There's no By the (Advanced) Numbers this week due to the bye, but after the convincing win against BC and (unexpected?) win by UVA over GT, I thought I would update the win total projections:
That puts Tech's bowl odds at about 1 in 3. Two factors likely make that higher:
1 - You'd be crazy if you think the team won't play their asses off for Frank to make a bowl
2 - It seems likely at this point that to fill all bowl slots, a few 5-7 teams will need to be taken. Virginia Tech is almost certainly the top of that list.
Beat Georgia Tech, and even if no one's ratings change we'd be looking at greater than 50/50 odds of a bowl.
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That distribution is skewed. In a good way.
We also need the guy that did VTs chances to get to the ACCCG to update his stats (I didn't look in detail so I'm not sure the possibility still exists).
It's actually even better with Miami "beating" Duke and LOLUVA beating GT.
That's what I thought, but I wanted to see, you know....the math!
Updated on Monday. Our chances this weekend improved from 16B:1 to 50M:1.
I've just been adding comments to the original thread instead of filling the tracker with multiple threads on the topic, but I'll probably make a new one after this weekend saying whether we're eliminated or if our chances just got that much better.
http://www.thekeyplay.com/comment/348689#comment-348689
Insert "So You're Saying There's A Chance" gif here