HOKIES HOOPS CENTRAL: Virginia Tech (9-3) At Wake Forest (8-3) 2PM ESPN2

HOKIES HOOPS CENTRAL: Virginia Tech (9-3) At Wake Forest (8-3) 2PM ESPN2

Virginia Tech (9-3)
At Wake Forest (8-3)
December 30th, 2023
Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum
2 p.m. ET
ESPN2
Virginia Tech Sports Network

ESPN+/ACCNX
Play-by-Play: Connor Onion
Analyst: Dan Bonner

Local Radio
Virginia Tech Sports Network
Play-by-Play: Zach Mackey
Analyst: Mike Burnop

Current Spread: Wake -3.5
Over/Under: -143.5

Litmus Test to end the Year
The Hokies pick back up in ACC play with a trip to Wake Forest to try to close out 2023 strong. The Hokies turned Kidd loose on American right before Christmas and cruised to a 77-55 win. This will be Wake's first ACC game this season.

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons squad comes in 8-3. This will be the 72nd meeting between the Hokies and Wake Forest. The Hokies are 38-33 but looking to end a two game skid to the Deacs.

The Demon Deacons have been coached by Steve Forbes since 2020. Wake Forest is his third head coaching job. He also spent time as an assistant at eight different programs since 1989. The Demon Deacons come in 8-3. Notable wins over Florida and Rutgers. Their losses were to Georgia, LSU in overtime and Utah. They come into this game having won six straight following a 91-68 win over Presbyterian.

Wake Forest returnees Cameron Hildreth and Andrew Carr are major contributors. The Deacons also got transfers of two former Gonzaga players Hunter Sallis and Efton Reid, with Sallis starting and Reid playing significant minutes when he plays. Other transfers include Kevin Miller from Central Michigan, who has become a starter due to injuries, and Abramo Canka, a lengthy international guard who has played sparingly since coming from UCLA.

Wake lost Jao Ituka and Damari Monsanto to injury, both of whom averaged double-digit scoring last season. The Monsanto injury was a huge loss as he was expected to lead this team. These injuries likely relegate Wake to the middle of the pack in the ACC. With these two playing, Wake may have been competing for top spot. As it is they still have four guys averaging over 15 points a game.

Wake returned four of their top five scorers but only two have played. They have three freshman newcomers this season. Guards Parker Friedrichsen and Aaron Clark and Wing Marqus Marion join the Deacons this season. Friedrichsen and Marion have both played in every game this season, both getting about seventeen minutes per game.

The Demon Deacons have four players averaging more than 30 mpg and three more that regularly average at least 15 mpg. The starting five are Sallis, Hildreth, Miller, Carr and Keller. Friedrichsen and Marion are the two primary subs off the bench.

Forbes focus is transition opportunities and high energy defensive play. His teams focus on defending corner 3-pointers, gap defense, rim protection and off-ball screen coverage using a variety of zone to collapse on the paint. So far opponents have shot 32% from outside. They focus on defensive rebounds to limit second chance opportunities and look for quick outlook passes to beat the defense back up the court.

Offensively, the Demon Deacons are looking to beat opponents up the floor and take a significant number of transition perimeter shots. So far through 11 games they are shooting 23 threes per game, shooting just over 37%. Sallis and Friedrichsen combine to attempt nearly ten threes per game. They also employ dribble penetration to draw the defense which allows multiple lob passes to Carr and Keller for quick hitters underneath. They use a variety of perimeter screening actions to create separation.

Demon Deacons Backcourt
Hunter Sallis
23 JR G 6-5 175
18.0 Pts, 2.7 Reb, 2.2 Ast

Kevin Miller
0 SO G 6-0 165
17.2 Pts, 2.8 Reb, 4.3 Ast

Cameron Hildreth
2 JR G 6-4 195
15.8 Pts, 4.2 Reb, 3.3 Ast

Parker Friedrichsen
20 FR G 6-3 195
5.7 Pts, 1.7 Reb, 0.9 Ast

Demon Deacons Frontcourt
Andrew Carr
11 SR F 6-9 210
15.5 Pts, 7.6 Reb, 1.0 Ast

Zach Keller
25 SO F 6-10 228
2.9 Pts, 2.9 Reb, 0.1 Ast

Efton Reid
4 JR C 6-11 238
7.0 Pts, 8.0 Reb, 0.5 Ast

Marqus Marion
1 FR F 6-8 210
1.6 Pts, 3.2 Reb, 0.2 Ast

What to expect from Wake Forest?
The Demon Deacons will run a constant three guard/two forward set looking to push the pace. They are led in scoring by their starting guard trio of Sallis, Miller and Hildreth. These three and Friedrichsen combine to take over 17 of the teams' 23 attempts from outside. That said, the Deacs only get 27 points from outside of 81 points per game. Sallis though doesn't hesitate to take it right to the rim and has blow by speed on dribble penetration combined with the physicality to go up against big bodies.

Carr inside picks up quite a few off-side baskets when defenses over commit. Having four scorers in double digits though can be a two-edged sword when its needed every night. The rest of the roster only adds 15 points per game.

Efton Reid seems to be playing a much more significant role since his return and Young likely counters him inside with Poteat, he has played starter level minutes in three of their last four games after sitting out their first seven. As seen below he is a shot blocker, so Hokies have to find a way to counter this. Reid and Carr both average 2 blocks per game but Reid had five against Presbyterian.

Wake plays a very disciplined style of defense and has not been called for twenty fouls in any game this season. Typically, when a team relies on its starters so much, you might expect fouls to be a limiting factor but only Carr and Reid are averaging over two fouls per contest. They create 13 turnovers per game and turn that into about 15 points per contest.

This will be a much taller starting five than the majority of the Hokies opponents so far this season. Carr and Keller being on the floor together may force Young to adjust his lineup. He may rely on Beran to counter Keller considering he is not much of a scoring threat so far this season.

The Demon Deacons are relatively equal in the rebounding side, although its more focused on defensive opportunities. Offensive rebounds are very limited, and second chance opportunities have only led to four points per game so far.

The Hokies

Pedulla will likely play but he is shown on the SCACCHoops injury report as questionable. Not sure the Hokies can afford to have him out against Wake with how strong the guard rotation is for Wake. Hopefully a good sign he is the Gameday Tweet player as seen above.

This game should give a much better idea of what we can expect from Kidd against an ACC caliber center as he battles down low against Carr. Kidd has a couple inches on Carr and both are athletic more than big body guys.

On defense, the Hokies need to force Wake Forest off the perimeter. Limiting their outside shots destroys their primary game plan. Keeping them to a methodical half-court offense will be another big component to winning this game.

Who can be the X Factor for the Hokies? They need at least one player to have a big game considering how balanced Wake is across their starting five. The Hokies have shown a willingness to go inside but need a much more productive version of that if they are going to be successful.

In Closing
Who scores more from outside? Wake has not faced a team as good at defending the perimeter as the Hokies. Both teams, however, have a big averaging double-digit points which gives flexibility in terms of scoring.

The Hokies and Wake use very similar strategies in terms of possessions, aiming to get defensive rebounds and turn them into open perimeter looks first and inside opportunities as they present. The speed and way they go about it are vastly different but seem to lead to very similar results. This game unfortunately will be in the long line of who shoots better from outside wins most likely although Wake is much more comfortable scoring inside than are the Hokies. The free throw line shouldn't play a significant role for either side.

Both teams seemingly match in terms of size and athleticism. The difference may come down to who dictates the style of play more. Wake wants fast possessions, lots of points and quick transition from defense to offense. The Hokies prefer a methodical approach on both ends and limiting possessions.

Trying to entice everyone with that Bojangles Gift Card.

What kind of crowd can we expect? The student section will likely be nearly empty but Wake usually draws a local crowd pretty well and with the amount of Hokies in the Winston-Salem area it could be a pro-Hokies crowd. Not having a crowd affects teams differently (see Hokies last year in Boston College) so which team is motivated may go a long way to deciding the outcome. Just look at Bowl Season for football.

If you have the time, grab this deal below and get out to support both the Hokies basketball teams in key matchups early in January. Hokies men face a currently 11-1 Clemson squad and Hokies Ladies face a 10-1 Miami team. They need a full house for these games.

DISCLAIMER: Forum topics may not have been written or edited by The Key Play staff.

Comments

LET'S GO....

I seldom speak to loluva grads, but when I do, I tell them I want large fries.

To quote the Brothers Osborne: "I'm Good For Some But I'm Not For Everyone"

Myself, the wifey, a friend and his wife will be there. Got 4 tickets in the wake student section. Might be a seat gypsy if we see better accommodations!
And I will be rocking the MAROON & ORANGE!

I seldom speak to loluva grads, but when I do, I tell them I want large fries.

Doing god's work! Be loud brother!

But did you get the Bojangles gift card???

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Sounds like perimeter defense and cutting off drives to the lane will be crucial in this one. If we can shoot at our average from 3, we should be able to pick up one of those elusive road wins in the ACC.

Plan for the worst and hope for the best, not the other way around.

Game time...still enjoying LOLUVA losing by 35 right now to 5-7 Notre Dame. What a way to kick off Saturday.

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Game on ESPNHD right now

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Can pedulla just not turn it over???

Fire Whit.

Wow Miller getting away with hugging Cattoor

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

These turnovers are an ugly start

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

That was a "mildly aggressive" jump ball

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Collins caught between lob pass and shooting. Essentially another turnover

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Kinda sloppy with the passing to start...gotta clean that up.

My wife takes the kids and leaves the house while I watch my Hokie games.........nuff said

Back over to ESPN2

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Pedulla now 0-2 and 4 turnovers. Put him back on the bench, Mike.

Fire Whit.

Two different guys hack Pedulla to force him out of bounds and it's side out.

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Where's the and 1 on that pedulla layup?
Bullshit

My wife takes the kids and leaves the house while I watch my Hokie games.........nuff said

So much contact

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Beran gets a full extension arm shove.

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

This is so sloppy. Hoping we can wake up.

Fire Whit.

We are entirely too small and too slow. They have an athleticism advantage at all 5 spots. Going to be a long game and year

This a thousand times. Was at the game. This was so glaring watching it in person.

Kidd gets mauled by two different guys on that shot and nothing. Could be a 35 point loss if it keeps up this way.

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

between Pedulla's rough start and the way the refs are calling the game we seem to be playing 4v8

That's 2 on Reed. We need to pound at him the rest of the way. And get him on the bench as much as possible. And feed the hell out of it to Kidd while he's out.

My wife takes the kids and leaves the house while I watch my Hokie games.........nuff said

Sallus gives the full shove and elbow and then gets the shooting foul

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

What does Kidd need to do?

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

The guards have to run through these defenders on these inbounding attempts. Get the fouls called.

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Hokies have a turnover for every point they trail

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

The team is not good. I just have no words

Pedulla has got to quit trying to be the hero. He's killing the offense.

Doesn't matter if it's cake or pie as long as it's chocolate.

If Sallis hitting both Pedullas arms there is not a foul then not sure officials even need to be on the floor in the second half. Let's play playground ball.

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Again, my hot take is that Pedulla is a liability this season and is killing the flow of the offense. And he's not scoring enough to justify the turnovers. We're better with the freshman on the court.

It's harsh but I its hard to argue with.

Pedulla had clearly taken steps backward this year.

Some of it I feel is because he is pressing trying to make plays in order to lift up an offense that is best described as moribund.

We have far too many guys that are ineffective and one-dimensional on offense and we simply haven't brought in enough talent. Coach Young needs to increase the level of talent on this Roster and do it quick because the trajectory simply isn't very good at this point.

The ACC isn't even considered that good this year and we look like a bottom 3 team right now.

It's not just that they are one-dimensional its that, aside from posting up Kidd & Poteat, and the occasional double screen for Cattoor, we are not running plays to maximize those dimensions.

CMY's system is not meshing with the players on the roster

Got distracted and missed the start. This is me checking in on the box score...

Wake could have all their starters foul out and still win this game at this point.

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Beran should get five minutes a game to spell poteat or kidd and that's it. Just an insanely bad player every game that commits the dumbest fouls and provides nothing but length that isn't even usable

Officials just giving it to Wake both ways

Ugly basketball regardless but the zebras can't allow Wake to have hands on on inbounds passes and offensive players not able to proceed to move

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

They went to talk up Hildreth for getting to the basket to show a replay of him leading with his elbow on defenders neck. ESPN at its finest.

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Kidd getting ZERO support inside by teammates. The announcers are spot on that the other four are standing around the perimeter watching when Kidd gets inside.

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Kidd was also getting the ball with good position and being guarded 1on1. He should be able to score at an 80% clip against that kind of defense but he's letting #25 and #11 for Wake push him around. (or more accurately bouncing off them as they just hold their ground)
He actually had pretty good success against Reid

Gonna be a LONG season. Thank God for Pry.

This is what happens when you don't recruit anyone who can create off the dribble.

Cattoor wasn't within three feet of Carr so not sure how that was a foul. Cattoor blocked his shot after Carr released it

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

constant "that looked like a foul because [insert WF player] looks more like a good player than [insert VT player] and they missed so it must have been a foul"

also roger ayers

I would have to say as delicately as I know how:

To quote the Brothers Osborne: "I'm Good For Some But I'm Not For Everyone"

Went to the game. It was awful. The officiating in the first half was unbalanced and uneven. Our lack of athleticism was completely exposed today. Not sure why Sallis transferred from Gonzaga to Wake. They are taller and quicker than VT at every position. Heading back Thursday night for the women's game. Sure hoping they reverse this and curb stomp Wake.

Mike Youngs got mad a few times, but dude they're playing your system. Even if they were playing well we'd be losing this game.

The slow, fundamentally sound, deliberate offense style is not going to work against athletic physical teams. Throw in an over reliance on the three and the refs giving them some leeway and you can get blown out by some teams that don't have as good players as we do. On top of that a refusal to take advantage of anything in transition is giving away free buckets, as is not having any clear plan to attack the press (the press is built to shred teams like ours).

I really don't see how we're much different from a UVA that's focused on offensive efficiency instead of defense. While simultaneously kneecapping it by refusing to play in transition and allowing bad shots from three. (Not as comically slow on offense either but you get the idea.)

The refs were bad, but the lazy, slow, dumb level playing was abysmal. I mean, this was one of the most uninspiring games I can think of ever watching the Hokies play. Our players made Wake look good. Their second effort buckets were mostly due to our players loafing around watching Wake play and not boxing out, rebounding or grabbing the loose ball from a tipped pass or blocked shot.

As for CMY.....he needs to real time coach better. two things that stuck out.....first, when Wake outnumbered us in the full court press, no one was coming back to assist the inbounds pass. I didn't see any coaching from the bench and the players weren't figuring it out. After three series of us either turning it over, getting a 5 second violation and struggling to operate from the inbounds pass, did I see the players responding and coming back to assist.

Second, the feed it to Kidd and then having 4 players watch Kidd shoot (miss or make) from the perimeter was mind boggling. Not having a single player in the paint to possibly get a second effort rebound blows me away.

And yes, the ref's let Wake get away with way too much contact on both sides of the court.

It makes you wonder what they're practicing. I think he's a great guy but I may be out on Mike Young just from a style perspective and lack of adjustments, in game and between games. It's gone on for multiple years now and even before there were signs of it

I was in Brooklyn for the entire ACC champ run, and that confetti raining down ranks in my top 3 all time Hokie sports experiences. So.... I've been inclined to give Young more leeway than I might have otherwise. (Plus, I don't really understand the intricacies of basketball enough to form an educated opinion.)

I may be losing faith though.

The biggest issue was turnovers and overall general carelessness with the ball. We likely still lose this game but we hand wrapped it. We lost the first half by 20....as surprising as it sounds we only lost the second half by 3 points. We definitely did nothing to gain traction. The refs as sorry as they were, were consistent and Young and Co did little to adjust their approach.

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

If we're gonna lose, at least let's not look like dogshit doing it. Disappointed in the team today.

Reel men fish on Wednesdays

Our offense is ugly again.

(add if applicable) /s

What is this "offense" thing you're talking about?

Reel men fish on Wednesdays

Remember when everybody said losing Rodney Rice, the most athletic, highly rated guy on the team, and the only one who could get his own shot was not a big deal because of our "depth"? LOL

"That's it guys. Let's get out of here. That cold drink's waitin' on us, let's go." - Mike Young after win no. 300.

Our offense is too predictable. Passes are known by D and they cut them off. We don't get enough open looks so we go inside a lot and that isn't working. This leads to.... turnovers!.... Duh!
Something is up w Padulla. It's either mental or physical. He looks OK physically, but he isn't the same player we had last year. So we use our freshman pt guard. He's working hard, but this leads to .... more turnovers.
We need to change it up to get more open looks for our shooters, they aren't getting them, so our shooting % suffers.

Pain is Temporary, Chicks Dig Scars
Glory is Forever, Let's Go Hokies!!