I know, I know, David Hale drops hot takes sometimes, but I think this twitter thread is pretty spot on:
Quick thread on the ACC's terribleness.Wake Forest had 10-win talent this year if it stayed healthy. It didn't.BC had 10-win talent last year, but there were holes, too, and it fell short.NC State was very good in 2017 but not quite at Clemson level.β π«β΅οΈβοΈπ΅π« π§πΌπ’π§ (@ADavidHaleJoint) December 2, 2019
Those results shouldn't be surprising because while smaller ACC programs have done a great job of developing talent, it's nearly impossible for them to develop talent AND depth, so everything has to go perfectly for them to approach Clemson.β π«β΅οΈβοΈπ΅π« π§πΌπ’π§ (@ADavidHaleJoint) December 2, 2019
Here's the number of teams in each conf w/a 9-win season since 2015:ACC - 10B12 - 7B1G - 9P12 - 7SEC - 11But here's the number who've done it more than twice since 2015:ACC - 1B12 - 2B1G - 6P12 - 5SEC - 4β π«β΅οΈβοΈπ΅π« π§πΌπ’π§ (@ADavidHaleJoint) December 2, 2019
It takes time to build a reputation, but ACC schools aren't winning consistently enough to do it, so outsiders aren't going to take Wake or Cuse or UVA seriously in the short term. That's reasonable. It's nearly impossible for them to have the consistent depth to KEEP winning.β π«β΅οΈβοΈπ΅π« π§πΌπ’π§ (@ADavidHaleJoint) December 2, 2019
In terms of actual progress, it requires sustained investment, fan support and recruiting, which is also hard to do when things are inconsistent & teams like Cuse, WF, BC & Pitt are at a disadvantage here. They're capable of winning 10 -- but not likely to routinely win 10.β π«β΅οΈβοΈπ΅π« π§πΌπ’π§ (@ADavidHaleJoint) December 2, 2019
All of this gets back to the critical point here: It's nice UVA is having a great year or that Cuse was good in '18..But the ACC desperately needs FSU, Miami (and to a slightly lesser degree VT, UNC & Lou) to be better -- not just for a year, but for the longterm.β π«β΅οΈβοΈπ΅π« π§πΌπ’π§ (@ADavidHaleJoint) December 2, 2019
So this offseason is absolutely critical for the league.Will FSU make the right hire?Can Manny Diaz build a real foundation at Miami?Do Lville & VT build on solid but unspectacular seasons?The league simply cannot afford for them to fall further behind.β π«β΅οΈβοΈπ΅π« π§πΌπ’π§ (@ADavidHaleJoint) December 2, 2019
Maybe the playoff changes & ND can be forced aboard. Maybe UVA and UNC are building for the long haul. Maybe the entire underpinnings of the sport shift with player payments.Those are small odds though.The safest bet for the league's future: Make FSU, VT & Miami Great Again.β π«β΅οΈβοΈπ΅π« π§πΌπ’π§ (@ADavidHaleJoint) December 2, 2019
Also - Is there a good way to embed a thread of tweets that's more readable?
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