2021 Football Schedule

Edit: Released

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Yay now I get to set in my calendar the days I have to fix the holes in my wall from throwing things. I can have sheet rock and mud at the ready.

ESPN. The coverage is excellent, you'd be surprised at how much you can pick up.

They also announced a schedule last January. We saw how well that held up...

Seriously, though, I saw a tweet that said that the ACC is planning on going with their original configuration for the 2021 schedule, so back to 8 conference games and 2 divisions.

Think we're gonna open on Labor Day with UNC. It's either them or BC and I am thinking ESPN will want a premier Labor Day game.

As far as I can tell, there's still two Chick-fil-a Kickoff Games scheduled for opening weekend 2021 - Alabama/Miami on 9/4 (Saturday) and Louisville/Ole Miss on 9/6 (Monday).

Now, it is possible they want an undercard on Labor Day leading into the CFA game.

VT likely to go 6-6 (4-4)

It's always darkest before the dawn ~ Thomas Fuller

Way more optimistic than I am. Threw up saying that.

Predicting that many wins before seeing the schedule? Bold Strategy Cotton

I can imagine no more rewarding a career. And any man who may be asked in this century what he did to make his life worthwhile, I think can respond with a good deal of pride and satisfaction:
β€œI served in the United States Navy"

KCCO

we've been hovering around .500 for the last 3 years. I think it's safe to assume another .500 ish performance

It's always darkest before the dawn ~ Thomas Fuller

Bold Prediction: We are the Coastal's sacrificial offering to Clemson this year.

Non-Conference wins: Middle Tennessee State, West Virginia, Richmond
Losses: Notre Dame

Conference wins: Duke, Pitt, Syracuse, GT, BC, UVA, UNC
Losses: Miami

10-2 (7-1)

Never Forget #1 Overall Seed UVA 54, #64 UMBC 74

Bold indeed. Two reactions:

(1) Man, I hope you're right.
(2) Bartender, I'll have what he's having :-)!

Recovering scientist working in business consulting

(2) Bartender Drug Dealer, I'll have what he's having :-)!

FTFY

Permanent Optimism is a hell of a drug

Never Forget #1 Overall Seed UVA 54, #64 UMBC 74

Recently I've been asking myself if there's any realistic why we win 10 games next season. I can think of one realistic way this happens:

  • Burnmeister plays consistently. He may never be a great passing threat, but has to complete enough passes to keep defenses honest.
  • Blackshear has to have the breakout year we were expecting from him this year.
  • There is only a small drop off on the OL.
  • The defense has to get a whole offseason to practice/implement the new system, at which point we discover that JHam knows what he's doing.

Each of these are possible within reason, and I can see one or two of these things happening, but I'm not confident all 4 could happen in one season.

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Honestly, you think about it though and who in the coastal really scares you? UNC is soft up front on defense and has to replace their WRs and RBs. Depending on when we play Miami, King might not be ready. Duke and GT suck, Pitt might be good and I have no idea what UVA brings back. Obviously, we're not exactly world beaters, but there's a path to 10 wins, though I think 8 is more realistic.

I think if the line is at least solid we will be pretty alright again on offense. Big question for me is if we go from sieve to at least passable on defense. Defense needs to be in the 30s for us to have a shot.

the entire coastal scares Fuente led Hokies.

Trivia question: Name all the coastal teams that do not have a double digit win against Fu's Hokies. Answer: the Cavaliers (who won in 2019 39-30). Notably, every coastal team except UVA has at least one double digit win against Fu within the last 3 years.

πŸ¦ƒ πŸ¦ƒ πŸ¦ƒ

Trivia Question #2: Besides Clemson, who is the winningest program in the ACC since Fuente took over? VT

I know some people will probably dislike this, but sometimes it a'int as bad as it seems.

It's pretty bad. The ACC is currently Clemson and a whole bunch of mediocre to bad. A less than 60% overall win percentage, bolstered largely by years one and two and trending worse, isn't much to hang our hats on.

That got us one ACC Championship game apperance. Have only sniffed it once since then. We can dwell on the past, but the future doesn't show this as sustainable with the recruiting results.

I have no idea why my username is VT_Warthog.

Arkansas blew a 24-0 lead in the Belk Bowl.

Looking at the last three years, we are 51% overall win pct and 54% in ACC play. Pretty mediocre by any standards and trending worse. The first two years look very much like outliers at this point.

Honestly, you think about it though and who in the coastal really scares you?

every other team in the Coastal is asking the same thing. And VT isn't on many lists.

Depending on when we play Miami, King might not be ready

King has the potential to shred our defense regardless of when we play

Duke and GT suck

so do we

Obviously, we're not exactly world beaters, but there's a path to 10 wins, though I think 8 is more realistic

Uva also has a path to 10 wins at the beginning of every season but no one seriously ever believes they will get there. Right now, I'm sad to say, VT isn't much different. I'm not even sure 8 wins is realistic for this team, TBH.

I think if the line is at least solid we will be pretty alright again on offense.

I'm not certain about this. Our line was the best it's been in decades last year and we weren't great on offense. Certainly not consistently. We had great moments. But we weren't great. We were at our best when defenses thought Hooker could beat them through the air and the best RB we've had since David Wilson took advantage. Then defenses figured out that Hooker couldn't really do much damage through the air and then our offense looked pedestrian again. And with Hooker and Herbert (our two biggest run threats) gone and the offensive line rebuilding I think it is unlikely our offense will have the potential it had last year.

Big question for me is if we go from sieve to at least passable on defense. Defense needs to be in the 30s for us to have a shot.

Yeah, everyone's eyes will be on the defense this year for sure. I'm not sure if they'll climb as high as the 30s (I just don't think we have the horses for that) but even so I'm not sure that would even be enough. Even when Bud's defenses were in the teens, or better, it wasn't always enough to get more than 9 or 10 wins.

I think this team's ceiling is 8 wins. I think the most realistic outcome is 6 wins. I think the floor for this team is the lowest it's been in decades. I don't see things getting better any time soon, sadly.

It's always darkest before the dawn ~ Thomas Fuller

The question on King was referencing whether he would have returned from his torn ACL by the time we play Miami, so earlier on the schedule the more likely he isn't ready.

ah, I missed that. I didn't know he tore an ACL. Miami still has more talent than we do even without King so I'm still not convinced that game is anything more than simply a toss-up

It's always darkest before the dawn ~ Thomas Fuller

They've always had more talent but they haven't exactly dominated us since joining the ACC.

If you don't want to recruit clowns, don't run a clown show.

"I want to punch people from UVA right in the neck." - Colin Cowherd

since joining the ACC? no they haven't. But they've won 3 of the last 4 and VT and Miami are trending in different directions, if you haven't noticed.

It's always darkest before the dawn ~ Thomas Fuller

If there is a path to 10 wins (you agreed with) then the ceiling is 10 wins. Interchanging words like ceiling and realistic is missing the point. If everything aligns, this team could get to 10 wins. But, teams that have so many unknowns are not likely to have everything align. That is what makes the gap so much larger between the floor and ceiling. So VT is going into 2021 with a 3 and 10 game floor and ceiling, respectively. Obviously not something to gamble on, but as a fan, I want to believe in the chance of getting to that ceiling.

"A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it." - K

at the beginning of every season, every team has a path to 12 wins. Would you then agree that every team has a ceiling of 12 wins?

We're getting into semantics here. The point I was trying to make is that despite VT being undefeated in July I think the most likely outcome by December is 6 wins. Best case, everything goes as well as we could reasonably hope and the team wins 8 games. 9 with a miracle. My belief is that this team won't win more than 8 games. Realistically, I think this team is pretty much a .500 team like it has been for 2 of the last 3 years. And given the departures from the 2020 team and the talent (if you can call it that) coming in, 6 wins might even be a bit optimistic.

To your point, though, this team is going into 2021 with a 0 and 12 win floor and ceiling, respectively.

It's always darkest before the dawn ~ Thomas Fuller

you think about it though and who in the coastal really scares you?

I'd flip this question and ask 'who in the coastal are we confident we can beat?' - My answer is no one. Syracuse is the only ACC team on the schedule that I'm confident we can beat.

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Provided we don't play them at their cursed stadium, that is.

Click here to destroy wall.

I'm just going to follow up on this and say what I meant by this is (since everyone is roasting it), there is no one in the coastal that I think we have zero shot of beating. Certainly not worded right.

Go through each game on our schedule, and tell me how confident you are that we will win that game - as in assign a percent to each game. Then add up those percentages. For example:

Middle Tennessee - 90% chance of win
at West Virginia - 50% chance of win
Richmond- 95% chance of win
Notre Dame - 5% chance of win
Duke - 75% chance of win
North Carolina- 25% chance of win
Pitt- 50% chance of win
Syracuse - 75% chance of win
Georgia Tech- 50% chance of win
Miami - 25% chance of win
Boston College - 50% chance of win
Virginia - 50% chance of win

If you agree with my no-research-estimations, we're looking at 6.4 expected wins. Maybe you're optimistic and bump UNC and Miami up to 50%, BC, UVA, and GT up to 60%, and ND up to 15% - that puts us at 7.3 expected wins...

Based on the current roster, and what I've seen from the current coaches, I think 8 wins would be unexpected (though still realistic). Getting 10 wins would be super, super lucky IMO.

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With our roster, 10 wins should have fuente as national coach of the year. I hope so,but dont think so.

Honestly, you think about it though and who in the coastal really scares you?

We're no longer a good enough team to say things like this anymore.

And I don't really care that we have the 2nd best ACC record since Fuente took over when we have losses to Old Dominion, Duke, BC twice, Syracuse, UVa, Kentucky, Wake Forest, and Liberty on the resume. We are consistently losing to some of the worst teams out there. We can't turn our nose up on anyone anymore.

"I have a PLAN. You just need to have a little goddamn faith, Whit. I just need. more. MONEY." - Justin van der Linde

UNC is going to be really good and is out recruiting us at a scary rate. GT is rebuilding in a talent rich market and will be a threat in the next couple of years. Miami is on the verge of actually figuring things out. We can't figure out how to beat Pitt at Pitt so that's a 50/50 split at best. Everyone in the coastal is getting better and I'm not convinced we're keeping up.

I have no idea why my username is VT_Warthog.

Arkansas blew a 24-0 lead in the Belk Bowl.

I have confidence that despite the location and athletes that Miami attracts that their coaches will still manage to screw things up enough for them not to be BAK.

While that may be well and good we can't rely on our rivals to keep screwing up for us to have success. They can say the same thing about us.

I have no idea why my username is VT_Warthog.

Arkansas blew a 24-0 lead in the Belk Bowl.

THIS

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People need to take BC out of their bad programs mental outlook. For the last twenty years they have been a fair to good team most years.

Yeah, if we become one of the 3 best defenses in the conference and somehow can maintain our running game to control the game. It would also help if Payoute became our best WR.

This is just regular schedule release. Soon, we'll have second schedule release, followed by Covidses.

"I have a PLAN. You just need to have a little goddamn faith, Whit. I just need. more. MONEY." - Justin van der Linde

Don't think he knows about Covidses, Pip.

What happens when we lose to richmond? TKP blows up? Too soon?

Pretty sure R.E.M. just plays on repeat then...

I can imagine no more rewarding a career. And any man who may be asked in this century what he did to make his life worthwhile, I think can respond with a good deal of pride and satisfaction:
β€œI served in the United States Navy"

KCCO

LEONARD BERNSTEIN

Never Forget #1 Overall Seed UVA 54, #64 UMBC 74

the question is will the blowup be bigger or smaller than when we lose to Middle Tennessee

21st century QBs Undefeated vs UVA:
MV7, MV5, LT3, Braxton Burmeister, Ryan Willis, Josh Jackson, Jerod Evans, Michael Brewer, Tyrod Taylor, Sean Glennon, and Grant Noel. That's right, UVA. You couldn't beat Grant Noel.

I think that depends on who we play first. The first blow-up is going to be big. The second one will be huge.

It's always darkest before the dawn ~ Thomas Fuller

One other piece of the Miami game will be the talent Miami is bringing in via the Portal. From what I have seen the last two weeks, they may have added three or four starters via the Portal.

Opening the season against UNC, I like it

Non con, already scheduled, the Morgantown visit will not be fun, nor will the ND game, better take care of business against Richmond and Mid Tenn

Get the Pitt over with after the non-con

GT, BC, and Syracuse in the middle, score some points, take names, leave no soul behind

Closing out against Duke, Miami, UVA, finish strong

TKPhi Damn Proud
BSME 2009

Closing out against Duke, Miami, UVA, finish strong

Maybe not...
https://twitter.com/normwood/status/1354799768229306370?s=21

#Hokies are a combined 1-6 on the road in the month of November in the last four seasons.

They have three road trips (at BC at Miami and at #UVa) this coming November.

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That back end of the schedule - sheesh