An interesting tidbit I found on Reddit led me to a website that gives analytics on each team and how many wins they would need to make the NCAA Tournament this year.
For Virginia Tech, that magic number appears to be 22 wins to guarantee a spot, though 20 puts us on the bubble.
The analyst has us projected at 19.5 wins.
That being said, with the Hokies currently having 13 wins and 14 remaining games, do we see 7 wins necessary to get us to that bubble, or 9 wins to get us through?
Our remaining games are:
@ SMU, ND, @ Syracuse, @ Louisville, GT, Duke @ NC State, @ Clemson, FSU, @ Miami, Wake, @ UNC, BC, @ UVA
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Games we have to win are BC, GT and FSU. Any loss in those three unless they get way better as season goes on puts a huge hole in our chances. All three are outside Top 100 in NET Rankings right now.
Losses I expect there are Duke, Louisville, SMU and probably UVA. The next three to be worried about would be Clemson, UNC and Miami.
Heading to the SMU game tonight (I live less than 3 miles from campus) so hoping we can pull it off. The line is SMU -8.5 at the moment.
Who knows. It's CMY. He could lose the rest... He could lose a few and then go on a patented March run... He could win most of the rest...
I love CMY, but his teams are incredibly inconsistent.
Does inconsistent consistent the same? Asking for a friend.
Haha! Question of the day right here.
Win the games we are suppose to win. I trust this team to pull out an upset just can't give away wins ie Stanford
Hmm let's see...14 games remaining... VT basketball... the range of wins is somewhere between 2 and 12.
In with 22, on the bubble with 20.
So I'm going with the classic 21-win Selection Committee snub.
j/k but it's the gif that came to mind when I saw the thread title
Lunardi now has us as Next Four Out. Going the wrong direction.
Did he ever have us in? I haven't been checking frequently, but don't recall us even being included.
Huge game tonight
No we have been first four out though for most of the season.
Feels like we are out after that collapse tonight
I would use T-Rank for NCAAT projections. They run a simulation of the rest of the season based on your current team strength.
The SMU loss puts VT at a 23% chance to make the tournament... with a win it would've been 63%. Legitimately a season-ending shot.
Didn't we drop 20 points after Stanford loss too?
We're out and we need to move on from Mike Young. Pathetic couple of showings with a really good roster.
We do not hustle at all and we seemingly just go through some motions just to do them. What an absolute pathetic coaching job.
Way too much PTSD bubble talk from the Greenburg era, I don't believe any of the projections.
NET 55 KENPOM 55, both up from yesterday