I have had some time (sleepless nights) to develop a new metric for CFB coaching, introducing the Frosty index. Based on the infamous Scott Frost Nebraska tenure and inspired by our own coach's woes and the Eberflus firing, I decided to develop a way for fandoms to determine how doomed their coaching situation is. It takes into account record in one score games, point differential in one score games, and overall win pct.
Frosty Score (V2) = ((one score L/one score win pct) * inverse of one score point diff * (1-total W pct))
Anything in the negatives rounds up to 0 meaning that your coach isn't frosty at all. I tried to control for a coach that has been coaching for a long time or has a lot of one score wins and for a coach that may have a handful of one score losses, but has a good overall win pct. Using one score losses and one score point differential is double dipping, but I wanted the final number to be a bit ridiculous to be honest. I know there are a few data scientist and stat nerds folks on here, so don't get mad at me, this is supposed to be for fun.
The V1 scores only use total one score losses and do not take into account W-L record in one score games.
Here are how a few recently active coaches stand up:
| Coach | V1 | V2 |
|---|---|---|
| Neb Frost Score: | 1277.76 | 6899.904 |
| UCF Frost Score: | 0 | 0 |
| Tot Frost Score: | 1042 | 4298.25 |
| Eberflus Score: | 806.664 | 3871.9872 |
| Pry Score: | 320.256 | 4163.328 |
| Rahne Score: | 324 | 772.6153846 |
| Rhule Score: | 400 | 2383.333333 |
It is worth noting that Pry's one loss record is so lopsided that one more win would drop his score to around 2200.
Comments
I thought the frost index was going to be the opposite of being in the hot seat, like how secure a coach's job is.
Maybe I'll change it to the SFI (Scott Frost Index).
Frosty approves this post.
I was waiting for this
When I saw the title, I thought it was going to be ranking coaches based on how they'd finish (or DNF) in the Iditarod
We're screwed.