GAMBLING LINES 2019: WEEK 14

I had an almost perfect week last week. If it weren't for anOSU fumbling the ball worse than Bryce Perkins in late November, I would have had a perfect sheet. As it was, I still walked away with a nice return (54%) thanks in part to a 6 leg ML Parlay of UGa, Minn, ECU (I know, by they were playing UConn), Iowa, LOLUVa (I know, but they were playing Liberty), and Michigan. I also some standalone bets hit: Tenn (+5), Wake (-6.5), ND (-10), LOLUVa (-16.5), and, of course, the VT ML (I should have taken the spread but, but oh well).

Still, if anOSU could have just figured out how not to fumble their blowout away, I would have tripled my money. I had a killer of a parlay with anOSU (-17.5), VT (-4), LOLUVa (-16.5), and Wake (-6.5). Yep. All the eggs in four baskets there.

Don't bet, kids.

Anyway, on to this week's lines.

It's rivarly week so I'm scared to death to even make a bet. On the other hand, this gambling thing is kind of addicting so I'll just go on ahead and do it anyway.

  • VT (-2): I was really really really hoping that LOLUVa would be favored in this just so I could get a better return on the ML bet. As it is, I might tack a couple points to that spread to get the same result. This is my lock of the week. This is the defense that allowed GT 28 points, so, while I don't think we will have another shutout, because BP is just too slippery, we will get our points and mostly limit their offense. We will break their spirit by halftime and add on a few more TDs to add insult to injury.
  • Iowa (-4.5): They are giving Nebraska way too much damned credit here. Hawkeyes by 2 TDs.
  • anOSU (-8.5): I really want to take this bet, but I'm still pissed about the buckeyes last week and I know they're perfectly capable of covering this, but will probably piss it away with fumbles again.
  • Wake (-4.5): I know we broke Wake and all, but Syracuse is straight garbage this year. I don't even think the curse of the Carrier Dome can keep Wake from winning by 7.
  • UNCHeat (-8): I, at first, thought this line is ridiculous. This is a rivalry game against a far inferior team. But then I thought, you know, NC State may be a dumpster fire this year, but the only thing they have to play for is pride and they have the chance to keep UNCheat home for the holidays. I'm not saying NCSU will win, but I think they keep it closer than 8.

As always, please do not take my ramblings as legitimate gambling advice. You will lose your shirt and anything else you're foolish enough to bet based on my idiocy.
Lines may change over the course of the week. I also may have made errors copying them. Always triple check when money is at stake
TKP does not encourage gambling and even if it did, I am neither employed nor sanctioned by Orange and Maroon Media, LLC so who cares.

Away Home Spread ___ Away Home Spread
Ohio Akron Ohio (-27) UNLV Nevada Nevada (-7.5)
Western Michigan Northern Illinois Western Michigan (-7) Rice UTEP Rice (-6.5)
Ole Miss Mississippi State Mississippi State (-2.5) Wisconsin Minnesota Wisconsin (-2.5)
Toledo Central Michigan Central Michigan (OFF) Uconn Temple Temple (-28.5)
Kent State Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan (-5.5) Maryland Michigan State Michigan State (-21)
Bowling Green Buffalo Buffalo (-29) Boston College Pittsburgh Pittsburgh (-9.5)
Virginia Tech LOLUVa Virginia Tech (-2) Southern Mississippi Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic (OFF)
Texas Tech Texas Texas (-9) Miami (FL) Duke Miami (FL) (-6.5)
Miami (OH) Ball State Ball State (-2.5) Baylor Kansas Kansas (OFF)
Iowa Nebraska Iowa (-4.5) Bama Auburn Bama (-3.5)
Missouri Arkansas Missouri (-11) UTSA Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech (-20)
Cincinnati Memphis Memphis (-10) Rutgers Pedo State Pedo State (-38.5)
Boise State Colorado State Boise State (-12.5) Vanderbilt Tennessee Tennessee (-21)
Washington State Washington Washington (-6) Utah State New Mexico Utah State (-13)
West Virginia TCU TCU (-12) Notre Dame Stanford Notre Dame (-14)
Arkansas State South Alabama Arkansas State (-12.5) Oregon State Oregon Oregon (-17.5)
Appalachian State Troy Appalachian State (-12) UAB North Texas North Texas (-1.5)
South Florida UCF UCF (-24.5) Tulane SMU SMU (-5)
Indiana Purdue Indiana (-6.5) Georgia State Georgia Southern Georgia Southern (-7.5)
Ohio State Michigan Ohio State (-8.5) UNCHeat NC State UNCHeat (-8)
Northwestern Illinois Illinois (-10.5) Navy Houston Navy (-7.5)
Tulsa East Carolina Tulsa (-5) Texas A&M LSU LSU (-16)
Louisville Kentucky Kentucky (-3) Iowa State Kansas State Iowa State (-3.5)
Georgia Georgia Tech Georgia (-28) Colorado Utah Utah (-28)
Florida International Marshall Marshall (-7.5) UL Monroe Louisiana Louisiana (-21)
Clemson South Carolina Clemson (-25) Florida State Florida Florida (-17)
Texas State Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina (-7.5) Oklahoma Oklahoma State Oklahoma (-12)
Wake Forest Syracuse Wake Forest (-4.5) BYU San Diego State BYU (-2.5)
Middle Tennessee Western Kentucky Western Kentucky (-9.5) Arizona Arizona State Arizona State (-12.5)
Wyoming Air Force Air Force (-10.5) Fresno State San Jose State Fresno State (-3)
Charlotte Old Dominion Charlotte (-8.5) California UCLA UCLA (-2.5)
New Mexico State Liberty Liberty (-13.5) Army Hawaii Hawaii (-3)
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Comments

I think we need to cheer for BC and Heels to win unfortunately because otherwise we may not have enough bowl eligible teams to fill the ACC tie-ins and that hurts our bottom line since we share bowl monies...

I can imagine no more rewarding a career. And any man who may be asked in this century what he did to make his life worthwhile, I think can respond with a good deal of pride and satisfaction:
β€œI served in the United States Navy"

I still think the Heels win, just not by 8. BC? Unless Pitt has a major hangover, I just don't see it. They are ten point favorites for a reason.

It's sad that the two conference losses we have are against teams that I have bet against successfully every week in the last half of the season. We really stunk it up those first two ACC games.

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

We really stunk it up those first two ACC games.

5 turnovers will get after ya

Now finish up them taters; I'm gonna go fondle my sweaters.

Wake (-4.5): I know we broke Wake and all, but Syracuse is straight garbage this year. I don't even think the curse of the Carrier Dome can keep Wake from winning by 7.

I told myself at the beginning of last year I'll never take an away favorite in the Carrier Dome. Two weeks ago I took Duke and they got their shit pushed in. Even though this line is much more favorable. I will not bet this game. (probably)

Edit: I just realized I'm trying to rationalize Duke losing so bad by blaming it on the Carrier dome when the game was @ Duke.

(add if applicable) /s

Two weeks ago I took Duke

I think I've identified your problem

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

Yes I have now identified that as certainly part of the issue.

(add if applicable) /s

Maybe you were not paying that much attention and thought it was shooty hoops?

I can imagine no more rewarding a career. And any man who may be asked in this century what he did to make his life worthwhile, I think can respond with a good deal of pride and satisfaction:
β€œI served in the United States Navy"

I was just certain that DeVito wasn't capable of doing anything good this year. I also didn't predict the absolute collapse of Duke's offense. When Duke ran 3 straight plays in the Flexbone in the second quarter I knew I had lost.

(add if applicable) /s

VT -2...

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@VTnerf on insta, @BuryHokie on twitter, #ThanksFrank

Dont forget to take the Hokies tonight ML +600 against Michigan State in hoopsπŸ˜‰

my book has it at +652

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

It keeps rising, im definitely going to let it keep rising. Get the best value

Line has moved from 9.5 to 13.5 so far. Figured it's capped at this point in time...

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@VTnerf on insta, @BuryHokie on twitter, #ThanksFrank

yeah, the moneyline is down to +637 so I'm guessing folks started laying some money on the Hokies.

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

I got in at +650

Now finish up them taters; I'm gonna go fondle my sweaters.

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@VTnerf on insta, @BuryHokie on twitter, #ThanksFrank

Congrats!

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

THIS AGED WELL

This post has taught me to pay more attention to gambling advice given by strangers on the internet.

Can Georgia actually score 28 points? I know GiT is awful, but idk. Not touching Duke Miami with a 39.5 foot pole. I thought Army was actually ok this year?

I thought Army was actually ok this year?

After a couple of games, everyone did. Just like Murland. (Fun fact, MD scored 142 pts in their first 2 games. 145 pts in the subsequent 9 games, combined, which includes a 48 pt game. Sheesh.)

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@VTnerf on insta, @BuryHokie on twitter, #ThanksFrank

Now finish up them taters; I'm gonna go fondle my sweaters.

Hokie Hoops +4 against Dayton.
My ML +650 worked yesterday, why not anotherπŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ

To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
@VTnerf on insta, @BuryHokie on twitter, #ThanksFrank

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..