Track Record of Virginia HS's 4 & 5 Stars

One of the "great debates" I've seen on TKP is the question of how much value 4 & 5 stars bring to the table. I've decided to compile a list of every 4 & 5 from the Commonwealth since 2002 (according to Rivals) to shed a little light on the subject. For obvious reasons, I didn't include players that were prepping at Fork Union or Hargrave.

Committed to Virginia Tech
Committed to UVA

2002: Kai Parham, Ahmad Brooks, Marcus Vick, Michael Johnson, Anthony Martinez, R.J. Coleman, Justin London, Jonathan Lewis, Thomas Clayton, Marcus Hamilton, Stefan Orange, Keenan Carter, Levi Brown (Total: 13)

2003: Phillip Brown, Chris Ellis, Vince Hall, Xavier Adibi, Matt Welsh (Total: 5)

2004: Chris Long, Olu Hall, Sean Glennon, Jerod Mayo, Kent Hicks, Eddie Royal (Total: 6)

2005: Macho Harris, Deveon Simmons, Stephen Friday, Vic Hall, Pat Shell, Elan Lewis, Todd Nolen (Total: 7)

2006: Percy Harvin, Brandon Minor, Vidal Hazelton, Damon McDaniel, Jarrell Miller, Chris Bell, Dedrick Epps, Alex Stadler, Sean Gottschalk, Brent Vinson, John Graves (Total: 11)

2007: Tyrod Taylor, Peter Lalich, Jamar Jackson, Terence Fells-Danzer, J'Courtney Williams, Bradley Starks, Chris Hill, Blake DeChristopher, Andrew Nuss, Jay Smith (Total: 10)

2008: E.J. Manuel, Ryan Williams, Mike Glennon, Quinton Coples, Josh Jenkins, Vinson Painter, Marcus Dowtin, Deion Walker, Kerry Boykins, Bobby Massie, Dyrell Roberts, D.J. Coles (Total: 12)

2009: Logan Thomas, Dominique Wallace, Tajh Boyd, David Wilson, Kevin Newsome, Bryn Renner, Morgan Moses, Jerod Askew, De'Antwan Williams, Quintin Hunter, Damien Thigpen, Tim Smith, Logan Heastie (Total: 13)

2010: Quinton Spain, Phillip Sims, J.R. Ferguson, Zack McCray, Justin Hunter, Travis Williams, Nick Dew, Nick Acree, Aramide Olaniyan, Jamel Turner, Mark Shuman (Total: 11)

2011: Curtis Grant, Landon Turner, Demetrious Nicholson, Travis Hughes, Dominique Terrell, Clifton Richardson, Ronny Vandyke, Corey Marshall (Total: 8)

2012: J.C. Coleman, Alex Carter, Kwontie Moore, Eli Harold, Joel Caleb, Deon Clarke, Ken Ekanem, Trey Edmunds, Korren Kirven, Win Homer (Total: 10)

2013: Taquan Mizzel, Derrick Green, Christian Hackenberg, Jonathan Allen, Wyatt Teller, Ryan Burns, E.J. Levenberry Jr., Bucky Hodges, Holland Fisher, Doug Randolph, Tim Harris, Matt Rolin (Total: 12)

2014: Da'Shawn Hand, Quin Blanding, Andrew Brown, Derrick Nnadi, Alec Eberle, Jalyn Holmes, Caleb Henderson, Jamil Kamara, Steven Moss, Ricky Walker, Raymond Minor, C.J. Reavis, Marshawn Williams (Total: 13)

2015: Josh Sweat, Javoni Simmons, Clelin Ferrell, Ricky DeBerry, Garrett Taylor, Matthew Burrell Jr., Austin Clark, Tim Settle, Darvin Taylor II, Jaason Lewis (Total: 10)

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Comments

I'd like to point out that in 2002 UVA got 7 4/5-stars and didn't do dick with them #historywillrepeatitself

Ahmad Brooks agrees.
ouch

In Sam Rogers we trust.

Relieved I don't have to watch Cam Newton flop on an NBA court all the time.

Row Z forever.

Anthony Martinez from the 2002 class went to my high school. He's a pretty cool guy ended up playing Minor League baseball for awhile. Too bad he had horrible taste when choosing what college he would attend.

Good list - thanks!

Is there any relation between the Minors? Roland, Raymond, Brandon, AAA Richmond Braves, etc.?

___

-What we do is, if we need that extra push, you know what we do? -Put it up to fully dipped? -Fully dipped. Exactly. It's dork magic.

I do miss our Braves. Still haven't been to a Flying Squirrels game.

VT '10--US Citizen; (804) Virginian By Birth; (979) Texan By the Grace of God.

Rick Monday... You Made a Great Play...

I also root for: The Keydets, Army, TexAggies, NY Giants, NY Rangers, ATL Braves, and SA Brahmas

I've been to one, and it was so I could see Beamer throw out the opening pitch

"The Big Ten is always using excuses to cancel games with us. First Wisconsin. Then Wisconsin. After that, Wisconsin. The subsequent cancellation with Wisconsin comes to mind too. Now Penn State. What's next? Wisconsin?" -HorseOnATreadmill

If you don't have kids, I don't think it's that worth it. My family has gone a couple times (the youngest being 18) and you shouldn't go for good baseball. They have all sorts of things happening between innings to entertain you. It's a good thing to take your kids to, though.

"That move was slicker than a peeled onion in a bowl of snot." -Mike Burnop

I miss the R-Braves. I love the Squirrels. Minor league baseball is a great entertainment value. YMMV.

"Our job as coaches is to influence young people's lives for the better in terms of fundamental skills, work ethic, and doing the right thing. Every now and again, a player actually has that effect on the coaching staff." Justin Fuente on Sam Rogers

To be fair I'm not the biggest baseball fan. And seeing a guy barely feed an easy fly out can be entertaining.

"That move was slicker than a peeled onion in a bowl of snot." -Mike Burnop

Wasn't Kendall Fuller a 5*?

Edit: from Maryland, sorry

Nice List - could be fun to see a nerd breakdown of # of stars vs. success vs. whatever - position, area of the state, schools, etc. Lots of pivot options to try and validate some of the star ratings (e.g., a 4 star RB is more of a lock vs. a 4 star OL, or 4 stars from Richmond are better than 4 stars from SWVA, etc.). Maybe a good off season exercise for someone.

I just came up with an awesome idea for a GIS project, figuring out recruiting hotspots based on number of starters out of a region, number of all conference players out of the region and maybe a few other products....it could be interesting I mean naturally youd probably see a lot in Hampton and northern Virginia but Im curious to see if there are any diamond in the rough spots. Also, that being said I could do something based on percentages of the players out of the region that become starters/stars....itd take a shit ton of data though and a lot of spare time....that I may have over the summer

Taylor, looking desperately throws it deep..HAS A MAN OPEN DANNY COALE WITH A CATCH ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE FIVE!!!!....hes still open

So eshiben, since we had a Polar Vortex, does that mean we're gonna have a Pollen Vortex?

ALLOFTHEPOLLENS

but no seriously this summer (severe weather wise) is looking less and less exciting by the day :\ im gonna be REALLY bored

Taylor, looking desperately throws it deep..HAS A MAN OPEN DANNY COALE WITH A CATCH ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE FIVE!!!!....hes still open

cue tornado...

Nooooo!! I want thunderstorms! But no derechos.

@AMB4VT

Haha there'll be thunderstorms I'm sure but no supercell scary/intense stuff at least in the early season the outlook is looking kinda slow. That being said it only takes one outbreak for everyone to remember a year for the next decade

Taylor, looking desperately throws it deep..HAS A MAN OPEN DANNY COALE WITH A CATCH ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE FIVE!!!!....hes still open

I really, really, really don't want a pollen vortex.

There's always a lighthouse. There's always a man. There's always a city.

I would like to help in this quest! awesome idea!

Well are you a current student? We could meet at major Williams tomorrow and get cracking I'm gonna start putting together a recruit list tonight

Taylor, looking desperately throws it deep..HAS A MAN OPEN DANNY COALE WITH A CATCH ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE FIVE!!!!....hes still open

How about you just come out for Half Price Hurricanes tomorrow and we can discuss

Great Idea!! +1, Welcome to TKP!!

Pain is Temporary, Chicks Dig Scars
Glory is Forever, Let's Go Hokies!!

Alex!!!!!!!!! Haha what are you Doin this summer man? Wanna conquer this project together?!

Taylor, looking desperately throws it deep..HAS A MAN OPEN DANNY COALE WITH A CATCH ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE FIVE!!!!....hes still open

haha, i was wondering how long it would take you. I am down man!!

Cue someone saying: "See what do we need 4 and 5 star recruits for? They all fail! But Luther Maddy succeeded!"

Do the same analysis for the 2 and 3 star recruits and see how often they fail.

LOL Peter Lalich

I just sit on my couch and b*tch. - HokieChemE2016