GAMBLING LINES 2019: WEEK 4

Once again, last weekend was rough for me. I came out slightly ahead only because I bet as much on anOSU (-14) as I did on all my other bets combined, but still feels like a hollow victory. What did we learn? Alabama is going to steamroll everyone, but not as much as expected (they are 1-2 ATS). UNCHeat was 1 second away from...still not getting a TD to make my multiple UNC (+3.5) bets hit. And, lastly, LOLUVa doesn't have the clout to put away a team as crappy as FSU and managed to only win by 7 despite the fact that the line was (-7.5). Fuck LOLUVa I mean, don't bet, kids.

Anyway, on to this week's lines.

  • Tulane (-5): I watched the Houston/Washington State game and I honestly thought Houston looked decent. This seems skewed by the fact that Tulane put up 58 points in their last game, but I still like Houston here outright.
  • LOLUVa (-29): I know the wahoos are better than us right now. I know they should bury ODU. I also know that I'm gonna take ODU (+29) because...well, I'm stupid, but there it is.
  • Miami (-30.5): I have been underwhelmed by Miami. They lost a sloppy game to Florida and then gave away a game to a less than stellar UNCHeat team. I mean, they did beat BC, 63-0 so that's nothing to scoff at. Oh wait, that's Bethune Cookman, not Boston College. I'm taking the underdogs and the points.
  • Washington State (-19). UCLA managed to make the ESPN bottom 10 this week. Coincidentally so did the entire ACC, but that's another story for another time. I don't know what the final score will be, but I expect Washington State to win by at least 19 and for UCLA to score 14, because, in that, they've been oddly consistent despite playing three wildly different teams.

As always, please do not take my ramblings as legitimate gambling advice. You will lose your shirt and anything else you're foolish enough to bet based on my idiocy.
Lines may change over the course of the week. I also may have made errors copying them. Always triple check when money is at stake
TKP does not encourage gambling and even if it did, I am neither employed nor sanctioned by Orange and Maroon Media, LLC so who cares.

Away Team Home Team Spread ___ Away Team Home Team Spread
Houston Tulane Tulane (-5) SMU TCU TCU (-9.5)
Florida International Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech (-7.5) South Alabama UAB UAB (-10)
Utah USCw Utah (-3.5) Bowling Green Kent State Kent State (-10.5)
Air Force Boise State Boise State (-8) Kentucky Mississippi State Mississippi State (-6)
Southern Miss Alabama Bama (-39) USCjr Mizzou Mizzou (-9)
LSU Vandy LSU (-23.5) Central Michigan Miami (FL) Miami (-30.5)
Michigan State Northwestern MSU (-9.5) WVU Kansas WVU (-5)
BC Rutgets BC (-7) New Mexico State New Mexico New Mexico (-5)
Cal Ole Miss Ole Miss (-2.5) Baylor Rice Baylor (-26)
Michigan Wisconsin Wiscy (-3.5) Oregon Stanford Oregon (-10.5)
Western Michigan Syracuse Syracuse (-5) Georgia State Texas State Texas State (-3)
Tennessee Florida Florida (-14) Ball State NC State NC State (-19)
UL Monroe Iowa State Iowa State (-19) ODU LOLUVa LOLUVa (-29)
Connecticut Indiana Indiana (-27) Charlotte Clemson Clemson (-41)
Coastal Carolina Massachusettes Coastal Carolina (-16.5) Oklahoma State Texas Texas (-5)
UL Lafayette Ohio Ohio (-3.5) UTSA North Texas North Texas (-18.5)
Troy Akron Troy (-17) San Jose State Arkansas Arkansas (-21)
Miami (OH) anOSU anOSU (-39) Nevada UTEP Nevada (-14.5)
Temple Buffalo Temple (-13.5) Nebraska Illinois Nebraska (-13)
UCF Pitt UCF (-11.5) Notre Dame Georgia Georgia (-14)
Washington BYU Washington (-7) Colorado Arizona State Arizona State (-7.5)
App State UNCHeat UNCHeat (-3) Toledo Colorado State Toledo (-9)
Wyoming Tulsa Tulsa (-3) Utah State San Diego State Utah State (-4)
Auburn aTm aTm (-3.5) UCLA Washington State WSU (-19)
Louisville FSU FSU (-6.5)
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Comments

If I had $100 burning a hole in my wallet:

BC -7 $20
SU -5 $30
TCU -9.5 $25
Notre Dame +14 $15
Colorado +7.5 $10

Put the whole $100 on Wisconsin at home -3.5

Colorado +7.5 is my top pick. Notre Dame +14 stuck out too.

Joffrey, Cersei, Ilyn Payne, the Hound, Jeff Jagodzinski, Paul Johnson, Pat Narduzzi.

BC = $40
SU = $60
TCU = $0
ND = $30
Colorado = $20

$100 —> $150.

Currently 1-2 on the year. Never trust a ranked Maryland team to win. They've now lost 5 straight games while ranked.

Michigan State has trouble breaking the 20 point barrier against P5 defenses and Northwestern is getting 9.5 points at home? Sparty may control the game but I don't see them winning by that margin. Give me the Wildcats.

The Orange and Maroon you see, that's fighting on to victory.

Fun fact, the #21 ranking is something so far this year...
Week 1, #21 Iowa State takes triple OT to beat FBS Northern Iowa.
Week 2, #21 Syracuse gets smoked by the Twerps 63-20.
Week 3, #21 Maryland gets pounded by Temple.
Week 4, #21 UVA faces ODU.........

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

Now finish up them taters; I'm gonna go fondle my sweaters.

There's your #21 not covering yet again....

Shame ODU didn't play harder.

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

Clemson (-41.5) vs UNC Charlotte

Now finish up them taters; I'm gonna go fondle my sweaters.

Now finish up them taters; I'm gonna go fondle my sweaters.

Kansas +5 at home versus the living-up-to-their-unofficial-log-of-a-burning-couch WVU

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

Bronco will have UVA mentally prepared to play ODU, so they likley won't turn the ball over 3 times and have a bunch of penalties. I like UVA with the points. ODU won't play as hard against them either.

ODU won't play as hard against them either.

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

"as hard".... VT gave them the ECU gift... losing to them. Now ODU will forever know that they can beat VT, so they will play harder with that confidence than they will against UVA. See many ECU teams losing to tulsa, Marshall, Navy, etc, etc, after beating VT. Same deal here.

At lunch Thursday, 98% of the money for the line per Vegas Insider is on ODU...

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

How's everyone feel about the A&M and Auburn game? Not putting money on it but that game is in a pick em I'm in. Picks ATS.

I have no idea why my username is VT_Warthog.

Arkansas blew a 24-0 lead in the Belk Bowl.

aTm giving 4.5...meh. Think Auburn could keep it under a touchdown, but at 4.5, it's an odd feel. Both are 3-0 ATS this year. Go Auburn. aTm has played 2 cupcakes and got frosted in the 3rd. Auburn will cover and could potentially win outright. Of course, I have no idea...so take that with a small spec of salt.

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@BuryHokie #ThanksFrank

Too many unknowns in both teams.

FSU -6.5 seems wayyy off.

Edit:Hand up, horrible take.

Edit: Hold that thought...

Amateur superstar and idiot extraordinaire.

well, Louisville may be on their third string QB, for what that's worth.

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Took Clemson (-43) because Charlotte is the kind of team Clemson likes to run up the score on. Well we've got 6 minutes to go and Clemson is up 52-10 doubtful they try to drive in another score. Would have been 52-3 but they muffed a punt at the Clemson 12 and even Charlotte couldn't fail to put that in.

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Vegas is Latin for voodoo.

Amateur superstar and idiot extraordinaire.

So I've been keeping track of "if I was forced to pick" ats for the ACC just to gauge my own knowledge. Went a horrid 4-7 last week and cam back strong this week at 7-2. Had a good week going to quit my job move to Vegas and gamble for a living see yall.

(add if applicable) /s

Went to bed thinking I absolutely bombed this week. Turns out, I was 1 4th down trick play away from winning this 10 team parlay.

Boston College 0.0 (-330) Boston College @ Rutgers
Over 47.5 (-115) Auburn (#8) @ Texas A&M (#17)
Central Florida (#19) 0.0 (-440) Loss Central Florida (#17) @ Pittsburgh
Over 56.5 (-110) Miami Ohio @ Ohio State (#6)
Over 51.0 (-110) Washington U (#22) @ BYU
Central Michigan +35.0 (-250) Central Michigan @ Miami Florida
LSU -20.5 (-190) LSU (#4) @ Vanderbilt
Over 49.0 (-105) West Virginia @ Kansas
Old Dominion +31.0 (-200) Old Dominion @ Virginia Cavaliers
Oregon (#23) 0.0 (-400) Oregon (#16) @ Stanford

We open -7 vs Duke... current line -2.5 in less than a day... hmmmm

'Its easy to grin, when your ship comes in, and you've got the stock market beat,
but the man worthwhile, is the man who can smile, when his shorts are too tight in the seat'