A move worthy of ACClaim: A Look at ACC Expansion
There have been quite a few off the field stories this year. A coach nicknamed the senator caught in a lie. A litany of NCAA infractions, some even involving yachts and prostitutes. But the one story that has captured everyone's imagination has been expansion.
This narrative this year begins with Texas and Texas A&M. Texas A&M applied to join SEC in anger because Texas owns a bigger piece of the Big XII's revenue than anyone else, and because of the Longhorn Network. Texas A&M to the SEC is pretty much a done deal, and the Big XII is sure to die or suffer the fate of being a zombie conference like the Big East. This past weekend the ACC accepted Syracuse and Pittsburgh in what was a pro-active move to ensure survival. While some have lamented that we didn't add football powers it is my belief the move should be applauded.
Why Expansion?
Conference expansion, like most things in the world, is driven by money and affects a lot more than just what football/basketball teams a school plays. The biggest revenue driver in collegiate athletics is football. That's why it is the chief concern influencing all sports as well as academic association between schools. Right now there are 6 major BCS conferences that garner most of the money from the major bowls as well as have the biggest TV contracts. Both greed and fear are influencing these movements.
Expansion brings about the chance for conferences to renegotiate their TV contracts and increase wealth. The biggest TV contract right now belongs to the Pac-12 which is able to pay its members $21 mil/yr, in contrast to the ACC which has an older contract that pays out around $13 mil/yr. The way other conferences can catch up to the Pac-12 payout is to renegotiate their contract, and the way they can only do that successfully is by adding new TV markets. In a way we could say ESPN itself is not just reporting the expansion news, but is the impetus for the movement with everyone wanting more TV money.
Schools that are in current BCS conferences fear they could find themselves on the outside looking in if they don't keep up. There is a big disparity in money for those on the outside versus inside, and schools depend on this money to pay for sports other than football. Also, there's a loss of prestige and TV time which can lead to loss of donor dollars as well as lessen an applicant pool to a school. Football drives the bus, but everyone in the university is a hostage. If the football revenue ever decreases it will cause a lot of pain. Coming into this weekend it was thought that any school not in the SEC, Pac-12, and Big Ten could fall into danger of being left behind, but adding Pitt and Syracuse assured that all ACC schools are safe for now.
The View From Blacksburg
Congratulations Virginia Tech fans, the moves made by the ACC has paved the way for increased payouts, and the importance of belonging in a conference that has assured survival and national relevance. Perhaps bigger than the addition of other schools is the news of an increased $20 million exit fee for any school leaving the ACC. That pretty much assures no one will be leaving anytime soon. The ACC was seemingly in danger of the SEC potentially poaching Florida State, Clemson, or even VT, but that is over with for the time being with. The ACC should also thank Florida and South Carolina for opposing SEC expansion within its current states.
Virginia Tech was rumored to be considered for SEC expansion, but the administration literally said "poppy cock" to that and decreed the ACC is the conference they've always wanted to be in. A couple of non-football things that probably influenced administration for not considering the SEC were non-revenue sport travel, location of alumni centers, and leaving a conference with really good academic institutions. There could be lengthy discussion of hypothetical plus/minus of VT leaving the ACC, but being realistic we are in the ACC and should be happy for the move.
The ACC playing Chess not Checkers
There are some fans that are upset the moves didn't bring in football powers. However, Syracuse and Pitt fit snug in the ACC's footprint, have football history and mesh with the culture of the league. If the ACC didn't get those two teams they could have been Big Ten targets.
College football is trending towards four 16 team "super conferences", even Frank Beamer admitted as much on the Hokie Hotline, so it looks as if the ACC will expand further. Of the rumored teams the least exciting, yet most proposed pair is Rutgers and UConn. West Virginia has good basketball and football programs, but their academics and a couple of ACC schools, VT included, is held against them. Texas had flirted with the ACC, but didn't want to be equals. Texas is the really hot girl at the bar that is full of issues. Right now Pac-12 says it won't expand. Texas doesn't want to share revenue equally there either, but I feel that topic that will be revisited. For the ACC, the one school that moves the needle is Notre Dame.
Touchdown Jesus holds the Holy Grail for ACC
The ACC has a move up their sleeve that could move them up the ladder; convince Notre Dame to join the the conference. Notre Dame is a national brand that has fans in major TV markets including NYC, Chicago, and LA despite lack of recent football success. Notre Dame fits academically as well being one of the nations most prestigious universities. There are many reasons for the ACC to want Notre Dame and there are many reasons for the Irish to consider joining the ACC as well.
If Notre Dame makes a decision to join a conference and it holds to it's ideal of being a nationally relevant brand then joining the ACC is the smart decision. The only argument to make for ND in the Big Ten is geography, but ND will always be a huge factor in the mid-west regardless of conference affiliation especially with its yearly game against Michigan. In the ACC Notre Dame would get greatly needed exposure to the recruiting rich south that continues to increase in population. Notre Dame is already familiar with current and future ACC schools. Over the past 4 years Notre Dame has scheduled Boston College, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Maryland, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, Duke, and North Carolina as well as playing Miami in it's last bowl game.
Another great part of the ACC moving early on expansion is that it puts additional pressure on Notre Dame to join a conference and leave behind independence. The ACC has essentially killed (or zombied) the Big East which is the current residence of Notre Dame's olympic sports. Notre Dame will have to find a home for those sports and hopefully the ACC has the backbone to not allow Notre Dame to join for everything but football. ND also needs to think of the future scheduling. Teams will play more games within their super conference and that will limit Notre Dame's options for playing quality BCS level opponents.
Future Secured
Whatever happens with future ACC expansion this past weekend was tremendous in settling VT's future. We are concrete in the ACC, and the ACC will be one of the major conferences to survive and move on.
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Comments
What About #
adding Penn State along with Notre Dame. I know it will take a lot of money for PSU to jump ship from the B1G but we would further solidify the Pennsylvania market. I think ND/PSU would be the best additions if ACC goes to 16 teams. Maybe then WVU could find a home in the B1G.
PSU would be amazing #
I just don't know if Penn State would be willing to join the ACC. I think the only way that goes is if the B1G starts looking to add a lot of former Big XII western schools and PSU conceivably feels like they would have a better culture fit in the ACC
It would take an ass of money #
for PSU to leave the B1G, but I don't think it's impossible. Especially if we land ND. I know for years PSU has complained about being the furthest east, competing for recruits in an over recruited and under developed (talent wise) mid-west, and they don't want to travel to Kansas for volleyball any more than we (in the ACC) do. I would consider PSU a hot ACC commodity if/when expansion comes back up (talk to me in May 2012).
On another note, WVU doesn't stand any more chance of getting in the B1G than they did in ACC or SEC. I still believe their lone hope is reluctant admittance into SEC, or they're going to be outside looking in at the big4 supers. Sad to see a team that has had modest BCS success get left behind, but that's what you get when you admit players into your university who can't spell their name.
...you know...
@j3ffress
Here is what I think the conference would look like #
With ND and PSU joining the ACC:
Atlantic: Boston College, Clemson, Florida State, Maryland, North Carolina State, Notre Dame, Syracuse, Wake Forest
Coastal: Duke, Georgia Tech, Miami, North Carolina, Penn State, Pittsburgh, Virginia and Virginia Tech.
Reasoning: With Pitt and Penn State in the same division, they would play every season and same goes for BC-Notre Dame series. Thus, in-conference rivalries don't suffer. In this system each team would play all 7 inter-division rivals and 3 from the opposite division (rotating different teams every two years) meaning 10 conference games as Weaver said he would like to do. This leaves 2 out of conference games available. This would make room for Pittsburgh-WVU as well as ND-Michigan and ND-Michigan State.
Your thoughts?
Nice alignment #
I like it- keeps traditional rivalries in-tact and allows new ones to grow plus there is no geographic malarkey (yes I am trying to watch my language...bear with me). The only change I would recommend would be to remove Duke from the coastal and replace with either Clemson or Syracuse (probably Cuse- swap bottom feeders). The North Carolina schools have jointly stated that in the realignment they all want to be in the same division.
Personally I really like the idea of just adding the teams into the divisions instead of this 'pod' idea- either way one or two conference games are added and the pods are identical to the current NFL Divisional alignment (and I thought NCAA wanted to remain different from the NFL?) and would only allow for a limited amount of rivalries to spark. Split divisions allow for the teams to see each other annually and would still allow for one to two inter-dvision games.
Virginia Tech '08
Fordham University (NY) '11, '12
Twitter: @duffmanhokie
PSN Handle: duffmanhokie1568 (NCAAF '12, NHL '11, Battlefield)
Hokies, NY Rangers, NY Jets, NY Mets (sigh), USA Hockey, Richmond Renegades (R.I.P)
Realignment and the minor bowl games #
With 16 teams per conference on the horizon can all the bowl games still be supported? It may be difficult to find enough out of conference match-ups with winning teams. Will the bowl games become a two-tier system, i.e. those among the super conferences and those among the others? Some bowl games could also never happen again. I wonder if the bowl committees are as fired up about expansion?
I don't see #
the NCAA being a major factor in football if there are 4-16 team conferences. The BCS goes down the crapper losing the auto berths, etc. And the mid-level bowls are floundering with 6-6 teams. If there are 64 teams in super conferences, look for a reformed football system complete with an 8 team playoff; 2 from each. Heck, with 16 conference teams, there could be a 4 team conference playoff for a victor; 1 from each pod.
This just means that the bowls will be done for if this happens. As well as the NCAA and it's football ties.
State Penn is never leaving the B1G #
30 yrs ago when they wanted the eastern league sure. Now they are ingrained in academic research with SIMILAR large land grant universities.
They also have a cash cow that is realized.
a pipe dream. ND because Catholic full of east coast students is a much better fit.
eric
twitter.com/beercontrol
"My advice to you... is to start drinking heavily."-John Blutarsky
Feel the same way #
I think Penn State would be extremely hard to lure.
I'd imagine the if we were to get Notre Dame then the second school would probably be UConn.
Never Say Never #
The academics change is a push. Travel, recruiting, rivalries, and winning the conference is easier in the ACC. Money goes to the B1G. The B1G has treated Penn State like a stepchild and they feel alone as the only eastern team. If Swofford can work out an estimated TV deal income if PSU and ND join, and show that joining the ACC isn't a financial loss, then the move becomes more enticing. I still think it's a long shot, but if Swofford can recruit like Clemson (get 5-star targets to come to a place that hasn't done much lately), then it is possible.
Agreed BeerControl 100%. #
Agreed BeerControl 100%. On all the message boards I have seen PSU fans are not even 50/50 about the ACC- more like 70/30 against. Though it makes more sense many live in a shell of convinced academic and athletic dominance of the B1G and their university over the world. In fact many said some rather derogatory things about Virginia Tech, University of Virginia and William & Mary (for some unannounced reason)- to which a W&M, a few UVA, and a few VT grads promptly replied to with a rather harsh tone.
Though I know many don't love Boston College here (myself included) their move to the ACC in 2005 may pay dividends if the process continues (which it will) by aiding in luring Notre Dame. I'm sure ND doesn't want to be the only religiously affiliated University in a Conference and BC doesn't hide its Catholic-oriented education and ideology much like the Fighting Irish. You're also right about the money; however, if Swofford can alter the revenue sharing to where a majority of NBC's profits still land in South Bend then I could see ND coming as a full member to the ACC as soon as next year keeping rivalries with USC, Michigan, and Navy along with one more OOC game. Also, recruiting would improve even more.
Virginia Tech '08
Fordham University (NY) '11, '12
Twitter: @duffmanhokie
PSN Handle: duffmanhokie1568 (NCAAF '12, NHL '11, Battlefield)
Hokies, NY Rangers, NY Jets, NY Mets (sigh), USA Hockey, Richmond Renegades (R.I.P)