigan offense.

None of these jump out at me so I'm just going to take PJ Fleck's boys to run up the score on Rutgers like everyone else. Give me the Gophers.

The Orange and Maroon you see, that's fighting on to victory.

Tulsa +17 against Cincy.
Vandy +21.5 against Mizzou
Miami -18 against GaTech

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

Heels only getting 3.5 seems a bit generous

I can imagine no more rewarding a career. And any man who may be asked in this century what he did to make his life worthwhile, I think can respond with a good deal of pride and satisfaction:
“I served in the United States Navy"

KCCO

maybe, but I'm not touching that one.

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

It's not worth touching anything in the Coastal this season. Spread, money line, over/under are all a crapshoot week to week.

Marshall University student.
Virginia Tech fanatic.

that would be UNC giving 3.5. -3.5

Yeah you meant what I said

I can imagine no more rewarding a career. And any man who may be asked in this century what he did to make his life worthwhile, I think can respond with a good deal of pride and satisfaction:
“I served in the United States Navy"

KCCO

South Carolina was on the road last week when they cock-slapped Georgia (pun certainly intended) . They covered with Bama at home in September. Don't sleep on the Gamecocks

I would root for the Russians before I would root for Virginia.

I don't trust Flo-rida either. Think they are all smoke and mirrors.

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

If it's raining at kickoff, I'm taking the under (57) in VT/UNC. If it's not raining, I'm still probably taking the under and puckering my asshole even tighter than normal for a VT game.

I like your Houston pick and think another chunk of easy money on the board is UK -25. The oddsmakers are obviously predicting UGA to be pissed after last week's performance -- as they should be. But it's supposed to be pouring at kickoff and maybe raining all day. Georgia will win in a sloppy SEC East matchup, but I don't see them winning by 25. Also, Kentucky has hung around in every game they've played this season. Largest margin of defeat was 17 points against USCe.

"You know when the Hokies say 'We are Virginia Tech' they're going to mean it."- Lee Corso