By the (Advanced) Numbers: What the Buzz Is All About

Hendon Hooker's contribution to the ground attack — his yards per rush attempt — could make or break this one for the Hokies.

The 2019 edition of the Techmo Bowl features two teams that started the season in embarrassing fashion, but have looked very competitive recently. The Hokies failed to cover the spread in the first four games of the season, missing by an incredible average of 18.5 points per game. Since then, Virginia Tech has covered 4 out of 5 with an average cover of 16.5 (the lone blemish over the period was a 10.5-point miss against Rhode Island).

Although, I believe such things are victims of small sample size and other effects, fans may be interested to know Tech is 4-0 against the spread as the underdog this season and 0-5 as the favorite.

Georgia Tech started the season in truly poor fashion, getting predictably demolished by Clemson before these three gems:

  • Squeaking by FEI #89 South Florida 14-10
  • Losing 24-27 to FCS Citadel
  • Failing to score offensive points in a 2-24 loss to #70 Temple

After that the team picked things up. Georgia Tech lost to Duke and UNC but at least showed up for the games and made it competitive. Since starting the season failing to cover the spread in their first six games, the Yellow Jackets have covered in 2 of 3 with the lone miss by a mere 0.5 points. Last week the team took division leader Virginia to late in the 4th quarter.

Both teams are clearly on the rise after early season struggles, and Saturday will test which has progressed further.

Where the Season Stands

Virginia Tech is currently 6-3. The actual and predicted score difference and odds of winning each game are:

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