Banner Society Over/Underachievers

In today's Read Option email newsletter, Banner Society compared schools' four year recruiting rating to their SP+ ranking. VT is in the underachievers.

These are how teams' performances (measured by SP+) most diverged from their four-year recruiting rankings (calculated by us using the 247Sports Composite, which retroactively changes slightly over time).

Let's start with the teams that had a 2019 SP+ rank more than 10 spots worse than their four-year recruiting ranking:

School 4-year recruiting rank 2019 SP+ rank Diff
Arkansas 31 104 -73
Maryland 33 96 -63
Georgia Tech 49 109 -60
Rutgers 59 117 -58
UCLA 24 80 -56
NC State 38 92 -54
Florida State 5 57 -52
Stanford 23 74 -51
West Virginia 43 94 -51
Vanderbilt 54 103 -49
Arizona 51 97 -46
Toledo 74 114 -40
East Carolina 78 116 -38
Kansas 68 105 -37
Northwestern 52 88 -36
UTSA 89 125 -36
Nebraska 21 52 -31
Ole Miss 22 53 -31
California 45 76 -31
USF 72 102 -30
South Carolina 20 49 -29
UMass 102 130 -28
Mississippi State 25 50 -25
Colorado 47 72 -25
Louisville 39 63 -24
Bowling Green 104 128 -24
UConn 103 126 -23
Texas 7 29 -22
UNLV 99 120 -21
Duke 46 66 -20
Middle Tennessee 90 110 -20
Nevada 93 112 -19
FIU 82 99 -17
USC 6 22 -16
Tennessee 16 32 -16
Pittsburgh 41 56 -15
Colorado State 77 91 -14
Michigan State 29 42 -13
TCU 26 38 -12
North Carolina 27 39 -12
Virginia Tech 28 40 -12
Boston College 70 82 -12
Arizona State 30 41 -11
Houston 64 75 -1

These are the teams that outperformed their recruiting ranks by more than 10 places:

School 4-year recruiting rank 2019 SP+ rank Diff
Air Force 116 27 89
Appalachian State 113 28 85
UL Lafayette 110 33 77
Navy 97 34 63
Ohio 114 54 60
Memphis 69 13 56
UCF 65 14 51
Wyoming 119 68 51
Army 108 64 44
Temple 86 43 43
Liberty 130 87 43
Tulane 84 44 40
Buffalo 122 84 38
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