2015 Virginia Tech Opponent Q&A Preview: Duke

The Hokies upset of Duke was one of the high points in the 2014 season. Are the Blue Devils poised to be an ACC contender in 2015?

Duke quarterback Anthony Boone (7) throws the ball away for intentional grounding as he is being hit by Virginia Tech defensive end Dadi Nicolas (90) and safety Detrick Bonner (8). [Michael Shroyer]

Between now and fall practice, we're going to take a walk through the 2015 Hokies schedule and preview each opponent with the people that follow them every day. We will be taking a look back at last season and spring practice, as well as attempting to forecast the year ahead.

After years and years of ACC doormat status, the Duke Blue Devils have steadily transformed into an annual contender for the ACC Coastal crown under Head Coach David Cutcliffe. Despite losing a number of key playmakers during the offseason, Cutcliffe's bunch enter the 2015 season with a number of talented units that could help steady the ship until the fresh faces get their sea legs. In an effort to better understand how the Blue Devils offseason has gone and learn about the newcomers in Durham, I had the pleasure of speaking with Laura Keeley of the Raleigh News & Observer.

For the first season in quite some time, the Blue Devils will open with a relatively green quarterback. What can people expect to see from the expected starter redshirt junior Thomas Sirk and how does he fit into Coach Cutcliffe's offensive system?

I don't think there will be any drop off from last year's starter, Anthony Boone, to this year's starter, Thomas Sirk — in fact, I expect that Sirk will be able to do everything Boone did and more. By all accounts, he has a stronger arm, and he is certainly a better runner. Sirk threw some nice deep balls in a scrimmage Saturday, and I'm starting to see why the coaching staff really isn't concerned about the transition at quarterback. Cutcliffe has decided that the best way to win at Duke is to have a dual-threat quarterback that must be accounted for in the run game — every quarterback recruited after Sean Renfree has fit this mold. And with Sirk, Duke has the best athlete it has ever had at that position.

The loss of former standout swiss army knife Jamison Crowder cannot be overstated. How might the offense change in the absence of Crowder and are there any players with the ability to come close to matching the dynamism Crowder provided?

I fully expect Duke to rely more on its running backs and tight ends to help make up for the loss of Crowder, because there is not a 1-for-1 replacement for him at wide receiver (though junior Johnell Barnes will be the one who attempts to do that). Tight end Braxton Deaver missed all of last year with a torn ACL, but he's back healthy now, and I expect him to be one of Sirk's main targets. There's also been talk of using two tight end sets, but I'll wait and see if that idea makes it from the drawing board to the playing field. There are a few players in the running for the third receiver position (behind Barnes and slot man Max McCaffrey), including Chris Taylor and T.J. Rahming.

As far as the running back position goes, on paper, it's by far the best backfield Duke has ever had. But right now, three of the four are dealing with injuries, including a partially torn pectoral muscle for Jela Duncan, who led Duke in rushing yards during the 2013 regular season before being suspended for the Peach bowl and all of last season for an academic issue. That leaves Shaquille Powell, who is certainly capable of doing damage, but we'll see how many carries Cutcliffe wants him to handle.

Speaking of Crowder, true freshman receiver T.J. Rahming was impressive in the U.S. Army All-America Game last winter and has drawn early comparisons to Jamison. Some say he is a bit undersized at the moment and could benefit from a redshirt year to bulk up and prepare himself for a full season of major college football. Is the Crowder comparison accurate, and how big of a role (if any) do you see Rahming playing this season?

I think Rahming will force his way onto the field this year. He's too athletic and quick not to, really. Don't be surprised to see him have an impact at punt returner, replacing Crowder there. Duke isn't shying away from the comparisons — they gave him Crowder's old No. 3, for instance — but I do think it's too early to say if he will be able to replace Crowder's production and play-making ability, at least this year. Crowder was incredibly reliable and steady, and Rahming hasn't even been hit in a game yet. But yes, I expect him to play.

All-ACC linebacker Kelby Brown suffered his fourth knee injury during the offseason, reportedly ending his football career. With the graduation of last year's Brown fill-in, David Helton, how are the Blue Devils planning to address the loss of such a key leader to their defensive unit? On the same side of the ball, the Duke secondary is arguably the strength of this team, returning each starter, including safeties Jeremy Cash and DeVon Edwards. Is the secondary's talent level enough to make up for a questionable front seven?

Defensive coordinator Jim Knowles spoke to us earlier this week, and he pointed out that, even without Brown and Helton, Duke's linebackers are more athletic this year. And that's true. Now, if the new guys will be as consistent as Helton and Brown were is the real question. Sophomore Zavier Carmichael takes over at mike linebacker in Duke's 4-2-5 defense, and he will be the one asked to go out and make plays. He showed a knack for that last year in his reserve role, picking off passes in the red zone against Georgia Tech and Tulane. His fellow starter at the Will position will be senior Dwayne Norman, who began his career at safety and started to make the transition last year. As a safety, Norman had an unfortunate knack for getting beat for big yardage — the kind of plays easy for even a press box hack to pick out — but the coaches have always been high on him and believe his role is a better fit for him.

But don't sleep on freshman Ben Humphreys, Duke's other participant in last year's Army All-America game. Teammates have raved about his abilities thus far, with multiple people saying he had picked off four passes in the first week in a half of camp. They also say he doesn't shy away from contact, which is slightly unusual for a freshman. I expect him to play. Another young sleeper at linebacker: freshman Joe Giles-Harris.

So I think the linebackers, in some combination, will be fine. The back five will undoubtedly be the strength for the defense. Jeremy Cash and DeVon Edwards are all-American candidates at safety. Corner Breon Borders might be the most freakish athlete on the team, and you'll certainly see teams stay away from his side of the field.

As long as the front four can be neutral, and not a minus on the plus-minus scale, the defense should be fine.

Duke's specialists are top-notch, with all three earning Preseason All-ACC Second Team honors (Kicker Ross Martin, Punter Will Monday and Returner Edwards). Will the universe implode when Beamer Ball meets Cutcliffe's Kickers on October 24th?

It might. Or it might implode due to a third horrendously ugly game between the two teams (Let's recap: Eight total interceptions in Duke's 14-10 win at Lane in 2013, and then last year's free-for-all with gross fake punts and missed field goals that ended with the score 17-16 in favor of the Hokies, who scored all their points off of Duke turnovers). Yikes. Anyhow, yes, Duke's specialists are top-notch. David Cutcliffe placed a high emphasis on special teams when he started his resurrection project at Duke, and it has paid off in terms of wins. ESPN's David Hale, a must-follow for any ACC fan, dug into the Worldwide Leader's fancy stats box and reported that Duke had a plus-6.3 margin in starting field position, the seventh-best mark in the nation, and that's thanks to Martin's accuracy and Monday's skills at punter.

Last question: Duke Football has proved the naysayers wrong over the past few years by finishing at or near the top of the ACC Coastal. Is this the year that the Blue Devils return to their historical middling form, or are their recent performances the new normal?

I think the new normal is Duke being competitive in the Coastal Division. And why not? What team in this division scares you? There are no Florida States or Clemsons where you go, 'Yeah, we're not at that level.' The talent and athleticism level continues to climb in Durham, and Cutcliffe and Co. clearly know what they're doing.

Previously in this series:

Ohio State
Purdue
East Carolina
Pittsburgh
Miami
Pittsburgh
NC State

Comments

The Hokies upset of Duke was one of the high points of the 2014 season.

So much wrong with this.
So very sad.

(Great article, though. Appreciated)

I wish this was a typo that should refer to the 2011 basketball season. :(

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You beat me to it, maybe we are worst off than I thought. What would we say reading that 10 years ago?

Duke is nowhere near where they were 10 years ago. Then again, we aren't back where we were then either, but the point is that Duke has raised its status in football and that is thanks to David Cutcliffe. Anyone who knew Cutcliffe knew that he would bring Duke up to this level. They are peaking, but they will be more than a cellar-dweller for a little while.

Back in 2005, the year Dook had 35 Total yards for the entire game? We beat them 45-0. I miss those days.

"What are you going to do, stab me? - Quote from Man Stabbed

what team scares you?

There you go. We haven't won a game this year. Time to concentrate on football and earn some g.d. respect.

"The world ain't all sunshine and rainbows. It's a very mean and nasty place and I don't care how tough you are it will beat you to your knees and keep you there permanently if you let it. " Rocky B.

I think the new normal is Duke being competitive in the Coastal Division. And why not? What team in this division scares you? There are no Florida States or Clemsons where you go, 'Yeah, we're not at that level.'

....right in the feels

Onward and upward

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

She seems pretty high on Duke. I know we lost to them once but that's another team that I don't think we should ever lose to. Yes they have improved tremendously since we joined the ACC but once Cutcliffe leaves I don't know how they continue on that path. Will they be a dangerous team? Sure, but with the outlook for this years team at this phase I don't think they match up at all with us. She doesn't really seem to point to any glaring concerns at all. She seems to believe that they'll be fine no matter who they are replacing and who they lost. Maybe it's just me.

If you don't want to recruit clowns, don't run a clown show.

"I want to punch people from UVA right in the neck." - Colin Cowherd

I'm pretty down on Duke this year. They have lost essentially everyone who make their resurgence possible, including a couple of high draft picks from last year's excellent o-line. Throw in losing your best player from a front-six that was already terrible last year, 8 of your top 11 players total from that area, one of your returning starters from the secondary, and an ostensibly tougher schedule that features teams that could exploit their defensive font, and I think Duke and UVA are the teams in the coastal that take a step back.

They must have OSU level depth...

That or self confidence is all they have to lean on.

___

-What we do is, if we need that extra push, you know what we do? -Put it up to fully dipped? -Fully dipped. Exactly. It's dork magic.

You are correct in that they lost most of the players that formed their resurgence of late, but they still have the coach that coordinated their success and thus have recruited better in the last few years. 2013 wasn't just a flash in a pan for Duke, they are operating at a higher level than their 1-4 win seasons.
That said, we should be beating them soundly on the back of talent and coaching. Here's to getting back to that this year.

Oh, yeah, I agree. I'm not saying that they'll be a 3-win team this year or that they're an easy W. More like a 7 win team, but it's still a step back from the past two years in terms of record. I just think that things don't set up quite as nicely as they have in years past.

I forgot to mention that, in addition to their personnel losses, an argument could be made that they were lucky as a team last year until it ran out against us.
http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2015/1/30/7947287/college-football-turn...
http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2014/12/16/7398531/college-football-rat...

Just so you know, this is pretty much what people were saying about Wake Forest after they won the ACC. "Sure, they're losing some weapons, but they still have the coach that engineered this rise to prominence."

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Christmas is over. Duke will go back to being Duke again this year. That's a certified Leonard Lock.

Leonard. Duh.

We need to stop saying they are not going to be good and stop expecting them to be bad. Look what happened when we did that to GahTech and Wake last year, and this kind of thinking is why we have played Duke close so many times over the past few years. I think we've played down to their level many times. It's high time we treat them with respect, as a worthy opponent....and then go out and smash those sniveling little dukies into the turf so they cry like babies. This is the attitude we need the next time we step on the field against them. Pound them! Pound the rock on their D...and then pound their new QB into the turf....that's what I want to see....complete domination....before any more remarks about how we hope they won't be able to replace their starters...and then maybe TKP can call this reporter back to get a post game quote about her beloved dukies....

HH4455

this kind of thinking is why we have played Duke close so many times over the past few years

Are you confusing fan speculation with coaching? I don't think anyone on our coaching staff goes into the Duke game with any sense of invulnerability. I certainly hope note. If some of our players sometimes take a game for granted, I don't think it's because they read on the Key Play that they were sure to win.

"Our job as coaches is to influence young people's lives for the better in terms of fundamental skills, work ethic, and doing the right thing. Every now and again, a player actually has that effect on the coaching staff." Justin Fuente on Sam Rogers

Unless we're talking about roundball I don't ever want to read these words again:

The Hokies upset of Duke [...]

Rehash...."Upset of Duke"...the wife is trying to get me out of the fetal position. Like what Hokie H is saying.

Even when you get skunked; fishing never lets you down. 🎣

With all due respect to Duke and Coach Cutcliffe, I hope we absolutely pound them this year. Even though we beat them last year, the 2013 game in Lane still stings.

In Sam Rogers we trust.

Love the fact that our opponents fans don't think anything of us this year. Have a feeling a lot of people are going to be looking back on the season on New Years wondering where the hell we came from and how they didn't see it coming.

"When I was growing up, Virginia Tech was a school that was kicking ass and taking names, and it's time we get back to that" - James Franklin