I still do not agree with the people that believe the spread offense (pass first) is the best style offense to go with. Sure they're flashy but once again the run first team prevails over the *flashy* team in the national championship game. sure the flashy teams make a lot of noise but it always seems the traditional style teams prevail when it matters most in the end.
STATS!!!!! winner's on the left
2014 National championship-OSU 72% run vs ORE 46% run
2013 National championship- FSU 47% run vs AUB 66% run*
2012 National championship- ALA 62% run vs ND 35% run
2011 National championship- ALA 51% run vs LSU 61% run**
2010 National championship-AUB 59% run vs ORE 43% run
2009 National championship- ALA 81% run vs TEX 40% run
2008 National championship-FLA 59% run vs OKLA 41% run
2007 National championship-LSU 64% run vs OSU 54% run
2006 National championship FLA 54% run vs OSU 62% run**
2005 National championship TX- 47% run vs USC 50% run*
*winner had below 50% rushing play selection ratio
**winner had lower rushing play selection ratio than the loser but still more than 50%
Of the 10 previous championship games the winner had a higher rushing play selection than 50% in 8/10 games. FSU of 2013 and TX of 2005 being the cases where the winner was at less than 50%. I believe that dominating the line trenches will give the team a much higher chance of winning the game compared to being dominant through the air. There are multiple ways to look at this data i'm certain for example one could say "well the winner was ahead so they wanted to melt the clock so they just kept running the ball." While that's most likely true, I believe that the those teams got ahead because they were dominating the line play. Also spread offenses still pass first even while ahead because thats just what they do. I personally do not approve of teams (especially our beloved Hokies) shifting toward more spread offenses. I do not believe its the best choice. Spread offenses are popping up more and more throughout the country but the strong majority of the time we see the national champion being a run first team. With, hopefully, all our running backs returning healthy next year and the improvement of our offensive line continues I would love to see us maintain at least a 65-70% rushing play selection ratio.
Thoughts? Counter arguments? UVA sux?...okay that last one isnt a question.
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