Hokie Hoops Statistical Notes: Volume 11

The second tetralogy is in the books and the Hokies sit at 7-1; one game better than the inaugural CMYBall season. I was hoping for an undefeated record to this point, but did see us slipping up, most likely, against Penn State. Unfortunately for the Hokies, they are now down Cartier Diarra, who opted out in the midst of this four game stretch.

Scoring
It was a three horse race, but Naheim Alleyne led the team in scoring in this volume at 12 ppg, topping Keve Aluma and Jalen Cone's 11.75 ppg. Radford dropped off in scoring, falling to 8.35 ppg. Cattoor rounded out the 7 ppg club, getting 7.5.

Rebounding
Aluma continues to lead the team in rebounding, getting 7.75 boards per game. Surprisingly, Freshman David N'Guessan came in 2nd with 5 rpg.

Assists
Bede leads the team with 15 assists, to 7 turnovers. Hunter Cattoor had a fantastic 8:1 ATO margin over these last few games. Jalen Cone hasn't been too shabby with his 5:1 ATO margin. It gets scary when Mutts has the ball, netting a 4:13 ATO margin.

Experience/Depth
Minutes were shared throughout the team. Radford led the team with 28.25 mpg, followed by Bede (26.5), Aluma (25.25), Alleyne (24.25) and Mutts (21.75). Four more Hokies averaged more than 10 mpg, led by Cone (18.75), Cattoor (16), N'Guessan (12.75), and Pemsl (12.25)

Next Four
Hold on to your ass, Fred, it's Conference Play time. Yes, the Hokies are already 1-0 in the ACC, but now they won't see somebody from outside the conference until March (God willing).

4-2 (0-1) Miami opens the slate. They have, what appears to be a good win against Purdue, but got taken to the woodshed by Pittsburgh (relatable). We are going to be at a size disadvantage in the post, as we see an ACC 7-footer. They're averaging 67.8 ppg; 6 ppg fewer than the Hokies.

Then the Hokies open the new year taking a short drive up the road to UVA, a team that has seemingly done all they can to avoid playing quality teams. They've beaten nobody, lost to San Francisco, and skipped out on a game against #4 Michigan State. We'll see if they're any good when they face #1 Gonzaga. They do have another 7-footer, and they're scoring along the same clip as the Hokies, while allowing six fewer ppg, although that's against Towson, San Francisco, St. Francis (PA), and Kent State.

Hokies head out west then, to Louisville. The 4-1 Cardinals lost their only game against a major conference team (getting obliterated by Wisconsin in the ACC-B1G challenge ((again, relatable)))
The Hokies match up well in the height department, and in the scoring/allowed scoring departments.

Rounding out this tetralogy of games will be returning home to face Notre Dame. I would say this Notre Dame team looks like their 2-4 record, but those for losses are to #13 Michigan State, #22 Ohio State, #21 Duke, and 6-2 Purdue, although one of their wins is against Kentucky (I know they're 1-5, but they're still Kentucky, you take the win when you can). They have a couple of near 7-footers, but this Notre Dame team doesn't seem to know what they're doing right now.

Prediction
I'm going in order of confidence. I am most confident against Notre Dame. I know they've had a brutal schedule, but they should be able to do more than have their only win by more than 1 point being an 8 point win over Detroit. 1-0. Then I expect a win against Miami in Blacksburg. We have the ability to shoot them out of their comfort. 2-0. Louisville is an interesting challenge, and I can't remember if we've beaten them in Louisville, but I think we might have a leg up in that we've played some decent teams to this point. 3-0. I will say talk to me after the Gonzaga game to make a more accurate prediction for UVA, but based on when I've seen, 4-0.

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Comments

Seven, that's some good content right there, appreciate your work.

"Don't go to, go through"

Of note, John Ojiako is tentatively returning for the Miami game so that may mitigate some of the size disadvantage depending on if and how much he is able to play. That is even if he slots in ahead of any of the current rotation outside of N'Guessan

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

A Smokey and the Bandit quote always gets a leg from me. Good write up!

He said give to me Roscoe

4-0 seems optimistic, but certainly possible. I'd be okay 2-2 with one of those over UVA, but 3-1 seems most likely, with a drop to whomever comes out hitting shots like PSU did. That T:A line for Mutts is ugly. Alleyne hitting 2 of 4 from 3 is much nicer than hitting 1 of 4.

Sometimes we live no particular way but our own

I am with you, I would be satisfied with 2-2 and happy for anything better.

.500 in the ACC gets you in the Tourney unless you are coached by Seth Greenberg assuming the season makes it that far

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

I would feel good about all four games is we could get the turnover situation fixed (I know we did much better last night). This is a really good team when they aren't sloppy.

Is coronavirus over yet?

I agree. It seems we also struggle quite a bit to get the ball underneath. I think that's one of the reasons we've seen a lot of turnovers - last night there were a lot of misplaced hard passes and bad feeds to try to get the ball inside. It looked like we were frustrated with our inability to penetrate or get the rim, especially before and after the half for some time. Radford is by far our best guy attacking the rim right now.

I actually think Bamisile is our best rim attacker, but he isn't getting the time on the floor from a defensive standpoint. Several of the turnovers last night weren't the passer though, it was the freshman receiver (N'Guessan) not having his head up. He missed three balls at least last night and several more against Coppin State.

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

I didnt' get to see the Coppin State game. Is Bamisile able to up his D to get any meaningful minutes in ACC play? He looked good last night with the ball in his hands. It does seem that we struggle to penetrate regardless, especially when teams switch up man and zone. Hopefully this gets better.

Is Bamisile able to up his D

Now my whole comment reads differently.

Eventually but it takes reps against the best competition which I don't see him getting enough of to be meaningful this year. Defense is almost always the lag these days thanks to AAU and the NBA.

Rob Peterson
VTCC
Charlie/Hotel Company
Class of 1999

Several of the turnovers last night weren't the passer though, it was the freshman receiver (N'Guessan) not having his head up. He missed three balls at least last night and several more against Coppin State.

Yes, I noticed this as well. He rarely seems ready to receive the ball unless the play is going directly to him.

Is coronavirus over yet?

I hope we scorch the nets in Charlottesville by draining so many 3's. NBA JAM-style.

A decade on TKP and it's been time well spent.

What is this blaspheme? I grew up playing NBA Jam on the SNES and this gif triggered me.

same.

He's On Fire should only be triggered by three consecutive made 3-ptrs.

Never Forget #1 Overall Seed UVA 54, #64 UMBC 74