2018 FB Recruit Wishlist - June Update

After the craziness this weekend, it seems like a good time to update the wishlist. I am doing things a little bit differently this time. The last couple posts had been more of a prediction, than a wishlist, and if anything is clear from this past weekend, predicting a class is pointless. So I decided to go back to a true wishlist. There are some reaches on this list, but I think we have at least a shot with all of the kids listed. Here we go:

Best Case Scenario:

Name Pos. Stars Composite Score Notes
Quincy Patterson QB 3 0.8708
Ronnie Walker RB 4 0.8946 4/1 visit
Tre Turner WR 4 0.9274
Dillon Spalding WR 3 0.8876 4/1 visit, CB leader
Darryle Simmons WR 3 0.8822
DeJuan Ellis WR 3 0.861
Kyle Pitts TE 4 0.9038 4/1 visit, QP 7v7 teammate
James Mitchell TE 3 0.8878 4/8 visit
Rasheed Walker OT 4 0.947 in top 6
TJ Bradley OT 3 0.87 JUCO, 6'8" 290, from VA
Aiden Rafferty OT 3 0.8537 DC, multiple visits
John Harris OG 3 0.8355
Defense:
KJ Henry DE 5 0.9913 4/15 visit, in top 10
Eli Adams DE 3 0.8333
Alim McNeil DT 4 0.9139 4/22 visit
Cam Goode DT 3 0.8496
Joe Kane DT 3 0.8469
Dax Hollifield ILB 4 0.9478 multiple visits
Alan Tisdale OLB 3 0.8721 4/15 visit, CB leader
Keshon Artis ILB 3 0.8687 from 757
Kalon Gervin CB 4 0.9187 ND de-commit, in top 5
Jairus Brents CB 4 0.9116
DJ Crossen CB 3 0.8696
Braxton Clark CB 3 0.8405
Chamarri Conner S 3 0.8789
Nasir Peoples S 3 0.8428

Others to Watch:

Name Position Stars Composite Score Notes
Anthony Grant RB 3 0.8797 GA, 6/3 visit
Jalynn Sykes RB 3 0.8563 in top 4
Malcolm Davidson RB 3 0.8386 in top 6, 4.44 40
Mateo Durant RB 3 0.8295 April visit
Caleb Steward RB June visit, in top 5
Daniel George WR 4 0.9169
Darryl Jones WR 4 0.89 757
Shaquon Anderson-Butts WR 4 0.8838 PSU lean
Armani Chatman WR 3 0.8799 757
Bryce Thompson WR 3 0.8646
Jeshaun Jones WR 3 0.8522 FL
Tyree Henry WR/TE 6' 5" 225, visit 4/1?
Herman McCray TE
Blake Zubovic OT 3 0.8656 in top 5
Jordan McFadden OT 3 0.8333 6/10 visit, in top 12
Chase Brown OT JUCO, 6'5" 315
Gabriel Gonzalez OT
Derrick Eason DE/DT 3 0.8333 757
Rick Sandidge DT 4 0.9419
Dante Stills DT 4 0.9326 WV, in top 6
Jalen Alexander DT 3 0.8269 757, in top 10
Eriq Gilyard OLB 3 0.8677 in top 6
Nate Thompson CB 3 0.8711 6' 2", Duke in the lead as of 3/25
Nadir Thompson CB 3 0.8529 in top 3
Donte Burton CB 3 0.8529 UNC De-Commit
Rayshad Williams CB 3 0.8422 6'4", in top 2, 4/8 visit
Tanner Ingle CB 3 0.8333 Teammates w/Clark
Telly Plummer CB 3 0.8228
DeAndre Hollins CB 3 0.8216 6/14 visit
Tyrese Ross S 3 0.8416
Raymond Boone ATH 3 0.8556 in top 8

Other notes:
-In my mind the biggest reaches on the wishlist are Rasheed Walker, KJ Henry, and Jairus Brents. I think we have a chance with them all but would be pretty surprised if we actually ended up landing any of them.
-This may be too big of a class this year, but I've heard the numbers always work out. Even with taking 26, there were a few more that I really wish we could pick up, they are Mataeo Durant, Daniel George, Rick Sandidge, Nate Thompson, and Nadir Thompson.
-I'm pumped about landing Eli Adams and Cam Goode. I like the possible pair of Cam and Alim McNiell as our TDs together. I think Cam is more of a space eater run stopper, and Alim is more of a disruption in the backfield, could be a great balance.
-The only position I am still concerned with is O-line. It was great to pick up Harris, but we definitely need some help and it seems like we may be underdogs for the rest of the top linemen we've offered.
-Lastly, if we landed all of the kids on wishlist our recruiting class would have an average composite score of 0.8849 which would put us right around a top 10 class based on last years rankings.

As always, feel free to agree, disagree, or pose questions. I have no #sauces so this is all just based on a 5th grade teacher who has gotten way too into recruiting for the first time. Hope you enjoy.

Also, shout out to hokie07ME for the tutorial on how to make tables from the last post, and apologies for the crazy table format in previous posts. Hopefully this one is easier to read!

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Comments

I'd really like to see us pull a decent runningback soon.

Free Hugh

Staff is much lower on Ronnie Walker than the rest of the targets there. Top two guys are probably Durant and Steward (assuming grant heads to UT). Rafferty is dropping quickly down the board, might not have a spot as of today. Even with the Thompson decommitment, not sure if we'll go after Spalding. Someone like Chatman is much more likely.

Rafferty is dropping quickly down the board, might not have a spot as of today.

Who's on the OL board? Can we be picky? Chase Brown just went to Pitt btw

Also isn't Chatman getting more looks at DB?

I like Steward and Walker among the list of RBs. Give me one of those RBs plus McNeil at DT, Graves at DB, Artis or Hollifield at LB and Pitts at TE as my top 5 wants. After that, all efforts must go to the big uglies.

There's no glory in practice and lifting but without practice and lifting, there will be no glory!

Why low on Walker?

Free Hugh

His offer list isn't impressive. Probably recruiting services have him ranked a higher than he should be.

Always choose joy.

Durant and Steward have unimpressive highlight films, as does Armani Chatman (makes the catch, but usually goes down easily at first contact). Anthony Grant is the most explosive RB.

nice job with the tables. Much much easier to read.

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Know it's a massive longshot, but have they made any push for Zamir White? (If this has been discussed, I haven't kept up great with these threads...my bad.)

Amateur superstar and idiot extraordinaire.

His top-5 consists of UGA, UGA, UGA, UGA, and UGA.

Don't think that as done of deal as it has been made out to be. There's still some smoke about him and UNC

Go Scots! But yeah there is no way Zamir goes to Tech.

My Dad is real good friends with Joe Moorehead (oc of psu) I asked him if he could lay off Anderson-Butts but he just laughed at me

You put those words together, those are my favorite words, Popeyes and bahama
- Mike Burnup

Father's Day is coming up. Time for payback...

This may be a bit nit picky, but is there any way you can differentiate those that have already verbally committed just to make it a bit easier to read.

Yea, meant to do that. Will try to make a note of it for the next post. Thanks!

I find it slightly sad our "wish list" only contains 1 5* and 8 4* recruits

There are only 25 composite 5 star players in the country.

Wet stuff on the red stuff.

Join us in the Key Players Club

Fun with numbers:

Every year there are 25-30 composite 5* recruits. This roughly corresponds to the number of first round draft picks each year (32).

Every year there are ~325-350 4* athletes. There are generally just over 250 draft picks.

If you bring in a 5* recruit and seven 4* recruits, you could expect to have one first round draft pick and five guys total drafted from that class.

We need to start landing 8 4* recruits a year. That means a lot more than 8 to be in play for

This. A perennial top 25 team shouldn't have to consistently do more with less. For us to ever rise up out of the "one loss from being dropped from rankings" status we need to pull better talent consistently. I have faith in Fuente but time will tell

Free Hugh

A couple thoughts:

-I don't think the coaches care about how many 4 stars we land. Case in point, Quincy Patterson. He was relatively unknown of when we landed him. Now it looks like he will be due for a bump soon, but what if he twisted his ankle day 1 of the opening and didn't get to compete? He would likely not be getting all the hype he's getting, but do you think Fuente would be any less excited about him?

-As I said in the original post, if we were to land everyone on the wishlist that would be really close to a top 10 recruiting class. I think we would be crazy not to be ecstatic about that in year 2 of Fuente's tenure. I think a top 10 class with 8 four star kids is a very reasonable yet exciting wishlist for where our program currently is.

-Lastly, and maybe most importantly, these are just the thoughts of a random teacher with no inside sources. I'm sure my wishlist looks very different from the staffs, and as long as we keep winning games I am more than willing to trust our staff to go after whichever recruits they think will help get us to the next level.

Don't want this reply to come off sounding defensive, disagreements are welcome, just wanted to share some thoughts!

It also depends on what recruiting services you're basing your rankings on. According to ESPN we have 7 top 300, 4* commits (might be 6 now, I think Bryce Thompson was one of them)

-I know the coaches don't care about stars. They want talent, and they are very good at evaluating it. However over an aggregate 85 players on the team, the higher rated guys are going to pan out more than the lower rated guys. That's just a fact. If there is a 3 star guy with a skill set Fuente loves, there was probably a 4 star with the same skill set plus a bit more that Fuente would have preferred. If we want to beat FSU and Clemson, we need to up that 4* rate.

-8 4* kids is not getting you a top 10 class. That is not reasonable. Take a look at some past class rankings. You need double digits easy plus however many 5*. I would never expect a top 10 VT class. 8 4*s would put you in the upper teens range, which is where we need to be. But again recruiting never plays out as the best case scenario, so to get 8 4*, we need to be in a good position with more than that.

I looked at last year's rankings.

ND had the number 10 class with 21 commits with an 89.17 average composite score.

UF was 11 with 23 commits at an average score of 88.97.

TA&M was 12th with 28 commits at an average score of 87.88.

So the list above would be 26 recruits with an average score of 88.49. I think that puts us very near a top 10 class based on past recruiting classes.

Kyle Pitts trending to Florida.

Heard that UF guys were thinking if he was committing it would be sooner rather than later. The longer he goes without committing, the better for us I would think. Plus he's going to have QP as his QB at The Opening. Certainly doesn't hurt our chances if he goes into that event uncommitted with QP in his ear.

ALL THE SOUTH VIRGINIA RECRUITS, PLEASE

I really wish this kid was from Apex, NC. The irony would be so delicious.

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Ah yes, the peak of good living!

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