Four Weeks, Four Questions: Who Makes The Leap?

We see growth every offseason, but can we determine the players who will break expectations in 2015?

J.C. Coleman [Mark Umansky]

Ah, spring football.

The time of year when we simultaneously attempt to analyze the football team's performance last year, while we also try to wipe any memory of the previous season from our minds.

The Hokies start their spring practice today, which is exciting for a variety of reasons. It's the only time in which you can be unabashedly positive and no one can tell you otherwise. I can't even tell you how many stupid things I've talked myself into during spring footballs of old, but let me try to list them:

The Ike Whitaker era, the George Bell era, Ike Whitaker era two: wide receiver edition, Curt Newsome keeping Sean Glennon upright, Mike O'Cain significantly developing Tyrod Taylor in 2007, Donaldven Manning-shutdown corner, Mike O'Cain significantly developing Tyrod in 2008, Cody Journell possibly being the best kicker under Frank Beamer, Mike O'Cain significantly developing Tyrod in 2009, national title contention in 2010 and the "we may use some pistol!" plan in 2012.

And those were just semi-recently! (If we extended it any further it would have included things like "I'm sure Marcus is innocent" and I don't think we want to pick at that scab.)

Moral of the story, I'm dumb. In fact we're all just suckers buying in to whatever the coaching staff wants to feed us. But it's spring ball, and we can believe just about whatever we want (looking at you, Club Leal.)

Another thing that makes it so great is the unknown, the fact that there's enough to speculate on to satisfy our football fix until August. And to have stuff to chew on over the summer, I do the same thing each time this season comes around. Once I've researched and completed my bracket, I do a deep dive of Hokie football. While I'm digging through all the stats and roster changes, I often come up with a handful of questions that will guide my thinking from now until late September.

While yes, that is a long time to hang on to only four or five things, they're broader than your run-of-the-mill inquiries. For instance, I'm not going to spend my summer worrying about who the starting quarterback will be, but instead what does the quarterback situation mean for the growth of the wide receivers? Unless you have talents that are clairvoyant in nature, correctly answering something like that this early is basically just guessing.

And once those general thoughts are in place, I watch them unfold over the next six months. Since there are four weeks between today and the spring game, I've decided to put my musings in print this time. Once a week between now and that magical ESPN3 televised Saturday in April, I hope to flesh out my curiosities.

So without further ado, here's the first.

Question 1: Who makes "the leap"?

It's something that's been asked about every team in every level of sport. While it sounds like a discussion for either bad sports radio or a generic listicle in mid-May, the leap is something that should be taken very seriously. It's when a player improves his game from one level to the next, and is vital to an organization or program's development.

Growth can come in all shapes and sizes. For example, Ken Ekanem took the leap last year. Though he was a highly sought after recruit, the defensive end had never done anything of note up until the beginning of 2014. But now, nine-and-a-half sacks later, could you imagine what Tech's defensive line, razor thin at end, would have looked like without him?

But that being said, a player making the leap doesn't have to have the great breakout year that Ekanem had. Andre Smith only had 20 catches as a senior in 2010 but was an incredibly important target for Tyrod. Cody Grimm was splitting time at whip with Cam Martin in 2008. Martin got dinged up and Grimm became one of the best defenders for the Hokies in October and November, part-one of his two-step ascension into becoming a human missile launcher.

Watching a guy take that next step in his career is not only fun in the personal aspect of rooting for the individual, but also because it has a huge meaning for the Hokies. It's even more impactful for a team like Tech, one currently teetering on the precipice of irrelevancy. They need any big time player they can get, at whatever position in which they come.

In a way that's good, because you can never really predict this kind of thing. The player that everyone assumes will break out often never does, for a variety of reasons. Coming off a stellar freshman campaign, Ryan Williams was thought to be a potential Heisman contender. Injuries prevented it from ever happening. Jake Johnson was supposed to be Bud Foster's next great inside linebacker, he lost his job to Lyndell Gibson and then disappeared.

And who will ever forget perhaps the most anticipated leap to never happen? Logan Thomas was once Mel Kiper Jr.'s golden child. We all expected the world, and he never quite measured up to all of our (probably unfair) hopes and dreams.

So even after admitting that we have no possible way to predict this, let's prognosticate anyway. Which players raise their game from 2014 to 2015?

Possibly the most obvious candidate is Andrew Motuapuaka. He had his struggles filling in for Chase Williams at mike linebacker, but it was also a tough spot to put him in. He has substantial experience under his belt, more than anyone thought he would heading into his sophomore season, which is a nice start. I wouldn't be surprised if Motuapuaka had his named butchered out of attempted reverence by over 60 thousand people in Lane Stadium come Labor Day night.

Sticking on that side of the ball, I'm not just looking for, but semi-expecting a Grimm-like jump for Chuck Clark. The guy had over 70 tackles as the nickel a year ago, and the thought of the thick shouldered, rangy defensive back playing at free safety is salivating.

It's trickier to do this on offense. I'm not going to say any of the wide receivers, the coaching change and the ongoing quarterback situation makes me dubious of any huge steps forward. That being said, I was suspect of two true freshmen pass catchers (Ford and Phillips) contributing right out of the gate last year, yet here we are.

If I'm hesitant to throw a receiver in the mix, I'm absolutely not going to expect one out of the quarterback position. Yes, it's Michael Brewer's first full year in Blacksburg and yes, he showed flashes, but there were enough negatives for me to pull the reigns back on even cautious optimism.

Some of the linemen are interesting, but I don't know enough about o-line play to confidently tag any incumbent as a leap guy. And with the injuries (and, well, legal matters) of most of the other young running backs this seems to only leave one person. The ever-fascinating J.C. Coleman.

Now, color me skeptical about any potential room for the rising senior to be a workhorse back that many once clamored for him to be. In fact, outside of one great game when he was a freshman (183 yards, 2 TDs against Duke), J.C. had never really showed many signs of life for nearly three quarters of his career. That was, however, before he finished 2014 like a five-foot-seven-inch jackhammer.

Is rushing for 468 yards during the team's last four games, sustainable? Probably not. But considering that there's not going to be much of a choice for Shane Beamer and Scot Loeffler this year, are those final weeks something to build off of? Definitely.

The Hokies haven't seen a runner grow into an ideal role since David Wilson was doing backflips at practice, but it seems like Coleman may be the most likely person to step into that void.

Or not, because these things are impossible to figure out. All I know is that I have some guys I'm watching, and they're ones that the Hokies need to make a leap if this season is going to be any better than the last three.

Comments

You forgot a big Spring Football Disappointment: Scot Loeffler - Power Running Game.

Right now, the only DE's who can take reps opposite Dadi Nicolas are:
1) Seth Dooley
2) Dwayne Alford (didn't participate in winter workouts and Bud hasn't mentioned him- may not still be on the team)
3) Melvin Keihn
4) Yosh Nijiman (just named one of the top 3 winter workout performers along with Wyatt Teller and Shawn Payne by Jarrett Ferguson in an interview with Beamerball.com today. I sure hope he proves me wrong and has the twitch to play
5) Walk on Jeremy Haynes

Forget stepping up- somebody has to be healthy enough to provide reps and give a good look to the offense.

The center position will be a constant area of attention. Safety is obvious, but I think Bud is pretty comfortable with his options there. Corner is going to look week because Stroman and Edmunds may be starting right off the bat with Reynolds being given a chance to play on an island often against the starters. Payne will be with that group too. Don't be shocked if DerWoun Greene gets some work there as well. If any of the prospective safeties are built to play corner, Greene is the guy.

Five star get after it 100 percent Juice Key-Playing. MAN

I am pretty sure Alford left the team. no sources on this though.

Xavier Burke will likely end up at DE. He's a January enrollee.

If Motley is still on the team, I wouldn't mind seeing Durkin get some HBack work.

I think so too, although Stiney said otherwise during the NOVA Recruit night. He was more productive at DE than Nijman (at least based on the film of both) at FUMA last fall.

Five star get after it 100 percent Juice Key-Playing. MAN

Stiney also said that before Hill blew out his knee. Somebody is getting moved to DE this year, and Burke makes sense. Maybe even Edmunds in August, but Burke is here now and could become our 4th DE.

Burke is a TE on the spring roster and I don't think it's very likely that he switches. Malleck and Hodges are done after this year, and as key as that position is to our offense, we need guys like Burke in the pipeline at TE.

You'll see Corey Marshall or Vincent Mihota playing DE before Burke IMO.

If someone else switches to TE I might change my tune.

http://www.hokiesports.com/football/players/?sort=Position,LastName

Wiley, Brown, Russell, Drakeford, Gray, Banks, Prioleau, Charleton, Midget, Bird, McCadam, Pile, Hall, Green, Fuller, Williams, Hamilton, Rouse, Flowers, Harris, Chancellor, Carmichael, Hosley, Fuller, Exum, Jarrett

I think Hodges will be back for 2016. He was very raw last year and will get better but it will take a huge jump to get him NFL ready. There are the little things like setting up a defender and using his body better that he needs to improve on that only come with experience. And blocking of course.

"I'm too drunk to taste this chicken" - Colonel Sanders via Ricky Bobby

and regardless of what happens with Brewer vs Motley, Durkin will be the wildcat and especially goal line QB. Guaranteed.

Five star get after it 100 percent Juice Key-Playing. MAN

We need to get Durkin on the field. He might be our best goalline tailback.

SOMETHING FOOTBALL IS HAPPENING!

"We judge ourselves by our intentions and others by their behavior" Stephen M.R. Covey

“When life knocks you down plan to land on your back, because if you can look up, you can get up, if you fall flat on your face it can kill your spirit” David Wilson

Ronny Van Dyke

He has gotten the praise of the coaches ever since he got on campus. Has all the athletic tools to play that position exactly the way that Foster wants it played. Please stay healthy...

Thought about him. Also thought about adding him to the list of things I talked myself into in springs past, so...

Alternately 30 for 30: Spring Broken - An Athletic Trainer's Story

A decade on TKP and it's been time well spent.

He covered Corey Fuller one on one all spring long in 2012 and was outstanding. He is a major talent. He has to find a way to stay healthy though.

Five star get after it 100 percent Juice Key-Playing. MAN

O YE FOOTBALL GODS, HEAR OUR PRAYERS!!!

Leonard. Duh.

I'm thinking DJ Reid or McMillan may have a bigger year on offense backing up Coleman or whoever starts. Reid has all the measurables and the coaches seem to always be high on McMillan, and with the injuries at the position, they will both have opportunities to get lots of reps this spring

I agree. Knowing that Shai and Marshawn won't get snaps means that one of or both of those two will get a good amount of plays. With good push from the line JC can be our starter, but I've never been a big fan of Trey. Hoping DJ or McMillan can step up

At 100% healthy, Trey Edmunds is the best all around running back on the roster. He can do everything in the running game and passing game that you ask of the backs. He is a great player waiting to break out...

Provided he is healthy. Trey looked severely hobbled even when he played last year. Hopefully his injuries are healed and not chronic problems.

Five star get after it 100 percent Juice Key-Playing. MAN

100% agree, people forget just how good he looked his final two games in 2013 before he got hurt. He looked unstoppable against UVA before his injury.

Trey was responsible for this...

Tweedy can run like a dadgum antelope or whatever. I like to use scalded dog. Do antelopes lumber? Cheetah, OK. He runs like a cheetah. He's fast. - Bud Foster

After reading the article -- and countless threads and comments -- I was just getting to write "Why are people acting like Trey Edmunds left the program?" and then I saw your comment.

Agree 100% with you (well almost, I thought he was actually looking fairly healthy about the time he got injured again).

Yeah, he was getting there until the collarbone.

At least in Trey's case, he's dealing with bones much more than ligament and muscle tears. It seems like a broken bone, once you trust yourself again, would be a lesser injury to heal from than a torn quad or ACL.

No, I *don't* want to go to the SEC. Why do you ask?

We don't love dem Hoos.

Bones are always better. I mean, Paul George of the Pacers is set to maybe play soon, and look at what happened to him.

Yeah, he's been medically cleared. Just has to get back in game shape and force himself to not rely on one leg over the other.

stick it in, stick it in, stick it in!

I have heard y'all say this before but I'm not looking to Trey. Would he be great to have? Sure. But he fits into a George-Bell-shaped mold to me.

Luckily collarbones aren't nearly as bad as chronic knee injuries. Here's hoping.

If you think they're good, just wait until Drew Harris gets on campus! *ducks*

Hokies National Champs 2035
Drew Harris, Heisman Winner

No, I *don't* want to go to the SEC. Why do you ask?

We don't love dem Hoos.

Cody Journell making "the leap":

Also thanks for bringing up the pistol year. What a cluster that was

HOKIE HOKIE HOKIE HI
'14 grad

That pistol/shotgun/Stiney-went-down-to-Texas offense was the biggest cluster I have ever seen. We heard we were going to see some hurry up, but that was probably the slowest hurry up offense ever. Let's hurry up to the line, then have Logan look over to the sideline for the call and endlessly audible until the play clock just about runs out. Those were some pretty low times looking back.

Let's hurry up to the line, then have Logan look over to the sideline for the call and endlessly audible until the play clock just about runs out.

Is that a bad thing, though? The defense doesn't get to substitute, and the OC gets to see how the defense lines up before he calls the play. Hurry-up isn't all about running as many plays as possible. Sometimes the game situation calls for eating up the clock. Sometimes it doesn't.

"Our job as coaches is to influence young people's lives for the better in terms of fundamental skills, work ethic, and doing the right thing. Every now and again, a player actually has that effect on the coaching staff." Justin Fuente on Sam Rogers

Well, I don't know if it's a good thing or a bad thing, but it obviously didn't help us any. That offense was pretty painful to watch and horribly executed. We probably confused ourselves with all the checks and audibles.

Another facet of the hurry-up is that, if you go fast enough like Oregon, the defense starts to tire a little bit, and breakdowns in coverages/mistakes start to happen.

The problem was that the play that eventually got run always looked like it had been drawn up while LT was looking over to sideline. There probably was one, but I can't recall a single time they went through this drill and it resulted in even a moderately successful gain.

Moral of the story, I'm dumb. In fact we're all just suckers buying in to whatever the coaching staff wants to feed us. But it's spring ball, and we can believe just about whatever we want (looking at you, Club Leal.)

This. Oh god, so much this.

I was the presidente of Club Leal since 2012.. Much like my hopes and dreams for success in that period of time, my hope and dream of him getting a start never happened.

"If at first you do not succeed, then skydiving is not for you." - Anonymous

i was in that club too. then UCLA happened and took all momentum out of that debate. but i still think that if he had gotten starter reps in practice and was able to get in-game experience other than handing it off, he would have been ok. When VT landed Ricardo Young and Mark Leal in the same class, we were all pretty excited about the future.

I understand the caution, but I actually expect a pretty good leap in QB play this year. Last year, we had Leal and Motley at this time as viable candidates for the QB job, and Brewer came in for a month and won it from them. This year, Brewer will have a full year to know the system, Ford and Durkin are now a year older and should be able to push competition to a higher level and Motley is supposed to be healthy. Also, some people believe that Lawson could be starting this year. With this level of competition, I would hope that there is a large amount of improvement by at least one of those guys.

exit light

If you know someone who thinks Lawson will start, smack them. It won't happen unless Brewer, Ford and Motley are all hurt or suspended.

Wet stuff on the red stuff.

Join us in the Key Players Club

You forgot Durkin.

Don't see Durkin even in the mix this year for starter.

Wet stuff on the red stuff.

Join us in the Key Players Club

Yeah, his throwing motion looks much-improved from last year, but he's got a ways to go as a passer in terms of consistently getting the ball to where he wants it to be. Ford is a guy who could possibly step up and take some reps from the older guys.

I wasn't saying that I think that anyone other than Brewer will start, but I do think that the rest of those guys are going to be pushing him to get better every day so that he can hold on to the starting spot. I think people that say Lawson is gonna start are crazy, too.

exit light

I'm most hopeful that Loeffler/Brewer combo can make "the leap" now they have a second year together. If they can make the jump to top-50 in yards/game and points/game (just to pull two stats that seem the most indicative of success) which were 99th and 94th respectively last year, the team really ought to be very good.

Danny Coale is like 7-11, he's always open

I'm a big fan of the wins/game stat

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Imagine what that stat would look like if the offense weren't a grease fire and both the offense and defense were helping to win games.

What's the step slightly above grease fire? That's what I see us being this year.

Offense ranking:
1-20: Municipal Fireworks
20-40: Backyard Fireworks
40-60: Sparklers
60-80: Flaming Bag of Poo
80-100: Grease Fire
100-120+: Dumpster Fire

I'm hoping for sparklers. There's enough talent at the skill positions to get there if the o-line can just be mediocre.

Agreed, sparklers are at least starting to be fun and are not foul by their very nature.

We need to get past the flaming bag of poo point. Offensively.

Sparklers offense would have everyone on this site weeping with joy

They were sparklers in pts/game (57th) and backyard fireworks (35th) in yards/game in 2011. That offense wasn't always pretty but it worked decently enough. Things have fallen off the cliff since that year.

Amazing what having your school's single season rushing leader can do to make a horribly mismanaged offense look halfway not like a crime against nature.

"I liked you guys a lot better when everybody told you you were terrible." -Justin Fuente

Also had a functional and plausibly competent o-line, 2 of the school's best receivers ever, and a QB who wasn't yet broken by George Whitfield and his snake oil.

Don't forget the Dragerbombs!

"That kid you're talking to right there, I think he played his nuts off! And you can quote me on that shit!" -Bud Foster

And Bryan Stinespring, statistically the best Offensive Coordinator on the staff........

These categories need to be in the FAQ and usage their should be mandatory.

30 years after starting grad school at Virginia Tech, I finally defended my dissertation and earned my PhD.
Don't give up on your dreams.

Yeah a Flaming Bag of Poo but hoping for BF

Even when you get skunked; fishing never lets you down. 🎣

I dunno ... I am fine leaving a flaming bag of poo on peoples doorstep as long as they step on it and we come away with the win.

Its poop again.

HE CALLED THE S*** POOP!!!

"The Big Ten is always using excuses to cancel games with us. First Wisconsin. Then Wisconsin. After that, Wisconsin. The subsequent cancellation with Wisconsin comes to mind too. Now Penn State. What's next? Wisconsin?" -HorseOnATreadmill

Dooley gets it.

Does pizza count as pie?!

You could put 85% of our receivers on a spring bust list.
Knowles, Coles, Marcus Davis

Marcus Davis wasn't bad as long as you didn't ask him to play with any sort of heart.

Wohoo! Club Leal! This will be his breakout year, I can feel it.

HOKIE HOKIE HOKIE HI
'14 grad

I wouldn't be surprised if Motuapuaka had his named butchered out of attempted reverence by over 60 thousand people in Lane Stadium come Labor Day night.

Solved: Moto!!

The guy (Chuck Clark) had over 70 tackles as the nickel a year ago, and the thought of the thick shouldered, rangy defensive back playing at free safety is salivating.

Sounds like Kam, the Sequel!

Pain is Temporary, Chicks Dig Scars
Glory is Forever, Let's Go Hokies!!

Motuapuaka ... what a wonderful phrase

"Our job as coaches is to influence young people's lives for the better in terms of fundamental skills, work ethic, and doing the right thing. Every now and again, a player actually has that effect on the coaching staff." Justin Fuente on Sam Rogers

Motuapuaka...ain't no passing craze
Quarterbacks are hurried for the rest of their days
It's our running free
Crash-bang LB!
Motuapuaka

A decade on TKP and it's been time well spent.

Also, I want him to do this

A decade on TKP and it's been time well spent.

Dress up in drag and do the hula?

HOKIE HOKIE HOKIE HI
'14 grad

Y'know what? YES.

A decade on TKP and it's been time well spent.

Step Up Factor = Percentage that certain players improve - Percentage that certain others players regress. See 2012.

Reality has a mighty pimp hand.

Go JC! Kick some serious *ss!

Long live Rasche Hall

Carlis Parker gone! I am not getting that. Someone explain please!

Even when you get skunked; fishing never lets you down. 🎣

He was on the team and now he's not!

But no, seriously, it probably had something to do with him wanting to be a qb, coming in and moving to wr almost immediately. After limited playing time freshman year, he gets passed by a true freshman his second year and sees almost no playing time. Even his niche of jet sweeps was taken over by Newsome. He then sees his position coach leave. You'd have to really love what you are doing to sick through that

The Oline will make a leap. These guys look poised to breakout, the bowl game blocking was much improved, the recruiting has improved, as has the coaching and mindset

Replacing 3 starters is never easy on oline. And love Hansen's heart/effort, but if he's still listed as starting by OSU, we are in for a long year

Hansen has improved, but I also think Clark will make a push. Yes replacing starters is normally difficult but I like the new guys coming in

What week will People get permanently switched to TB from FB? Kid is a monster!

Does pizza count as pie?!

Under the current roster, he is listed as a FB, is he not?

I think so. I'm excited about him, we've been hearing about him on here like we used to hear about Sam Rogers.

Clearly our power set is going to look like this:

Micheal "Braveheart" Brewer
I. "will Escape you" Ford
Bucky "Khan of Khan" Hodges
Ryan "the Mallet" Malleck
THE SAMINAL
Steven "for the" Peoples/"Terminator" Trey Edmunds
Jonathan "McGlock"lin
"Awesome" Augie Conte
Wyatt "APM" Teller (Automated Pancake Machine)
Wade "Wilson" Hansen; aka "Deadpool"
Eric "the GALLOws"

And that's without:
JC "Come at me bro" Coleman
Cam "Catch Me If You Can" Phillips
Kalvin "at 88 mph" Cline
Xavier "Bruiser" Burke/ Dakota "50 Shades of Pain" Jackson

injured:
"Juice" Williams

Steven "for the Peoples - The Hokie peoples, hell yeah
Ryan "the Mallet" Malleck - Ryan the Malleck sounds like a viking
Jonathan "McGlock"lin - Does this even count?
JC "Come at me bro" Coleman - Come at me Broleman
Cam "Catch Me If You Can" Phillips - Catch me if you Cam Phillips
Kalvin "at 88 mph" Cline - Tight End, by Kalvin Cline, Absolute Zero, or "We must remember that Satan has his miracles, too" Cline

Nice adjustments, particularly like Cam Phillips one and Tight End by Kalvin Cline

APM. Teller. Nice...

Sometimes we live no particular way but our own

Lost it at "50 Shades of Pain"...

Stroman will be a superstar after this year, I see him as a DHall type player. He just makes plays as long as hes on the field.

If Nijman can be an option at DE, that would be huge. We need another player or two there to step up. Be good to see Dooley have a good spring.

We need a definite RB depth chart at the end of the spring. I think we are back to Coleman and Edmunds, just an improved version. Edmunds can be a great back and JC a nice change of pace. If McMillian or Reid or whoever takes it over thats fine as long as they are undoubtedly the best. Enough of having 5 guys getting PT. Two players should get 85% of the work there.

A playmaker to go along with Deon Clarke at LB would be welcome as well.

I'm not 100% convinced Nijman doesn't run like a DT.