
The Hokies return to Lane Stadium on Saturday afternoon to take on No. 23 Duke. Having the benefit of a bye week to get healthy and prepare for Virginia Tech, the Blue Devils head into the matchup with a confident signal caller and a young and stingy defense. Are Cut's kids for real, or are they overachieving thanks to a weak opening schedule? In an effort to get to the bottom of this and much more, I spoke with Laura Keeley of the Raleigh News & Observer.
The Blue Devils sit at 5-1 on the season and snuck into the Top 25 for the first time this week. With that being said, the four FBS teams that they've defeated have a combined record of 9-18 on the year. Are the Blue Devils for real, or are they being propped up by a weak opening schedule?
It's hard to say for sure. Obviously, two weeks ago, the 19-10 loss to Northwestern didn't look bad at all. And at that point, there was still reason to believe maybe Georgia Tech wasn't terrible. I do think the defense is for real, though. All a defense can do is try to shut down the players lined up opposite them, and the Blue Devils have done that exceptionally well, ranking fourth nationally in total defense (252.8 yards per game). But more than anything else, look at the rest of the schedule — outside of UNC and Miami, Duke's opponents boast pretty terrible offenses. So the Blue Devils should be able to ride their defense for several more victories down the stretch.
During the preseason, you discussed the coaching staff's confidence in Thomas Sirk's transition into the starting quarterback role. Through six games, Sirk appears to be living up to the hype. Given the Hokies' struggles against dual-threat quarterbacks in the past, what should Tech expect to see from Sirk on Saturday?
Sirk's performance has depended heavily this year on the level of competition — against non-Power Five teams, Sirk is completing 66 percent of his passes and averaging 7.3 yards per attempt with three touchdowns and zero interceptions. Against Power Five teams: A completion percentage of 59 percent, 4.6 yards per attempt, one touchdown and three interceptions (ESPN's David Hale was the first to crunch those numbers).
When faced with tough defenses, Sirk has a tendency to either quickly dump the ball off in a checkdown to a running back or just tuck it and run straight ahead through the tackles. I'd expect that habit to be hard to break against the Hokies on Saturday.
Along with Sirk, tailbacks Shaquille Powell and Shaun Wilson have been very involved in this offense. Walk us through how Coach Cutcliffe has utilized their skill sets, and how important are they to the offense's success?
The running backs have been far more involved in the passing game this year than in year's past. Part of that might be unintentional, as Cutcliffe has expressed some unhappiness with Sirk's decision making on those checkdowns, But the main offensive goal for Duke is to get the ball in the hands of playmakers in space, and the Blue Devils certainly think Powell and Wilson are the two best playmakers on offense right now.
As far as traditional running goes, no Duke team under Cutcliffe has ever ran this much (currently, 56.7 percent of the Blue Devils' offensive snaps have been running plays). That was the plan going into the year, though, to play to the offense's strengths (strong O-line, experienced running backs, running quarterback) and against its weaknesses (inexperienced wide receivers). Also, don't sleep on Jela Duncan, who missed the first three games with a partially torn pectoral muscle. He is averaging 7.1 yards per carry since he returned.
One of the biggest surprises appears to be the Duke defense, which is giving up a stingy 9.3 points per game and just over 266 yards per contest against FBS squads. What's behind this sudden improvement, and how are they accomplishing it?
This is where you're really seeing the strength of what Cutcliffe has built at Duke. The Blue Devils lost three of their four defensive lineman and both starting linebackers—and they're better at both positions this year. That's thanks to solid recruiting (six redshirt or true freshman are contributing in the front six) and player development (redshirt junior DT A.J. Wolf is among the most improved players, and senior Dwayne Norman's move from safety to linebacker has made a huge difference). Now, suddenly, with the defensive front giving opponents trouble up front and the linebackers making plays, the back end of Duke's defense, which was expected to be the unit's strength, is having a much easier time.
And, oh yeah, it helps to have a high NFL Draft pick in safety Jeremy Cash out there. Cash plays almost as a hybrid linebacker-safety, up closer to the line of scrimmage, and he has the latitude to go make plays in space.
It's still early, but the Coastal is once again a souvenir snow globe with a cloudy landscape. How do you see things settling when all's said and done?
I picked Pitt at the beginning of the year, and if James Conner were still healthy, I'd feel like that was pretty close to a slam dunk. But even without him, I see Pitt, along with UNC and Duke, challenging for the division title. The schedule breaks favorably for all of those teams (no Florida State or Clemson), and none of them have any glaring weaknesses compared to the others.
Time to put you on the spot. Who wins on Saturday and how do they do it?
Much like this series has gone for the past two years, I expect it to be ugly offensively. But Duke is coming in with confidence, whereas I feel like the Hokies are backpedaling after that loss at Miami. Give me Duke in a 13-10 field goal fest.

Comments
Somehow, someway this inconsistant VT teams plays lights out and beats Duke, which will continue to make this Jeckel and Hyde season very frustrating. Go Hokies!
Good read, score seems about right but I have a feeling it will tip in our way because, Dookies
I don't understand this...Duke has been better than VT at football for at least 3 years now. I think that constitutes as enough recent success to peg Duke as the better football team. They have been to the ACCCG more recently than VT has. Why does the fact that they're Duke have any bearing on the outcome of this game? If anything, the reason that they're Duke (a better team than VT over the last 3 years) should tip the scales in their favor. Between them being ranked, them being better recently, and VT not really having a true home field advantage since at least 2010 I really don't understand how VT is even favored in this game.
I agree with everything you're saying and personally think duke should be favored. The counter to your argument would be the fact that while duke has been the better team the last three years we've only lost to them once.
Last two games decided by a total of four points. I don't think they're clearly the better team, I think we are essentially equivalent. Results on the field would support that. Based on the last two years, they're the type of team we'd win five out of ten against.
Somehow, I don't take comfort in that.
VT has slid an awful long way when head-to-heads with Duke are a coin toss.
It was definitely not intended to be a positive.
I would say being coastal champions while we struggle for a bowl is pretty clearly better.
Dookies were ranked last year at home when we needed a big win, just saying...
It depends on which Hokie team shows up. The Pitt-Miami/lackluster one that gives up on plays, or the one that actually plays to the talents and skill level it has/plays to the whistle/swarms to the ball/pounds the rock/etc... I think VT is plenty CAPABLE of winning this one. But I've no clue which VT will show up. Am fervently hoping for the second one.
Stop me if you've heard this one before.
Unfortunately, this game does look like a defensive slugfest.
One big difference from two years ago will be a kicker named Slye.
Hard facts:
Career FG %
Cody Journell: 44 of 58 for 75.9%
Joey Slye: 28 of 40 for 70.0%
Maybe Slye is doing better this year? Not so much. 8 of 12 for 66.7%.
Slye is the first Tech kicker I can think of who has been allowed to consistently kick 50+ yarders. Raw percentage with a small sample size isn't a fair comparison really, though I'm not going to go through the trouble of breaking it down further.
Beat me to it. Leg for you.
Just looking at this season alone, Slye has been asked to attempt some pretty long field goals. Unless you're Janikowski, those long field goals are going to bring down any kicker's FG %.
You are correct. Slye is 8 of 12 on the season. Of the four misses, three have been from 45 yards or longer.
It should be noted, this isn't a bad thing. It's a byproduct of the fact that we are doing very well at scoring TDs in the red zone this year. We're currently 21st in the nation at red zone TD percentage, which means Slye just isn't getting a lot of easy, short field goal attempts.
That was brutal. Duke was outgained by almost 200 yards, out FD'd by 6 and had 4 TO's....and won! We also had 4 TO's and missed 2 FG's (which are like TO's to me).
In a lot of ways, that was the game that started our slide. We were ranked 16th at that time, 6-1, 3-0 in the ACC. Lost to BC the next week, destroyed a ranked Miami team in CG, lost to UMD at home, slugged it out with UVA, got pants'd by UCLA.
We have only been ranked for one week since that Duke game.
They had about 180 yards of offense and also failed to convert a single third down... AND WON UGHHHHH
That one still hurts.
proof that not all turnovers are created equal. Tell someone that you had 200 yards more than your opponent and didn't lose the turnover battle and they'd say you won that game. Sigh.
There's a sign above the bar at my house:
Unfortunately, its my first scapegoat. That needs replacement.
The game that started our slide...not coincidentally the game we lost Kyle Fuller. Everything changed that day.
Can't tell if reference to TBS or The Smiths... or both... or neither.
Their beat writer doesn't seem terribly confident playing a beat up, beaten often and nowhere near ranked VT team. "Duke in a 13-10 field goal fest"?
I dunno if we win, but she seems to suspect what I do: dook = paper tiger.
VT 34, Dook 17
Bold prediction time. Starting Brewer adds a wrinkle Duke isn't prepared for, as Loeffler opens up the playbook and uses things he wasn't able to with Motley. Duke is caught flat-footed and VT wins comfortably.
A score of 13-10 would mean that exactly 3 field goals would be made, hardly a "fest." :)
I supposed it could be 4 FGs, if the 13 came from 3 FGs and 2 safeties.
I was all ready to type just what you said, and then you said it 34 minutes before I could.
I'm pleasantly surprised at everyones optimism. And here i thought everyone had written off the season. I'm a little terrified myself.
While I am ready for Beamer and company to be gone I would like to see him go out in a last bowl game and keep his streak alive, so we need 3 more wins and I think this is one we can get along with loluva. The 3rd?
Just because we make a bowl doesn't mean he would be the one coaching it.
oooof!
Strong statement
I mean I know she's a beat writer and not a blogger or fan site writer but I hate it when the opposition doesn't reciprocate the Q&A. I like reading both but I especially enjoy reading our guys answer questions about us and then read the comments to said questions on the other fan sites.
Check out Andy Bitter's posts.
but...but... you can't get there from here. they closed the portal between the sites...
Yea I still read Andy too. It always feels a little funny though. I feel like I'm hanging out with two old friends who used to be friends, and as much as I would like for them to make up I know it can never happen.
so sad.....
cant wait to lose this game. We are absolutely garbage. maybe next year
His application should have been rejected with his response to the "location" question.
Go away please
I definitely agree that we dont need that type of pessimism around here, but I uv'd the guy. Things far worse than that have been said before. Just needs to rebound, not get banned.
Not pessimism, he called us garbage. That's not Hokie to me.
I, for one, appreciate it when someone is willing to share a well thought out and supported opinion, even if it goes against the general consensus on the site...oh sorry, I was talking about a different comment. This one's garbage.
I think yall misunderstood. He meant:
cant wait to lo[o]se[n the cannon for] this game. We are absolutely [gonna take out the] garbage. maybe next year [we'll do it again]
I apologize, im bored.
To DC: I don't down leg people's opinions but REALLY dude. I'm a Hokie and so is everyone playing or coaching on that field. I am always rooting for my team. I know the landscape has changed but I will always believe we beat Duke. Hopefully I can say that in BB someday as well. Go Hokies. 27-17
If we can keep Cash out of the box with a couple plays over the top to Ford I think our run game will be fine. Duke doesn't have the explosive athletes Miami has, especially with Crowder gone, so I'm not worried about our defense. With Brewer back I think we win semi comfortably
We did everything we could to give Miami that game. They got a lot of free points, and we gave away a lot of points. I thought our defense played pretty well. In the end Kayaa was really good throwing against pretty good coverage. Miami's receivers made plays against our young secondary. I don't think Sirk and the Duke receivers can do the same, and I think with Brewer back, our mentality will be much better and we will have a "get after it" attitude.
VT will be juiced up...VT 31 - Duke 13
I share your optimism, but will take it a step further. 38-0, bro.
Yeah, the way the new and improved Duke (last three years) plays doesn't match up well against us. They play to our strengths and lack the ability to really exploit our weaknesses. Even the game they beat us, they played a terrible game, but they hit two 50+ yard fields goals, we missed a few and had 4 really bad turnovers. It's not like they lined up and beat us like they were the better team.