well I lied, I said there wouldn't be any more weather reports by the time I graduated, but I also didn't expect tropical storm season to fire up so early. Looking like we're getting our first tropical storm of the season and shes developing off the coast of South Carolina/Georgia. I don't expect it to hit hurricane status although its really trying to get some more spin going in there, but it will probably be hitting the coastline of NC and VA beach Monday night and Tuesday morning, I'll post some charts once I'm done with finals tomorrow but just be in the lookout and maybe buy some toilet paper if you haven't already.
EDIT: http://www.weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/subtropical-storm-ana-first...
These guys sum it up pretty well, I could draw up some maps but they're not gonna come out as pretty as theres and I have a very similar path mapped out for the storm.

That is weather.coms path I expect it to hit a little bit north of that (maybe 50-100 miles no biggie really) around saturday evening and sunday morning. It should work its way up steadily along the coast bringing a lot of rain with it. If the article is TLDR winds are around 40 MPH with some rain bands that are going to lead to some significant downpours. shouldn't be anything to life threatening but for the love of god dont go swimming in this thing. Expect some serious media coverage and some silly headlines thrown out in the next few days due to the fact that this thing marks the beginning of tropical system season and its coming about 3-4 weeks early... every time something happens that the media isn't used to they love to give it cute and clever names and freak the fudge out, but it was just some unique conditions. I'm not to certain about long-term forecasts so I will have to look into what the outlook is for this season but there hasn't been talk around the labs about how severe this one is going to be so don't let this be an indicator. The convective season however is a totally different storm, early season is looking very ominous for some heavy duty storms.
As for my poor friend in south dakota....I'm really sorry you're looking at the possibility of a foot of snow, theres no ifs ands or buts about it you're probably getting snow here this weekend. Good news is ice is looking like not much of a possibility!

Comments
Just in time for my last weekend at the fire house till my wife delivers. We have Harley bike week starting and are going to get a tropical storm on us at Myrtle Beach.
Congrats to you and your wife. As for the storm, when she was alive, my mom and all of her friends in North Myrtle Beach would have been vacating the shore already because of Harley bike week. A T storm this early would have sent them all scurrying to the HoJo in Flo(rence) anyway. While very wary of storms, they used to hate the "whatever" weeks down there. And it wasn't behavior, but congestion that sent them packing. Hope you have a fun week tooling around without your helmets, and hope the storm fizzles out for you.
Thanks it's our third kid, all three of them girls! I don't mind either of the bike weeks, I live in the south end, not as much traffic and with two kids already we are home by six most nights anyway. As for the storm it looks to be just rain but we may see some flash flooding and some surf rescues.
We'll keep good thoughts for you this weekend. Just too early for this nonsense.
Congrats to you (and all other graduates).
I enjoy your informative posts.
However when reading them, I always picture you like this:
Well I'm a dude and certainly no cross dresser!
You couldn't let us have this one thing....
This is pretty good advice for just about any situation
Nah, man. Screw the TP. We need bread, milk, and eggs. We gotta overstock on refrigerated items when the power is more likely to go out!
Well, that is certainly odd. Not used to seeing tropical storms this early in the season, especially with the water still being so cool from winter. ....Also odd, is the fact that here in Rapid City, SD were under a freaking SEVERE WINTER STORM WATCH WITH A POSSIBILITY OF 6-8 INCHES OF SNOW BETWEEN TOMORROW NIGHT AND SUNDAY. /capslock. I mean wth. It's mid May. I can't deal with this.
Horry County (Myrtle Beach) just went to OPCON 4, which is the lowest of alert levels. Mostly looking at flooding and problems with surf at the beach and people being too stupid to not go into the water.
Just in time for my post-exam vacation to Charleston. My weather app on my phone doesn't indicate much impact for Friday/Saturday but it's also not very intuitive.
"butts"
-dude from South Dakota
It's 85 and sunny here in Charlotte