(Disclaimer: Any mention of win/loss records in this thread is strictly conference records.)
Normally by this time of year, I'm already figuring out who needs what help to get to the ACCCG. Obviously, normal is thrown out the window this year. We might not even be able to get the usual circles of suck.
I think trying to figure out exactly who is eliminated from ACCCG contention will get trickier than usual due to the "top 2 teams" rule and lack of complete round robin (like the Big 12). The biggest worry is that we'll have multiple teams at the top of the standings with the same record who didn't play each other. I think that in typical #goacc fashion, we'll be fearing such an outcome in mid-November and fretting about the fifth tiebreaker in the list, only for everything to work itself out by the final regular season game.
But wait, the ACC actually came up with tiebreaker procedures! They also developed contingency plans in case teams are unable to play 10 conference games.
Basically, a team's total number of conference games has to be within one of the average.
Example -- let's say Notre Dame misses 5 games, and ends the season 5-0. Those other five teams would only have 9 conference games. The average number of conference games would be 9.33 (rounded down to 9). Even with a win percentage of 1.000, ND wouldn't be eligible for the ACCCG due to being 4 games under the average.
Also, if there is an unequal total number of conference games played among teams tied in the loss column, head-to-head takes precedence over win percentage.
Example (if I'm interpreting correctly) -- If 8-1 VT beats 9-1 Clemson during the season, VT's win percentage would be .888, while Clemson would be .900. VT would be higher in the standings than Clemson.
Currently, the ACC breaks down nicely into 3 groups of 5 teams right now.
Undefeated: Clemson, Miami, VT, UNC, and Notre Dame
1-loss: NC State, Pitt, BC, uva, GT
2+ losses: Syracuse, FSU, Louisville, WF, Duke (Syracuse is 1-2, Duke is 0-4, the rest are 0-2)
By the end of next week, at least two teams will fall from the undefeated ranks due to Miami at Clemson and VT at UNC.
Is it possible to have two undefeated teams going into the ACCCG? Yes, but only three scenarios:
Due to schedules, the ACC will not have a case of three undefeated teams at the end of the regular season. Now, a gaggle of 1-loss teams is a completely different story, but we'll save that concern for when it's likely to be an issue.