SP+ Trends in the Pry era

Here's how SP+ has fluctuated overtime during the Pry era. In an effort remove the noise, I basically listed the rating for every 3 games (eg; a quarter season).

FIELD1 Overall Offensive Defensive Special Teams Record
2022 Preason 61 90 31 N/A N/A
2022 Game 3 61 106 19 18 2-1
2022 Game 6 86 118 44 30 2-4
2022 Game 9 91 116 48 49 2-7
2022 Post Season 100 123 38 75 3-8
2023 Preason 65 90 46 N/A N/A
2023 Game 3 78 92 60 51 1-2
2023 Game 6 76 96 51 44 2-4
2023 Game 9 66 88 43 17 4-5
2023 Game 12 60 73 54 15 6-6

SP+ is a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency. It is intended to be predictive and forward-facing. It is not a résumé ranking that gives credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling. It is simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football. If you're lucky or unimpressive in a win, your rating will probably fall. If you're strong and unlucky in a loss, it will probably rise.

In the beginning of the season, SP+ heavily considers preseason rankings (which include historical performances, number and quality of returning snaps, recruiting ratings, etc). With each week, the preseason rankings are less and less of a factor. SP+ is 'cumulative' over the course of the season; it looks at how a team has performed in all games in a given season, and suggests how well they will do in the next game.

DISCLAIMER: Forum topics may not have been written or edited by The Key Play staff.

Comments