BCS Projections - Nov 6

So the big news of this week's BCS rankings was the fact that Alabama only fell to 3rd in the rankings behind LSU and Oklahoma State after their loss to the Tigers in Tuscaloosa.  Twitter was afire following the rankings announcement, as folks thought Stanford (ok) and Boise (uhm, no) should be ranked ahead of the Tide.  There's still alot of football left to be played, and the BCSGuru thinks that Stanford will pass Bama if the Cardinal keeps on winning.  (BCSGuru has been way more accurate with his projections than ESPN's Brad Edwards, so I trust his opinion.)

Personally, there's no way I put Boise State ahead of this 1-loss Alabama team.  I think the rankings are largely accurate based on the top teams' bodies of work, but who knows what November will bring - I would be shocked if LSU, Oklahoma State, Alabama, and Stanford all win out.

Ok, enough about the rankings - below the break are my BCS bowl projections as if the season ended today.

Once again, I'm using assumptions used in my previous posts.

Automatic Qualifiers: LSU, Oklahoma State, Clemson, Stanford, Penn State, Cincinnati, Alabama, Boise State.
At-large pool: Oklahoma, Oregon, Virginia Tech, Houston

BCS Champ Game LSU Oklahoma St
Rose Bowl Penn St Stanford
Fiesta Bowl Oklahoma Oregon
Sugar Bowl Alabama Boise St
Orange Bowl Clemson Cincinnati

Quick summary: LSU & Oklahoma State get slotted into the BCS Championship Game; Penn State, Stanford, & Clemson are slotted into their respective bowls due to conference tie-ins; Sugar "replaces" LSU (I assume Bama); Fiesta "replaces" OSU (I assume OU); Fiesta, Sugar, and Orange pick from remaining teams.

If the Fiesta theoretically chooses to go with Boise State instead of Oregon, then the Sugar Bowl could select from the at-large pool.  (Hint: Oregon or Virginia Tech)

Week 10 BCS Standings - Nov 6

Rank Pvs Team BCS Avg Conf
1 1 LSU 0.9931 SEC
2 3 Oklahoma State 0.9447 B12
3 2 Alabama 0.8836 SEC
4 4 Stanford 0.8749 P12
5 5 Boise State 0.8473 MWC
6 6 Oklahoma 0.7978 B12
7 8 Oregon 0.7708 P12
8 7 Arkansas 0.7452 SEC
9 11 Clemson 0.6435 ACC
10 12 Virginia Tech 0.5913 ACC
11 13 Houston 0.5510 CUSA
12 16 Penn State 0.4838 B10
13 9 South Carolina 0.4528 SEC
14 14 Kansas State 0.3808 B12
15 18 Georgia 0.3696 SEC
16 21 Texas 0.3664 B12
17 17 Michigan State 0.3372 B10
18 20 Wisconsin 0.3046 B10
19 10 Nebraska 0.2792 B10
20 22 Auburn 0.2097 SEC
21 23 Georgia Tech 0.2094 ACC
22 25 Southern Miss 0.2039 CUSA
23 NR Cincinnati 0.1869 BE
24 15 Michigan 0.1768 B10
25 NR Baylor 0.0708 NR

NOTE: I transposed these rankings by hand this week, so let me know if you see inaccuracies.

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