Yo Tallahassee Hokies heads up. This thing will probably make landfall at around a cat 3, by wed and its moving incredibly fast. We can expect it to move through the Carolinas by Thursday and va by Friday.
Anyone along the panhandle steer clear or evacuate, winds will be pretty brutal
Forums:
DISCLAIMER: Forum topics may not have been written or edited by The Key Play staff.
Comments
Too many damn hurricanes.
Coz dey bak
More hurricanes than UVA fans at the spring festival
Was supposed to be at ocracoke for vacation when the last hurricane hits, then reschedule for this upcoming weekend and boom another one. Guess I'm supposed to be at work after all.
You'll be fine. It'll be out of the area by Friday afternoon. I don't think we'll be getting any higher than like 50 mph winds.
Poor FSU. Hurricanes ruins their second half, hurricane ruins their whole town.
Tallahassee is pretty run down as it is... this will just blow the trash around...
Thanks for showing up, dude. I need some advice.
Thursday afternoon I'm PLANNING ON driving from Winston-Salem, NC to Sebring, Fl. Am I putting myself in mortal peril, or am I good to go with the expectation of just using my windshield wipers a lot?
Going there for a race?
Naw. I have a few chores to take care of down yonder.
So strip clubs then
Well, these bills don't pay themselves... A Leonard's gotta work.
Man, if we didnt have plans this weekend I'd drive up and buy you a couple rounds. We're only about 90 miles southwest
I would reschedule if possible, you're gonna be driving through the teeth of the storm. If it could wait till friday afternoon i think youd be much better off
Thanks for the advice. I'm going to see what I can do.
I'm driving down to Colombia, SC Thursday night with a couple friends. We're stopping there overnight on our way to Tuscaloosa for the Bama game and then Talladega on Sunday. Will we run into crazy weather during that trip or should be we be fine?
Again if you can push it to Friday do it. Would it be doable? Sure itd be a nasty drive though
FWIW the Columbia area is under a tropical storm warning. I'm guessing you must staying with friends in Columbia, because Columbia seems like an odd stopover place if you are going to Alabama, but you could always swing out further west and miss the worst of the storm.
Just for a little added context. This is coming from the NWS office in Greenville, SC, so west of Columbia.
Ugggghhhh I-85 is going to be a nightmare for the next two days.
Yeah 85 is going to be bad. But 77 and 20 will probably be even worse in Columbia area. Not sure where Kev is coming from, but if its from VA or any other point north of that it could be rough going. I would strongly consider taking I81 to I40 to I75 to I59 to get to that part of Alabama and bypass the Carolinas altogether.
Does this mean the game won't count for UNC even if it's played?
Only if (when) they lose
I'll get to this Later this evening and frankly my coverage for this one isnt gonna be great I have an exam Thursday in the only class that I'm really concerned about at all this semester so this week is a study week I should have a good idea about everything as early as tonight
Carolina flood waters haven't fully receded yet and now they're going to get dumped on again.
Saw pictures on Facebook where people now have fish and eels living in their house cause the floodwaters are still knee deep. (Socastee area, I think?)
Well that's a guaranteed win for us Saturday.
If this storm was running about 18-24 hours slower than it is right now and we won the UNC meltdown would be something else.
Leg leg leg leg leg
IMO this bad boy is gonna reach category 4, if you're on the panhandle please get the flippidy fudge out if you havent already, its gonna be bad. This thing is gonna scoot up through the carolinas and hit the 757 on its way out. I think the national hurricane center has got the track pretty spot on here, I think itll rapidly downgrade after landfall breaking down before it reaches the carolinas albeit itll still be a pretty major storm system and dump a pretty decent amount of rainfall. The good news its a very quick moving system (thank you incoming trough for dragging it east quicker) and should be out of the neighborhood by gameday however it might ruin a UNC practice which.... is just so poetic
I feel like im underselling this, for those of you in the panhandle a category 4 storm is well...katrina levels. Be warned. because its moving so quickly it will totes still have some umph when it makes it way up to NC and VA, however massive amounts of precipitation wont be an issue this time around, mostly winds. Expect gusts around 50 mph easily, probably more. Likewise you can definitely still expect an inch or two of precip, stay safe hokies!
Guys eshiben5 may have called this ish. Please give him a "TKP Weatherman" header!
not opposed, hopefully once tests become a thing of the past (please be next spring...please be next spring) I'll be able to keep better tabs on this. PLUS I'll be happy to share some of my research with the 757 region which might actually get implemented in forecasting stuff if I can get this bad boy up in running.
Damn. That's actually the first picture I've seen of it. That's a monster. A beautifully formed storm, but that's gonna fuck some shit up good....
Live at the north end of Old Tampa Bay. Pretty good push of water from gulf up the bay. We have water over our sea walls (2-3 feet above high tides)- and we re about 275 miles east of the eye. Our local forecaster has been spot on w this storm and says almost certainty of Cat 4 when it hits.... This is gonna be awful for a place where water has nowhere to go like the panhandle.... Here's to Hoping everyone has heeded the warnings and moved to safer ground...
It's crazy how fast this went from nothing to Catergory 4. In both time and distance.
You and your family ok?
Yea we didn't get anything this close to the Atlantic.
LOOK INTO ITS EYE
Okay, could you show us how you embedded that?
Just go to windy and click the hamburger in the corner. The embed code is right there.
Thanks. Figured it out, but have to post a still picture because.....hamburger?
The hamburger is in the top left. You used the emergency exit which is also a way to do it.
And here I thought those were 3 sideways french fries! Man was I wrong!
I love Windy. That site earned a permanent spot on one of my monitors at work after Hurricane Florence. Its models helped me a ton in tracking that storm's path so I could come up with an accurate number of employees our company has in the impacted area. Very useful.
Windy is not the most professionally useful site but it sure is fun. By far the most aesthetic way to look at weather things.
I found a funny glitch if you want to call it that.
In the embed, you can only do rain in millimeters. Also the GFS and Euro are greatly disagreeing with how much I will see at my house, but only the Euro seems to be able to be embedded.
If I could create a dynamic desktop background out of Windy, I would never get any work done.
Now, I can't be the only one that expected this to explode into a Gritty gif!!!
Love Windy. Such a useful...timewaster?
For the weather buffs out there, is it typical for the wind pattern to be taking a trip from Africa-ish to North America and then just off the coast saying "Nope, fuck it, heading back to Europe." See current North Atlantic wind pattern.
Yeah that's pretty typical, check out global wind belts, by and large they follow that pattern. Anything in between is driven by baroclinic waves
"Baroclinic waves" anagrams to "Avarice Blocs Win"
(Psst, I love it when you talk science. Keep it up!)
Jesus christ just saw the pressure charts....this bad boy has a chance to reach cat 5 before landfall
Found a neat live stream that has a live embed of windy.com down in the corner.
Has twitter named that Palm tree in the middle of the shot yet? I'm thinking "Doug".
Hopefully he fares better than Kevin did.
I mean seriously, if someone doesn't tie an American Flag to something in that picture then what is the point in them having a live feed?
Looks like the Live feed went with Harry. I personally liked Doug but Harry will do.
And now the live feed went away, presumably with Harry. /sigh
Last I saw it was at 923 which would bump it up a few spots.
....now 919 whew
I saw this and my jaw dropped. Compared to Florence, our news has been silent on this storm. Then I see it had a lower pressure than Katrina did at landfall near New Orleans (Katrina had a pressure of 920 at landfall, but hit 902 prior to landfall). Damn if this storm didn't seem to come from nowhere.
Thoughts and prayers for everyone impacted by this.
It didn't really come from nowhere. It came from higher than expected Gulf of Mexico temperatures, which fueled its intensification. The models expected some intensification before landfall, but I'm not sure if they expected this much.
And I'm not sure we shouldn't be expecting more of this, given where global temperatures are heading.
Edit: Adding the question, anybody know what the pressure was at landfall? Just curiosity about where it ended up on that list.
Weather channel had it at 919 putting it at 3rd behind Camille
Has ECU cancelled their game yet?
Sick burn!
Houston cancelled it for them.
Out of an abundance of caution, Houston is heading to Annapolis.
Obligatory...
DUVUALLLLLLLL
Eshiben, from what I've seen and heard over the years, a storm this powerful goes through an eye wall cycle or two and hits peak strength out in the middle of the gulf. This one strengthened right up to landfall, including through some shear this past weekend. I'm curious as to why.
So the eye wall reorganization actually does weaken and then reintensify as the system kind of steadies and reorganizes itself entirely. In this case it just didnt have the time as its moving and evolving soooo freaking quickly due to the cold front coming across and the warm waters in the gulf. It just didnt have time to go through a reorganization process
I vote Eshiben's tag to say "Weather Extraodinaire". "Weatherman" just sounds so plain.
We are seeing an outbreak of Tornadoes here in NE Florida.
I was just reading that. Looks like upwards of 10 so far
Bad weather is chasing you
Was worried about this, with any big storm that northeast quadrant can be a real shitshow. Stay safe Hokies
Well time to see what we get in Virginia tomorrow and tomorrow night calling for more rain but looks like wind won't be a huge issue but I'm wondering if we don't see more tornados like we got from Florence
Well its reached Columbia. We were already pretty saturated, retention ponds filled up within the first hour of rain. Some trees coming down (the one that can reach my boat is barely hanging on) not awful but pretty gusty outside with a bunch of hard rain.
Man, after all that work on your boat, you should cut that tree down, man!
A bit off topic, but I just gotta know because I don't remember this ever happening before... Hurricane Leslie is moving east...toward Africa? Eshiben, has an Atlantic hurricane ever had an eastward path like this before?
Not often its really uncommon and my weather history is meh at best haha without looking (got a lot of important guys on my opponents fantasy team playing atm) is it's probably being pushed by some big planetary wave or something
Gotta say Michael made the trip from DC to Martinsville a total pain in the ass today. 57 west of Chatham was blocked by fallen trees. Then there were multiple trees down on 29 between Chatham and Danville. Power was out from Danville to Martinsville although stop lights were working on 58 and in Martinsville.
Currently sitting in the dark as most of Martinsville is still without power.
Granted this is really a minor inconvenience compared to the stuff Fla and G.A. are dealing with but it was a very stressful drive south of Charlottesville between the wind and rain.
Lots of flooding in Roanoke. We were prepared for Flo and got mild rain. Michael said, "Hold my beer"!
WDBJ7 Coverage
Roanoke Memorial Hospital and surrounding area:
GEEZE! My wife said the Carillon was completely flooded.
and from Salem
Here in Chesapeake we have some downed trees and power lines but for the most part things look okay. Lots of outages reported by VEPCO, but the primary roads seem ok.
My biggest inconvenience was my dog needing comforting. He likes to sleep on my pillow while stressed and the fact that I might need it doesn't seem to matter very much. Being woken up by 60 lbs of lab crawling on your head at midnight is an interesting experience.
Around Salisbury, MD we ended up with over 6" of rain just between 10pm and 2am...4 hours. Lots of inundation, flooding, downed trees, debris blown everywhere. Crazy intensity in a short period of time.
My mom said that Danville got hit pretty hard. They had flooding, trees down, and they lost power until about 9 this morning.