2019 Bill C Returning Production Rankings

Haven't seen it mentioned so figured I'd post, Bill Connelly at SBNation released his annual returning production rankings for 2019 (it's one portion of the full S&P+ preseason rankings that come out next week). Could be a nice break from spinning our wheels on recruiting news.

If you're not aware, Returning Production attempts to gauge how much talent a team has coming back, but instead of the traditional number of starters returning it looks at percentage of stats returning, with each position weighted depending on how well each stat correlates with future success. Thus, a returning QB is worth more than any other position. One interesting effect is that returning production in the passing game correlates much more with success than in the running game, meaning bringing back your DBs, receivers, and QBs is worth more than linebackers and running backs, etc. That's just the broad strokes, there's a more full explanation in the article of course.

Cutting to the chase, we rank 11th in the country and 3rd in the power 5 in returning production, with 60% returning on offense and 96% on defense. That's good for 1st in the country in returning defensive production, 77th in offensive (although I'm fairly sure that's counting McClease as gone).

A lot more than this goes into having a good year, but at least we've got some mathematical basis for optimism.

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2019/1/31/18204093/2019-ncaa-f...

DISCLAIMER: Forum topics may not have been written or edited by The Key Play staff.

Comments

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

Maroon helmet with orange gobbler logo is the best helmet.....change my mind.

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

VT Class of '12 (MSE), MVBone, Go Hokies!

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

The Orange and Maroon you see, that's fighting on to victory.

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

The Orange and Maroon you see, that's fighting on to victory.

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

The Orange and Maroon you see, that's fighting on to victory.

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

"Why gobble gobble chumps asks such good questions, I will never know." - TheFifthFuller

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Jet Sweep

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

Wet stuff on the red stuff.

Join us in the Key Players Club

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

"Why gobble gobble chumps asks such good questions, I will never know." - TheFifthFuller

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Jet Sweep

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

"I liked you guys a lot better when everybody told you you were terrible." -Justin Fuente

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

"Why gobble gobble chumps asks such good questions, I will never know." - TheFifthFuller

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

Plan for the worst and hope for the best, not the other way around.

Please join The Key Players Club to read or post comments.

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Jet Sweep