The #17 Ladies travel to Chapel Hill to play the #24 Tar Heels Sunday at noon on ESPN2. I don't know how the time gets away from me on these things. It's 9PM Saturday and the Hokies play at noon tomorrow and I have not started the game thread. These Thursday to Sunday turnarounds are tough for me. They must be a real challenge for the Ladies. But they are younger than I am.
UNC is 15-7, 7-3 and tied for fourth in the ACC; the Hokies are 17-4, 8-2 and second in the ACC. If the Hokies win they stay in second; lose and they drop to a tie for fourth with UNC, at least until Monday when 7-2 NC State plays 8-1 Louisville.
UNC has two questionable losses to FGCU at home and LOLUVA on the road. Their other losses are to ranked teams. They come in on a two game losing streak losing at UVA and at NC State.
The Tar Heels are a mature team starting 2 seniors, a grad student, a junior and a sophomore. #25 Kelly, #1 Ustby and #20 Donarski play 33 or 34 min/game. #5 Gakdeng and #24 Nivar play 20 to 24 min. Reserves #2 Paris, #11 McPherson and #10 freshman Reniya Kelly play 17-20 min/game. #31 Poole rounds out the usual players with 13 min/game. Gakdeng is the tallest player at 6'3; only Ustby at 6'1, Donarski at 6' and Poole at 6'2 are over 6 feet. The Hokies should have a height advantage most of the game.
#25 Deja Kelly leads the offense with 16.4 ppg, #1 Ustbe at 12.5 and #20 Donarski at 10.1 score in double figures; #1 Gakdeng almost reaches double digits at 9.7. The rest of the regular players contribute 4-7 ppg. UNC shoots 29.3% from three with Donarski and Paris the only players at or above 30% from beyond the arc; but Deja Kelly can get hot.
All the starters average 1.9 to 3.1 fouls per game. But I don't expect a game played in Chapel Hill with ACC refs to see a lot of fouls called on the Heels; I could be pleasantly surprised, especially if Ustby gets switched onto Kitley very often. UNC typically wins the rebound battle by 3.5 rebounds per game. Summiel could have a big impact here.
No team in the NCAA can stop Kitley or Amoore when they are on; but the Hokies are going to need support from the other three starters and the bench to win this one. This would be a great game for King to find her shot and for Ekh to continue shooting well. If King, or someone, can slow down Deja Kelly, the Hokies should do well.
Road wins in the ACC are hard to find, especially on Tobacco Road. The Ladies are going to have to bring their "A" game to win this one.
LET'S GO HOKIES!
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