The Ladies host The South Dakota State Jackrabbits today at 5 PM on ESPN2. The Hokies are favored by 9.5 with the over/under at 128.5. I guess the gambling gurus think defense is going to be important in this game because the Hokies average 72.1 ppg and SDSU averages 78.9 ppg. On the defensive side, we average 56.3; and SDSU averages 60.2.
When I watched SDSU play USC Saturday, I did not think either team could play with the Hokies; but looking at the records, they only have one common opponent. SDSU beat Louisville at home 65-55 on Nov 21; we beat Louisville 81-79 at Louisville and 75-67 on Mar 5 to win the ACC Tournament. SDSU losses were to Creighton, UCLA, Washington State, Montana State and South Carolina. They have won 22 in a row since losing to USCe on Dec 15.
The Hokies have won 12 in a row.
Except for not having anyone to match up with Kitley, SDSU is relatively tall. Four starters are 6'1", 5'11". 6', and 6'1". The fifth starters is 5'6", the same height as Amoore.
Myah Selland, #44, averages 16.1 ppg and 6.3 rpg and was almost unstoppable against USC, scoring 29 and picking up 9 rebounds. Selland ended the game with 3 fouls. The second highest score, #21 Paige Meyer had 16 points and 4 fouls. Two other players ended the game with 3 fouls. USC was actually called for more fouls the SDSU and had a player foul out. If we get the same refs today, fouls may be an issue.
Season stats look pretty comparable; but we compiled our stats against a higher level of competition.
I am not sure where to start talking about keys to this game. Can they stop Kitley; can we stop Selland? How are the fouls going to be called? How will Meyer and Amoore play? Is TSoule ready to play? How will SDSU come back from a tough OT game on Saturday?
Just on skill, I would have to say Kitley is better than Selland and Amoore is better than Meyer; and our other starters are better than theirs. And D'asia Gregg is better off the bench than their sixth player, probably Dru. The road to the Sweet 16 should not be too tough.
We shoot about the same from three; but I think our defense will probably affect their ability to shoot beyond the arc. They were only 2 of 10 from three against USC. And I hope their defense is not good enough to affect us. They are an excellent shooting team overall at 47.6% on the season and 75% of their shots are inside the arc. I have to think Kitley is going to affect that part of their game.
I would really like to see us come out strong and win this one going away, maybe allowing us to rest Soule. Because we are going to need TSoule at full strength in the next round.
The Ladies have to take this game, and every game from here on out, very seriously. Ask Kansas and Purdue what happens when a No. 1 seed gets careless.
LET'S GO HOKIES!
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