Recent Comments

bar1990's picture bar1990
ATLIEN
| 1 year 8 months # | Virginia Tech 26th in Week 14 SP+ rankings.

Where can I find Diego Pavia dominating us?

The S in SP+ stands for Success Rate. A play is considered successful if it meets the following conditions:

  • First Down: At least 50% of the yards needed to achieve a first down must be gained.
  • Second Down: At least 70% of the yards needed must be gained.
  • Third or Fourth Down: 100% of the required yards must be gained to be deemed successful.

The Vanderbilt offense had 47% success rate overall, including a 60% success rate and 59% success rate in the 2nd and 4th quarters, respectively. That's absurdly bad for the VT defense. Pulled this from the advanced box score on collegefootballdata.com

So that's where you can find that one.

Where in the SP can I find Dukes receivers running free with no one around them?

I assume this is in reference to us giving up explosive plays?

The P in SP+ stands for PPA, which is a measure of explosiveness basically based on EPA (If your Expected Points Added is way above the regular Expected Points, then an explosive play happened).

So, when you look at the advanced box score for the duke game, you can see that in the first two quarters they had an EPA of 3.79 and 3.5 points (respectively) - which is insanely high. That means that the typical play in each of those quarters was resulting in 3.5 points more than it would for other teams. Another trash performance by VT.

So that's where you can find that one in SP+.

Where can I find Kyle McCord looking like Mahomes in the 4th quarter?

The advanced box score shows that VT got destroyed in Q3 of syracuse, not Q4. I didn't watch that game, so I'm unsure of what 'looking like Mahomes in the 4th quarter' means, but if you're referring to the third quarter, and your referring to explosive plays being given up, well, that too is captured in the Q3 EPA that can be found in... the advanced box score.

ryanguitar04's picture ryanguitar04
| 1 year 8 months # | Coaching carousel

I'm sure that's the case, but it still doesn't make sense to miss out on another buyout.

Chazz Michael Michaelzz's picture Chazz Michael Michaelzz
| 1 year 8 months # | Steven Godfrey suggesting that Pry's seat is much hotter than we think

SMU, Indiana, BYU, ASU, Iowa State

Maybe I misunderstand, but what did any of these teams do in season? This seems to be a list of schools that actually didn't improve much from game 1 to game 12, but just had lower expectations going into the season. IU, ASU, and ISU were all good from game 1. BYU played worse in its last 4 games. Arguably, SMU season started slow and then changed QBs, but were pretty much the same team once Jennings took over.

VPIhokieME's picture VPIhokieME
'_'
| 1 year 8 months # | What's the chance Pry gets fired with a loss tonight?

even if we had lost to UVA, I'd have been shocked if there were any changes

I'll be EVEN MORE shocked now. And what would REALLY shock me is any change made before the bowl game.

Pry doesn't have the impetus to fire Marve now that he has 4 more weeks of practices. And it's unlikely he's going to fire him after the bowl game. Especially if we win (which, we might, because I think Bowen, given the time, can score enough points to beat most teams that would be matched up to a 6-6 team)

dcwilson40's picture dcwilson40 | 1 year 8 months # | Virginia Tech 26th in Week 14 SP+ rankings.

Where in the SP can I find Dukes receivers running free with no one around them? Where can I find Kyle McCord looking like Mahomes in the 4th quarter? Where can I find Diego Pavia dominating us?

bar1990's picture bar1990
ATLIEN
| 1 year 8 months # | Virginia Tech 26th in Week 14 SP+ rankings.

We should be Upset:

SP+ measures how good you are at things that correlate to winning games (Efficiency, Explosive Plays, Turnovers, Field Position, and Finishing Drives). We're basically top 25 in the things that correlate to winning games, but we aren't winning games.

That means that either (a) we're getting unlucky, or (b) we're losing on the margins.

You've watched our games. Every loss except one has been by one score or less.

The data is confirming what our eyes see: This team is good enough to be a top 25 team, but we (AKA the coaches) find ways to lose.

dcwilson40's picture dcwilson40 | 1 year 8 months # | What's the chance Pry gets fired with a loss tonight?

yeah except for # 1- who gives a fuck? and BTW Devon Hunter couldn't play dead in a western, so that is meaningless. Recruit better players, recruit better depth so when one fucking player is suspended the program doesn't fold. Prepare a backup QB so you can beat a 3-8 ODU team. Dial up one fucking defensive stop against a kid that quit football to be a priest. I mean seriously. This list is a fucking joke for a major football program. Our roster was such shit, that 3 players missing and we fucking sucked.

Chazz Michael Michaelzz's picture Chazz Michael Michaelzz
| 1 year 8 months # | Virginia Tech 26th in Week 14 SP+ rankings.

VT is rated higher than every team on it's schedule other than Miami and Clemson. They lost to four teams with a lower rating:
Duke (40)
Syracuse (50)
Rutgers (53)
Vanderbilt (58)

This is what happens when you "outplay" but lose to your opponents, which I think they did for each of these games plus the Miami game.

VPIhokieME's picture VPIhokieME
'_'
| 1 year 8 months # | FAM - LOLUVA Sucks

Me'sa thinks you meanin' Episodes I, II, and III, right?

dcwilson40's picture dcwilson40 | 1 year 8 months # | What's the chance Pry gets fired with a loss tonight?

Now more than ever its simply about money. Shane and every other coach want to be where they can waste 2 million on DJ Ugialai or 500K on Lynn Kidd. Shane wants to be where the money is- the SEC or B1G. It's all that matters now.

VPIhokieME's picture VPIhokieME
'_'
| 1 year 8 months # | Virginia Tech 26th in Week 14 SP+ rankings.

Should we be encouraged or furious?

umm..neither?

I'm not encouraged - our team was a .500 team this year, which is what it has been for over a decade and what it will continue to be if nothing major changes. That's our reality right now and I don't think there is any reason to expect that to change anytime soon.

I'm not furious - mostly for the above reason. We're a .500 team right now and getting mad about that helps no one. Do I wish we were better than this? Absolutely. Am I disappointed? Yes. Has the decade and half of mediocrity made me numb? Also yes. I don't really care enough to be furious.

Top 25 used to be an achievement - a goal to aspire to - it used to come with a reward. Most of the top 25 teams would play in respectable bowl games against other top 25 teams. We're in a new era of football now, though. Bowl games are seriously diminished and there's no real achievement associated with simply being in the top 25. Nowadays, it's top 12 or bust. If you're not in the playoff, or sniffing it, you don't matter. And at 26, you're not sniffing the playoff. We don't matter. We haven't mattered in over a decade. Nothing to be encouraged by or mad about. It just is what it is.

Pages