Here is a list of National Champions since 1999, with each champion's total offense and total defense rank.
Year - Champ - Offensive Rank/Defensive Rank
2013 - FSU - 6/3
2012 - Bama - 31/1
2011 - Bama - 31/1
2010 - Auburn - 7/60
2009 - Bama - 43/2
2008 - Florida - 15/9
2007 - LSU - 26/3
2006 - Florida - 19/6
2005 - Texas - 3/10
2004 - USC - 12/6
2003 - LSU - 31/1
2002 - Ohio St. - 70/23
2001 - Miami - 8/6
2000 - Oklahoma - 18/8
1999 - FSU - 12/19
I researched this data out of curiosity to see how each year's champion ranked on offense and defense. These are my takeaways:
- Every champ but 3 had a top 10 defense
- Only 1 champ had a top 10 offense and not a top 10 defense (Auburn 2010, defense in NC was clutch)
- The worst offense was ranked 43rd (Edit 2002 Ohio St. was 70th, but that's dumb)
- The #1 offense never won
- The #1 defense won 3 times
- Defense still wins championships
- We need to get our offense into the top 50 nationally to be contenders, the defense is there
- Every team on this list is a Big Boy Recruiter
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Comments
Balance is the name of the game.
One more take away: Having the 31st best offense and 1st defense seems to be a very successful formula.
Having Nick Saban as head coach seems to be a very successful formula
unless you're in the NFL
Or Michigan State
Nick also aveerages about 6 5* guys and 14 4* guys every year. Damn under achiever
Wait. You have 2002 Ohio State listed at 70th on O. Typo?
Nope I just looked again, 70 is right but that makes my bullet for worst offense wrong. I did put an asterix beside Ohio St. when I was looking at the list though because that team defied logic.
And if the 8-second late PI penalty wasn't called on Miami, that OSU team isn't a national champion.
out of curiousity what was Miami's Offense & Defense ranking that year?
funny - I ran these numbers a couple of years ago for a post on TSL.
Miami was 6 and 7 that year. Defense wins championships ....
I included the numbers twice to have the averages for the cases where the championship was split.
Their national championship that year is bull shit. The refs called that pass interference call on the U db about 10 seconds after the last play. I don't like either team, but that always felt like the U got the screw job on that call.
I just texted this comment to my buddy who went to the U. Yes, I have a friend who went to the U. They gave him a schollie (swimming) so I forgave him years ago.
Appears that Ohio State's championship was a fluke according to the stats as much as it seemed to be on the field.
Recruiting top players definitely helps
Can we make a bourbon/whiskey reference to recruiting
The Top Echelon of recruiting represents the 60% of the Title game conversation
edit-include freshman. color coordinated, also LSU 2011 recruiting should be red
are these rankings for the same year as the championships listed or shifted by a year or two. In other words, did LSU bring in the #8 class the same year they played Bama for the title? Because one would assume that a great recruiting class would have the biggest impact a year or two down the road when those talented players adjust to college ball. Most of the freshmen break out players we hear about are redshirt freshman who've had a year to get used to practicing at a college level.
One year adjusted, but i did link colors for freshmen also. Going straight up and down each colomn its signing in Feb 2007 playing on Jan 2009 Championship game
Looking at this list really gives some insight into why UGA fans are so restless. They're in the top 10 six times and haven't played in the champ game once.
Also, only Michigan and Notre Dame have had top 10 recruiting classes from outside the bible belt, Texas area and southern Cal regions
bourbon/whiskey shot everytime we refernce recruiting =me attempting to do the david wilson when we sign recruits
I say we go for the mythical 38/0 ranking, bro
It's worth noting that only twice did a team's offense outrank it's defense, but it would be more beneficial to look at their opponent to see how they matched up and why that team with those rankings won.
Well if you have a great defense, normally your raw offensive numbers won't reach their potential.
Shorter fields, running out the clock at end of game, etc.
True dat.
yeah, I'm not sure if this is an analysis of total yards or PPG, but both are flawed metrics in determining efficiency.
I would prefer to see this analysis with FEI/S&P, which is an improvement but not a perfect metric. I imagine the result is similar, you need a good defense and a top 30 offense to win a national title.
My favorite metric is wins.
In a lot of ways, that's the worst metric.
Some of those champs also played a conference slate full of good defenses, further skewing it.
My take away: F$U last year was ridiculously good. 6th ranked offense and 3rd defense with their first stringers sitting the bench in the second half of almost every game is unbelievable.
So the moral of the thread...
Recruiting matters and having a top offense to go with a top defense matters as well.
To be good you should be good.
to beat the best you gotta be the best...
Ehhhh, I think you got that one backwards.
No, it works both ways.
It actually appears to be correct both ways. Which is really interesting (at least to me)...
To be the best you've got to beat the best
To beat the best you've got to be the best
WOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yjW9UXoKU2s
And if that doesn't clarify it for you, here you go...
'These shoes cost more than your house!...'
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TfBZ52mkaiI
I think if we score more points than the other teams we will win more games...
Well, the Wake game disproved Jerry Claiborne's theory that if we hold the other team to zero points, we will win the game.
Curious what VTs rankings were in 99, if anyone knows
9th in total offense, 3rd in total defense
and whatever special teams was ranked, if we were but one or two spots higher, our discarded national championship trophy would be full...and still in Merriman
http://fs.ncaa.org/Docs/stats/football_records/DI/2000/1999Stats.pdf
Total defense #3
Rushing defense #3
Scoring defense #1
Total offense #9
Scoring offense #1
Rushing offense #8