On the message boards, I've noticed a bunch of people commenting how teams that beat us always seem to shoot better from range against us than they do throughout the rest of the year.
Well, as a useless stats guy, I went on the four-letter dot com and pulled up the three years of CMYBall and took a look.
Year 1: 2019-2020
In 16 losses, the average Virginia Tech opponent's season average was 33.6%, but against Virginia Tech, they averaged 37.9%. UNC had the greatest variance, hitting 53.8% against a season average of 30.4%. Two other schools, FSU and Georgia Tech, averaged greater than 10% over their season averages. Five other opponents averaged greater than 5% over. Five teams actually shot poorer than their season averages.
>20% = 6.25%
10-20% = 12.5%
5-10% = 31.25%
0-5% = 18.75
<0% = 31.25%
Year 2: 2020-2021
In 7 losses, the average our opponents season average was 33.5%, whereas against the Hokies, they averaged 39.5%. Penn State had the greatest variance, hitting 52.2% vs their season average of 33.8%. They were the only opponent averaging greater than 10%. One team averaged less than their season percentage.
>10%: 14.29%
5-10%: 57.14%
0-5%: 14.29%
<0%: 14.29%
Year 3: 2021-2022
Your defending ACC Champions had 13 losses. Those 13 teams averaged a 34.6% through the season, while they averaged 39.4% against the Hokies. Miami had the craziest variance, going from 35.3% to 61.1% against the Hokies. Joining them in the 20% range was Texas, who went from 32.3% to 52.6%.
>20%: 15.38%
10-20%: 7.69%
5-10%: 7.69%
0-5%: 46.15%
<0%: 23.08%
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