Gambling Lines, Week 10

This past weekend is the kind that makes people who deep down want to quit gambling kill that little voice inside and lay down another week's worth of bets. Seriously, best weekend I've had since labor day when I staked my whole betting account on VT (-6) @ FSU. I broke even on the weekend with Clemson (-16.5) and UGa (-6.5) and then saw both legs of two different parlays hit. One of those had the Kentucky ML which they salvaged on the last play of the game and the other had Oklahoma/Kansas State hit the over at 64 (which by gametime was set at 66 and they only hit 65, so dodged a bullet there). All told it was a good enough weekend for me to come back up to a little better than even on the season. A wiser man would quit while he's ahead, but then I'd miss my chance at actually making some money this season!

That's enough life destroying peer pressure. Now on to this week's lines!

  • Syracuse (-4.5) @ Wake Forest. Holy shit. What does Syracuse have to do to earn respect from Vegas? They just hung 561 yards and 51 points on NC State. I know it was in the Carrier dome, but you can't tell me Winston-Salem is that intimidating of an away game (you went there didn't you?)
  • GT (-4.5) @ UNCheat. What makes me sad about this line is that it's probably spot on. Just like ODU, GT will resume their embarrassingly bad season after whipping our tails.
  • Bama (-14) @ LSU. The real betting line for this game is how many minutes into the second half before Saban pulls Tua and puts in the backup. This could be the first game all season where Tua sees 4th quarter minutes.
  • Duke (+9) @ Miami. Honestly, Miami has been underwhelming. Their best win was a squeaker past over-hyped punching bag, FSU. Duke has beaten Baylor and Northwestern at least. I say they both sit at 2-3 in the ACC when the dust settles. Duke ML for me.
  • BC (-2) @ VT. I don't know what to think of this line. It seems too close. I think BC (-6.5) sounds closer to reality, but whatever. The over is 57.5 and I'm leaning towards taking that bet in the off chance that our offense can put up some points and the much less off chance that Dillon carves us up on the ground. 38-28 does not sound like a crazy score in this game.
  • Pitt (+7) @ LOLUVa. I still can't wrap my head around the fact that LOLUVa is favored against anyone. But, then again, Pitt sucks so there you have it. Either I see Narduzzi lose his shit or I see LOLUVa come crashing back to earth. I'm cool with either at this point. In the grand scheme of things, the only Wahoo loss I really care about is coming on Black Friday.

As always, please do not take my ramblings as legitimate gambling advice. You will lose your shirt and anything else you're foolish enough to bet based on my idiocy. TKP does not encourage gambling and even if it did, I am neither employed nor sanctioned by Orange and Maroon Media, LLC so who cares.

Teams Spread -------------------- Teams Spread
Kent State +1 Oklahoma State -8
Bowling Green Baylor
Miami (OH) +7 UTEP even
Buffalo Rice
Ball State +18.5 Iowa State -14.5
Toledo Kansas
Ohio -1 Iowa +3
Western Michigan Purdue
Northern Illinois -6 Liberty +3
Akron Massachusetts
Temple +10 FSU +7
Central Florida NC State
Pitt +7 Tulane +7
LOLUVa USF
Western Kentucky +13.5 Kansas State +8
MTSU TCU
Colorado +3.5 UL Lafayette +10.5
Arizona Troy
Nebraska +21 Navy +13
anOSU Cincinnati
Michigan State -1.5 BC -2
Maryland VT
WVU +2 Pedo State +10
Texas Michigan
Rutgers +29.5 Mizzou +5.5
Wisconsin Florida
Louisville +38 Charlotte +21
Clemson Tenn
USCe even App State -14.5
Ole Miss Coastal Carolina
Memphis -13 Houston -13
Eastern Carolina SMU
Georgia -9.5 Duke +9
Kentucky Miami (FL)
Minnesota -8.5 Connecticut +17.5
Illinois Tulsa
Syracuse -4.5 Notre Dame -9.5
Wake Forest Northwestern
aTm +5 FAU +3.5
Auburn FIU
Air Force +7 UTSA 21.5
Army UAB
Central Michigan +13.5 Louisiana Tech +22
Eastern Michigan Mississippi State
Georgia Tech -4.5 Bama -14
UNCheat LSU
Texas State +6.5 Oklahoma -11
Georgia State Texas Tech
San Jose State +14 USC -14
Wyoming Oregon State
Marshall -3 San Diego State -10.5
Southern Mississippi New Mexico
Georgia Southern -7.5 BYU +13
UL Monroe Boise State
Utah -7 Fresno State -25
Arizona State UNLV
Stanford +9.5 California +10.5
Washington Washington state
South Alabama +15.5 Utah State -18
Arkansas State Hawaii
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Comments

I was confused by Temple (+10) against UCF. I know they pulled off a win against Cinci last week, but I feel like reigning national champions can do better than 10 points against the fighting Bill Cosbies, err, Owls.

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I had the weirdest dream last night that I checked scores and Temple had beaten UCF by 28 points.

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It's a sign

Phew. UCF covered.

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I thought you might take temple after that dream

no, I already had UCF by ten before I had that dream. I'm just glad UCF didn't miss that field goal with less than 2 minutes left. If they'd won by 9 , I would have cried. Unfortunately, I parlayed that bet with taking the over on the VT game, so I'm rooting for a shoot out Saturday just to wrap this bet up.

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I'm just dumbfounded with the Bama/LSU line. I get that Bama is rolling everyone like they are playing on beginner mode, but LSU seems competent enough to keep it within a 7-10 point game to me. What am I missing?

I'm with you, Bama has looked to be head and shoulders above everyone they've played , but they're going on the road to play a team that is by far the toughest team they've faced all year. I expect a close game

I read a tweet last Thursday it said we have football (pro and college) everyday until the day before Thanksgiving. It was like 21 or 27 straight days of football.
MAC football was on tonight

what a glorious time to be alive.

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And we got basketball starting up on Tuesday

I'm on

  • Notre Dame -9.5 @ Northwestern - think Northwestern is a mirage tbh
  • TCU -8 @ Kansas State - K-state is truly awful
  • WVU +2 @ Texas - I'm a believer in Will Grier and this will be a shootout, WVU outright

K-State's program must be going through the anti-Beamer transition with Snyder holding on.

The Orange and Maroon you see, that's fighting on to victory.

Parlay that with the Navy over lock and VT on the ML and you got yourself+2500 odds

I make a habit to never bet on my teams (VT or Auburn). I usually bet Navy (took them to cover +24.5 last week, lost by 22 haha), but my betting site hasn't shown the O/U for that game yet.

O/U is 50

GT and Duke are locks. UNC will need to score 50 points to beat GT- and that is not happening with their QB. GT will run through them similar to how they ran through us. Duke will play Miami tight, and Miami is flat not that good. Love those 2 bets.

I'd just like to thank you all for the incredible peer pressure. I got all my bets in yesterday and decided to cut it off before I make too many that I regret later. Then you all get on here and now I'm itching to drop 3-4 more bets. #GamblingIsBadmmkay?

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I blame these threads for my introduction into it. Not sure who suggested Bovada, but they are currently matching 50% of what you deposit on your first deposit. Easy way to drop a little extra when "it isn't your money." Somehow I've managed to more or less break even the last couple weeks.

Guys...I have a confession to make. I had the LOLUVa ML in a 7 leg parlay this week. I am ashamed. Never felt better about a bet flopping though.

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