Weekly Weather Report: Pittsburgh

Well well well weekly weather report, we meet again. Seriously, grad school is starting to ramp up a little bit so i apologize for the lack of a report last weekend but yeah mother nature does not appear pleased with us for whatever reason. On the bright side our teams are officially 0-1 when I don't do a weather report so thats gotta mean something right?!

Anywho as I'm sure you've all heard hurricane JOAQUIN (caps for emphasis) is chilling in the Bahamas right now living the life that I assume every college student wishes he/she could be doing right now, and tearing shit up. Seriously for a number of reasons its parked its big ole butt right there for an extra day. As I'm sure you've also heard forecasters have changed their minds A LOT in the last 48 hours or so, as to where the hurricane makes land-fall. This is due to small discrepancies in the models we use.

see how many different kinds there are?!

but in all seriousness all the models have a few little things that separate them from the others and all have their strengths and weaknesses as I'm sure you've heard me reiterate a million times over the Euro is hands down the greatest model ever ever. Once again early on it looked like it was batshit crazy and wrong, and once again it nailed the forecast like...SPOT on. see theres an upper level low out over Bermuda that has essentially been playing a giant game of tug of war with a trough thats about to wreck us over the mid Atlantic. Essentially whichever one was stronger and got more pull on the storm was going to result in the direction the storm traveled. The Euro claimed it was heading out towards Bermuda and north east, everyone else thought it was coming up the Chesapeake Bay or New Jersey with the consensus vs going into the bay and then switching over to jersey until everyone once again realized...holy crap the euro can predict the future.

again the euro is showing everyone whats up

But all of this hurricane whatever its name is heading out east does not completely absolve us of all things bad weather. Oh hell no, as I mentioned earlier there is still a massive front coming across bringing lots of rain with it that was kind of fired up by the hurricane itself and its just kind of perturbing northward. Saturday and Sunday should be quite the doozy, however it wont be quite as bad as initially feared. 2-4" of rain are to be expected and with already saturated ground from last weekend (those photos were pretty epic by the way, got some professors to lose their minds up here) expect some more flooding pretty much everywhere and anywhere, I highly recommend everyone brings a poncho, and parks on pavement if possible its going to be a long and messy weekend! That being said, if you're in either of the Carolinas you're getting it even worse. Honestly you guys could be looking at a foot of rain with an increased surge from waves on the coast due to the hurricane being right off shore. South Carolina in particular, and the North Carolina coast please load up on groceries, water, and toilet paper; you know the essentials.

Thanks Towlie

Now that you've gotten a little more info on the hurricane and what all is going on (of course I'd be more than happy to discuss this thing, ive been on my A-Game all week answering questions from my class) lets move on to the game itself.

how i assume my students envision me

THE GAME

The pitt game...oh the pitt game, the one game we always manage to find a way to lose....the team that started our trend into mediocrity my sophmore year....the team that upset the #13 team in the nation after losing to YOUNGSTOWN STATE. (with the same damn coach who now coaches my grad school)....oh my there are not enough things to describe my hatred of playing these guys. I'm going to go ahead and say it now, I honestly think we're going to lose, even with my shaded glasses, the weather is playing right into their hands. Pitt has always been a run it down your throat kind of team and that team (from what I've gathered thus far in my little statistics project) has a numeric advantage in rain soaked games. The balls are harder to catch, players are going to slip on both ends (which is another BIG NEGATIVE on a super aggressive defense) and the aerial attack is more explosive but less consistent. The running game isn't hit to hard, unless you're talking about the team trying to tackle in which case your players will slip and slide around the field like they're trying to tackle a wide receiver quarterback covered in lube....

did anyone else feel like they were watching this last week?

but back to the game, if we can establish the run and shutdown their run we still have an All-ACC caliber receiver to cover on the wing which is another issue with our All American CB down. I do think our defense is gonna come out guns blazing as they were absolutely embarrassed last week, however I still do see pitt pulling out the win eventually. (PLEASE HOKIES PROVE ME WRONG)

Final Predictions

high - 56
low - 50
wind - 10 mph sustained (15+ mph gusts)
Precip - approximately 2"
Cloud Cover - lots
Humidity - not much thanks to the rain

GO HOKIES!!!