This is original content created by u/SlamDunkley33 and posted to r/CFBAnalysis.
I haven't seen a formulaic/quantifiable approach to ranking programs, so I thought this was pretty cool and worth sharing here, especially since there's been a lot of debate over where VT sits in the college football pecking order. By this ranking method, VT sits as the 32nd best program in college football.
There's definitely some flaws with his methodology, but I think the thought process is good. Here's the original post. Here's u/SlamDunkley's methodology:
Recruiting Category Total: 50%
- 2020 247 Talent Composite 5%
- 5 Year Recruiting Average 10%
- 10 Year Recruiting Average 10%
- The Athletic Recruiting Expectation of 7.5% (note - I'm not sure what this refers to. Possibly something published by The Athletic?)
- Blue Chip Recruits in Home State (over past 5 years) 12.5% Total
- 2019 - 3.5%
- 2017-18 - 4.5%
- 2015-16 - 4.5%
- '14-'17 NCAA Report on % of in-state HS Players recruited by a D1 School- 5%
Finances- 20% total:
- 2018-19 Revenue- 4%
- 247 Facility Rankings up to 25 then filled in with SlamDunkley's personal job rankings to complete formula 2.5% total
- 1% for 2020
- 0.75% for 2019
- 0.75% for 2018
- Conference Payout 7.5% Total (1.5% for 2020, 2% for every 2 year stretch until 2026)
- Coaching Salary Pool- 4% total:
- 2% Head Coach
- 1.25% Ast Coach Pool
- 0.75% Strength Coach
- Forbes Value 2.5% Total - 1.5% for 2019, 1% for 2018 filled the same way as the Facility Rankings after 25
Past Success and NFL Production- 30% total:
- AP History Ranking- 3.75%
- AP 2010s Ranking- 3.75%
- NFL Picks Since 2000- 7.5%
- NFL 1st Rd Picks since 2000- 7.5%
- # of players on a current NFL Roster- 7.5%
Here's OP's spreadsheet, and his final rankings:
- Ohio State
- Alabama
- Georgia
- LSU
- Florida
- Texas
- Florida St
- Texas A&M
- Auburn
- Michigan
- Penn St
- Miami- private
- Oklahoma
- USC-private
- Tennessee
- Clemson
- ND-private/Ind.
- Stanford- private
- South Carolina
- UCLA
- Washington
- Oregon
- TCU-private
- Wisconsin
- Michigan St
- Ole Miss
- N Carolina
- Nebraska
- Arkansas
- Mississippi St
- Va Tech
- Iowa
- Maryland
- California
- Baylor- private
- Kentucky
- Arizona St
- Missouri
- Oklahoma St
- Utah
- NC State
- Pitt- private
- L'ville
- WVU
- Virginia
- Georgia Tech
- Texas Tech
- Vandy- private
- Illinois
- Purdue
- Rutgers
- Minnesota
- NW-private
- Colorado
- Indiana
- Duke- private
- Arizona
- Oregon St
- Wake Forest
- Washington St
- Iowa St
- Kansas St
- Syracuse-private
- BC- private
- Kansas
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