GAMBLING LINES 2019: WEEK 5

I, and every other degenerate gambler out there, have this habit of getting too excited with my parlays. For instance, I had what turned out to be a fantastic 3 leg parlay thrown together, only to tack on just one more bet. FML. Even so, it would have been a wash of a weekend if Clemson could have scored just one more time or if UCF didn't inexplicably forget how to play football... Don't bet kids.

Anyway, on to this week's lines.

  • Pedo State (-6): In what world is #12 PSU only a 6 point favorite over Maryland? Maryland who was exposed by mighty Temple just two weeks ago? I'm sorry, give me the don't drop the soap sandusky's over the terps by double digits.
  • Temple (-8.5): Speaking of Temple....I'm loving that GT is expected to lose by more than a TD to the owls. Not loving what is says about our division, but, if there ever was a year for us to need a weak division, this is it.
  • ODU (-3): It's the battle of the obnoxious little brothers. I'm still pissed at ODU for gifting LOLUVa a TD last week and not finishing them off, but I can't stay mad at them. ODU (-3). After all, whoever heard of a let down game to Eastern Carolina the week after punching above your weight on national television?
  • anOSU (-14.5): I took this line and I fully expect this line to jump like crazy given that Nebraska isn't BAK and anOSU's only black mark this season is a head scratching 34 point win over FAU.

As always, please do not take my ramblings as legitimate gambling advice. You will lose your shirt and anything else you're foolish enough to bet based on my idiocy.
Lines may change over the course of the week. I also may have made errors copying them. Always triple check when money is at stake
TKP does not encourage gambling and even if it did, I am neither employed nor sanctioned by Orange and Maroon Media, LLC so who cares.

Away Team Home Team Spread ___ Away Team Home Team Spread
Navy Memphis Memphis (-11.5) FAU Charlotte FAU (-1)
Duke Virginia Tech VT (-2.5) LOLUVa Notre Dame Notre Dame (-11)
Pedo State Maryland Pedo State (-6) Coastal Carolina App State App State (-16.5)
San Jose State Air Force Air Force (-20.5) USCw Washington Washington (-9)
Arizona State California Cal (-4.5) SMU USF SMU (-7)
Northwestern Wisconsin Wisconsin (-21.5) Cincinnati Marshall Cinci (-3)
Central Michigan Western Michigan Western Michigan (-16.5) Eastern Carolina ODU ODU (-3)
Buffalo Miami (OH) Miami (OH) (-2) New Mexico Liberty Liberty (-8)
BYU Toledo BYU (-3) Arkansas State Troy Troy (-6)
UL Lafayette Georgia Southern UL Lafayette (-3.5) Connecticut UCF UCF (-42.5)
Middle Tennessee State Iowa Iowa (-23.5) Stanford Oregon State Stanford (-3.5)
Northern Illinois Vanderbilt Vandy (-6.5) Mississippi State Auburn Auburn (-10.5)
Kansas State Oklahoma State OSU (-4) South Alabama UL Monroe UL Monroe (-16)
Texas Tech Oklahoma OU (-24.5) UTEP Southern Miss Southern Miss (-25)
Arkansas aTm aTm (-21.5) Louisiana Tech Rice LT (-11)
Wake Forest BC Wake (-6.5) UAB Western Kentucky UAB (-2)
Georgia Tech Temple Temple (-8.5) Colorado State Utah State Utah State (-20.5)
Iowa State Baylor Iowa State (-2.5) anOSU Nebraska anOSU (-14.5)
Akron Massachusetts Akron (-5) Fresno State New Mexico State Fresno State (-17.5)
Indiana Michigan State MSU (-15.5) Houston North Texas Houson (-2.5)
Clemson UNCHeat Clemson (-25.5) Washington State Utah Utah (-6)
Ole Miss Bama Bama (-34.5) Hawaii Nevada Nevada (-2)
Kansas TCU TCU (-16) UCLA Arizona Arizona (-7.5)
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Comments

Holy crap, so many of these lines have moved since posting. I need to type faster or just wait til Wednesday every week

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

LOL the VT line when I woke up this morning was VT -9.5....that moved quick.

(add if applicable) /s

I took Duke +4 at 4:00 yesterday. Where did you see VT -9.5?!

I have no idea why my username is VT_Warthog.

Arkansas blew a 24-0 lead in the Belk Bowl.

Every site listed here was -9.5...I'm guessing just by looking at where they opened that there was some issue with the program that was pulling the lines in for that game.

https://www.foxsports.com/college-football/odds?group=9&season=2019&seas...

Edit: It was before I had coffee, there is also the chance that I wasn't reading well but I put it down in my book and circled it for Duke +9.5.....

(add if applicable) /s

Hell I thought -2.5 was a wild line lol

Amateur superstar and idiot extraordinaire.

I will take ND (-11), Northwestern (+21.5), and UConn (+42.5)

"A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it." - K

Good god that UConn #

1-3 thanks to Sparty's unexpected offensive explosion. I'm bad at this.

Toledo may be a good MAC team but BYU should be favored by more than 3 at home. Give me the Cougars.

The Orange and Maroon you see, that's fighting on to victory.

We'll see how this turns out: calling wake (-4.5) as my lock of the week. Sprinkling it on some other bets as a parlay. Either I'll make out like a bandit or be yet another cautionary tale.

EDIT: no the spread is not 4.5, I'm just lowering it and taking the hit to the payoff since I'm using it as an adder.

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Some of the heavy favorites look appealing to me this week, which always has an uncertain feel to it. Still I'd go:
Wisconsin (-21.5)
Bama (-34.5)
anOSU (-14.5)

If I'm going underdogs, I like USCw (+9) and UCLA (+7.5).

Joffrey, Cersei, Ilyn Payne, the Hound, Jeff Jagodzinski, Paul Johnson, Pat Narduzzi.

I like that UCLA pick.

Expect a UCLA let down after that emotional comeback...Khalil tate has torn them up in the past...stay away from this one

You could be right on the emotional letdown but it's also possible UCLA starts playing with more confidence after getting the first big win under Kelly. Also it's largely about my lack of confidence in Arizona more than being all in on UCLA or anything.

Also these teams last played in 2017 when RichRod was Arizona's coach, Jim Mora was UCLA's coach, and Tate was in the midst of tearing up everybody with his legs. He has gotten back to running more this year compared to last season so that gives me some pause.

The good news is we get to see how it actually plays out on Saturday.

Joffrey, Cersei, Ilyn Payne, the Hound, Jeff Jagodzinski, Paul Johnson, Pat Narduzzi.

I live in Tucson and had no idea Tate was out for this game...needless to say, being a hokie and living in a basketball town has made me less of a college football fan. Good pick on UCLA, though.

I'll take

Stanford -3.5 ($20)
PsU -6 ($30)
BC +6.5 ($20)
Okie St -4 ($30)

$20 on Stanford becomes $0

$30 on PSU becomes $60

$20 on BC becomes $40

$30 on Okie St becomes $60.

$100 —> $160. Back to back good weeks.

Being up $60 after starting with $100 is a pretty spectacular week- congrats!

So since week 3 I've picked every ACC game that Fox Sports has the line on just to see where I land...cause I dont have money to actually gamble all of these games. Had a good week last week and brought me back alive. This weeks ACC slate is tough. I dont like any of the first 3 lines

Overall since W3 12-9
Week 5:
Duke @ VT -2.5 ew
Holy Cross @ Cuse -38.5. Ew
Delaware +28 @ Pitt ew
Wf -6.5 @ BC
Clemson -28 @ UNC
UVA +12 @ ND
GT +9.5 @ Temple
NCST @ FSU -6.5

(add if applicable) /s

In the saga of #21's this year, take UDub to obliterate the -10 against USC.

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@VTnerf on insta, @BuryHokie on twitter, #ThanksFrank