Fuente's Four Full Classes

Granted ESD is only 1/2 over, but the overall numbers are pretty solid for what Fuente has tried to build since taking over in 2016.

On offense, the Hokies have signed 42 players. 4 quarterbacks, 9 running backs, 11 wide receivers, 5 tight ends and 13 linemen.

Defensively, he has signed 43. 8 defensive ends, 8 defensive tackles, 9 linebackers, and 18 defensive backs.

Add in two scholarship specialists, and over four years, Fuente has inked 87 total players.

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Comments

This analysis is at best incomplete. Some added context that would be helpful:

  • How many of these guys got a substantial amount of meaningful snaps for at least a full season?
  • How was this distributed season by season?
  • How were these guys rated?
  • How does rating vary by position group?
  • How many guys at each position group did we lose in this time?

I'm not sure what you're arguing/suggesting here?

Edit: updated the first bullet to be a little more inclusive - IMO HH got a 'substantial amount of meaningful snaps.' QP played a 1.5 games in non-garbage time, so I guess I'd consider that substantial as well. I would not count QP's 2018 season 'substantial.' If anyone can think of an easier way to draw the line, I'm all ears.

With regards to distribution and rankings

2020 0.8456 2019 0.8757 2018 0.8779 2017 0.8648
0.8315 0.9048 0.8631
Kadum 0.8315 Patterson 0.9048 Hooker 0.8903
Bush (JUCO) 0.8359
0.8465 0.878 0.8527 0.8419
Lee (JUCO) 0.8467 King 0.8925 Beck 0.863 Holston 0.8565
Hampton 0.8518 Gary 0.8635 Steward 0.8424 Wheatley 0.8273
Brunson 0.841
0.8614 0.8971 0.8944 0.8569
Saunders 0.8614 Bowick 0.8709 Turner 0.9273 Savoy 0.8603
Payout 0.9326 Simmons 0.8824 Grimsley 0.8559
Pinckney 0.891 Ellis 0.8736 Pimpleton 0.8544
Robinson 0.8939
0.83 0.8647 0.8904 0.8702
Pene 0.83 Gallo 0.8647 Mitchell 0.8904 Keane 0.8738
Deiuiis 0.8665
0.83795 0.8999 0.8604 0.8513
Clements 0.8431 Hanson 0.8709 Culver 0.8756 Dzansi 0.8556
Moore 0.8328 Hudson 0.9189 Tenuta 0.8601 Smith 0.8469
Pritchard 0.8580 Darrisaw 0.8588
Nester 0.9519 Harris 0.8561
Kane 0.8514
0.8575 #DIV/0! 0.8578 0.8922
Beadles 0.8519 Adams 0.8534 Proctor 0.9235
Wooten 0.8721 Becton 0.8622 Garbutt 0.9035
Bailey 0.8484 DeBose 0.8495
0 0.8530 #DIV/0! 0.8388
Pollard 0.8622 Porcher 0.8584
Kendricks 0.8559 Glaze 0.8222
Crawford (JUCO) 0.852 Brown 0.8359
Cunningham (JUCO) 0.842
Fuga 0.853
0.0000 0.8533 0.9021 0.8636
Ferguson 0.8559 Tisdale 0.8917 Rivers 0.9045
Barno (JUCO) 0.8507 Artis 0.8769 Kearney 0.8538
Hollifield 0.9376 Ashby 0.8524
Griffin 0.8435
0.8397 0.8743 0.8772 0.8873
Rudolph 0.8464 Murray (JUCO) 0.8304 Connor 0.8975 Hunter 0.9799
Carter (JUCO) 0.8425 Walker 0.9033 Webb (JUCO) 0.8979 Watts 0.8479
Jenkins 0.8411 Hawkins 0.8891 Chatman 0.8837 Smith 0.8431
Strong 0.8288 Crossen 0.8817 Farley 0.8781
Thompson 0.8710
Waller 0.8559
Peoples 0.8527

Never Forget #1 Overall Seed UVA 54, #64 UMBC 74

Nice response :)

The previous four classes (Beamer's last 3 + the mixed year) had 82 signees with 42 being offense and 40 on defense.

The offense was broken down 5 QB, 8 RB, 10 WR, 3 TE, 16 OL
Defense was 5 DE, 9 DT, 8 LB, 18 DB

Specifically broken down:

2016 0.8518 2015 0.8654 2014 0.8640 2013 0.8708
0.8941 0.8993 0.8740 #DIV/0!
Evans (JUCO) 0.9109 Lawson 0.8993 Durkin 0.8866
Jackson 0.8773 Ford 0.8613
0.8517 0.8788 0.8500
McClease 0.8711 McKenzie 0.9045 Wright 0.85
Fox 0.8322 McMillian 0.8921
Williams 0.8778
Reid 0.8408
0.8548 #DIV/0! 0.8613 0.8656
Kumah 0.8641 Ford 0.8816 Parker 0.8712
Patterson 0.861 Phillips 0.8755 Prince 0.86
Denmark 0.8565 Holland 0.857
Murphy (JUCO) 0.8374 Bradshaw 0.8311
#DIV/0! 0.8403 0.8600 0.9049
Cunningham 0.8403 Pettit 0.86 Hodges 0.9049
0.8378 0.8591 0.8457 0.8666
Moore (JUCO) 0.8546 Clark 0.8999 Mitchell 0.8482 Teller 0.9301
Hopple 0.8466 Nijman 0.8992 Gallo 0.8432 Pfaff 0.8736
Kearns 0.8401 Smith 0.8405 Chung 0.8457
Jackson 0.8099 Plantin 0.8403 Osterloh 0.8435
Hoyt 0.8154 McLaughlin 0.84
0.8425 0.8592 0.8758 #DIV/0!
Belmar 0.8425 Hill 0.8766 Keihn 0.877
Gaines 0.8418 Mihota 0.8746
0.8380 0.8885 0.8383 #DIV/0!
Taylor 0.8544 Settle 0.9512 Walker 0.8834
Hewitt 0.8316 Burke 0.8818 Sobczak 0.7932
Dean 0.8279 Fullwood 0.8711
Lewis 0.8498
0.8253 0.8607 0.9041 0.8485
Beckett 0.8462 Edmunds 0.876 Minor 0.9041 Motuapuaka 0.8531
Carter 0.8043 Lydon 0.8453 Shegog 0.851
Moss 0.8413
0.8644 0.8606 0.8558 0.8921
Deablo 0.8785 Reynolds 0.8768 Fisher 0.9461 Fuller 0.9923
Ladler 0.8727 Alleyne 0.8645 Reavis 0.8739 Facyson 0.8737
Floyd 0.8675 Johnson 0.8584 Edmunds 0.8353 Clark 0.8542
Quillen 0.8570 Alexander 0.8425 Stroman 0.8254 Newsome 0.8482
Rodgers 0.8462 Payne 0.7982

Never Forget #1 Overall Seed UVA 54, #64 UMBC 74

I'm sorry, but I have no idea what I'm looking at? Can you reformat it so it's understandable?

Odd columns are players signed (by year), even columns are the rating of the player to the left of the cell.

2026 Season Challenge: TBD
Previous Challenges: Star Wars (2019), Marvel (2020), Batman (2021), Wrasslin' (2022)

Yes, sorry that is correct.

The odd numbers without corresponding names next to them are the average rating by position group.

The number next to the year is the average player rating.

Never Forget #1 Overall Seed UVA 54, #64 UMBC 74

colors help, too. use "blog_statistics" for table class. other formatting I've tried gets stripped.

2020 0.8456 2019 0.8757 2018 0.8779 2017 0.8648
0.8315 0.9048 0.8631
Kadum 0.8315 Patterson 0.9048 Hooker 0.8903
Bush (JUCO) 0.8359
0.8465 0.878 0.8527 0.8419
Lee (JUCO) 0.8467 King 0.8925 Beck 0.863 Holston 0.8565
Hampton 0.8518 Gary 0.8635 Steward 0.8424 Wheatley 0.8273
Brunson 0.841
0.8614 0.8971 0.8944 0.8569
Saunders 0.8614 Bowick 0.8709 Turner 0.9273 Savoy 0.8603
Payout 0.9326 Simmons 0.8824 Grimsley 0.8559
Pinckney 0.891 Ellis 0.8736 Pimpleton 0.8544
Robinson 0.8939
0.83 0.8647 0.8904 0.8702
Pene 0.83 Gallo 0.8647 Mitchell 0.8904 Keane 0.8738
Deiuiis 0.8665
0.83795 0.8999 0.8604 0.8513
Clements 0.8431 Hanson 0.8709 Culver 0.8756 Dzansi 0.8556
Moore 0.8328 Hudson 0.9189 Tenuta 0.8601 Smith 0.8469
Pritchard 0.8580 Darrisaw 0.8588
Nester 0.9519 Harris 0.8561
Kane 0.8514
0.8575 #DIV/0! 0.8578 0.8922
Beadles 0.8519 Adams 0.8534 Proctor 0.9235
Wooten 0.8721 Becton 0.8622 Garbutt 0.9035
Bailey 0.8484 DeBose 0.8495
0 0.8530 #DIV/0! 0.8388
Pollard 0.8622 Porcher 0.8584
Kendricks 0.8559 Glaze 0.8222
Crawford (JUCO) 0.852 Brown 0.8359
Cunningham (JUCO) 0.842
Fuga 0.853
0.0000 0.8533 0.9021 0.8636
Ferguson 0.8559 Tisdale 0.8917 Rivers 0.9045
Barno (JUCO) 0.8507 Artis 0.8769 Kearney 0.8538
Hollifield 0.9376 Ashby 0.8524
Griffin 0.8435
0.8397 0.8743 0.8772 0.8873
Rudolph 0.8464 Murray (JUCO) 0.8304 Connor 0.8975 Hunter 0.9799
Carter (JUCO) 0.8425 Walker 0.9033 Webb (JUCO) 0.8979 Watts 0.8479
Jenkins 0.8411 Hawkins 0.8891 Chatman 0.8837 Smith 0.8431
Strong 0.8288 Crossen 0.8817 Farley 0.8781
Thompson 0.8710
Waller 0.8559
Peoples 0.8527

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

So the columns are year followed by average recruit rating for that class. Then these are bunched (for lack of a better term) by position group. Any rating that does not have a name next to it means that it's an average for the position group/year?

Guys, spreadsheeting is not that hard... we can do better than this.

I'm a very good spreadsheeter. The trick is putting it in html. Not nearly as easy as you'd think, especially when I tried putting a table in and not all of the html code was recognized for some reason. I sympathize with the poster.

You can always screenshot the excel/google sheets table, then upload to imgur. That's what I typically do if there's merged columns and whatnot.

Ah, yeah, that's the piece I was missing is getting the URL, which you get with imgur.

Instead of you all working some more on the formatting how about adding Bryant and Herbert so we can analyze it better.

The LewDew, Professional Golf Bum

I've never had any issues just copying from excel and pasting here:
http://www.convertcsv.com/csv-to-html.htm

Warning: this post occasionally contains strong language (which may be unsuitable for children), unusual humor (which may be unsuitable for adults), and advanced mathematics (which may be unsuitable for liberal-arts majors)..

That's what I used

Never Forget #1 Overall Seed UVA 54, #64 UMBC 74

Lawson 0.8993

So this is the year he finally starts right?

Meaningful snaps over a full season:
From the QBs: 0. Although Hooker and Patterson have both started games in their careers
From the RBs: King received a fair number of carries this season. Holston can't stay healthy and Wheatley fumbled on his only play of the season, seemingly. The rest got garbage time snaps.
From the WRs: Four or five have received a ton of playing time. Some have redshirted this season.
From the TEs: 2 of 3 have played major snaps while 1 has been buried on the depth chart. The fourth is redshirting.
From the OL: 5 have been starters and I've seen at least two of the others on a regular basis.
From the DEs: I believe I've seen all 5 in significant action
From the DTs: lots of misses early, leading to a lot of newer players getting major snaps during this season
From the LBs: I believe I've seen 5 get regular playing time.
From the DBs: Farley is a 2 year starter, Waller was solid this season as a starter. Connor had some lights out games. Lots of playing time over the last two years for the depth of the bunch.

Never Forget #1 Overall Seed UVA 54, #64 UMBC 74

Meaningful snaps over a full season:
From the QBs: 0. Although Hooker and Patterson have both started games in their careers

I don't follow. Hooker started 7 games, playing the entirety of 6 of them, for us this season, how is that not meaningful snaps?

The previous comment asked for at least a full season, of which we have no quarterback meeting that criteria

Never Forget #1 Overall Seed UVA 54, #64 UMBC 74

OK I see where you're coming from, but I think the intent was to avoid players who contributed in only one or two games (like Patterson), not leave out players that have played half the snaps at their position across a majority of a season. (and would have played more but were pulled because we were winning by blowout).

Hooker played in 10 of 12 games, leads the team in passing attempts, is 2nd in rushing attempts to McClease and played about half of the snaps at QB (Willis & Patterson splitting the rest about 2-1)

If I am reading your data correctly, Fuente's first full team (85 scholarship players) has a 0.866 rating vs Beamer's last 4 rated at 0.863, no statistical difference.

Since you seem to be the keeper of the data, what was Beamer's best 4 year rolling average? And what years were they?

Plan for the worst and hope for the best, not the other way around.

My data only goes back to 2007, but over that time frame, Beamer's best 4 year average was the period ending 2015 (.8665). His worst was ending 2014 (.8626)

Fuente's best, so far was ending 2019 (.8675). His worst was 2017 (.8615), which includes the transition year.

What I've garnered is that the median player rating has remained fairly constant regardless of who is coach, while the higher highs were with Beamer, but Fuente has been better at balancing his classes, ratings-wise. Of the ten lowest rated recruits, the nine lowest rated were Beamer recruits.

Never Forget #1 Overall Seed UVA 54, #64 UMBC 74

So Fuente's std dev is smaller while the average has remained the same.

I think I would prefer the Beamer results since only 22 players are on the field at once. A team made up of 44 highly rated players and 40 very low rated players would probably be more successful than a team of 85 moderately rated players.

Plan for the worst and hope for the best, not the other way around.

I would normally agree with you, but it's harder for new coaches to recruit until they can develop relationships with high school coaches and kids. Also, Beamer was taking his talent and still getting 7-6 seasons, while Fuente has already had a 10 and 9 win season, so coaching of the talent counts for something as well.

Correct, I should have put a footnote of assumption of all other factors being equal, then it would be more likely that having a team consisting of a dichotomy of upper and lower end talent would be more beneficial than a team made up entirely of moderate talent.

Plan for the worst and hope for the best, not the other way around.

Agree. Especially if the lower end talent attrits because they know they wouldn't play, allowing you to recruit more upper end talent.

Not trying to be argumentative, but Beamer had like 15 10 win seasons and like 8 in a row (don't hold me to those numbers, I'm too lazy to look them up). Yet people still seem to love to criticize Beamer four years after he is gone (and you have to hand pick data to do that because he took a bad football program that was on probation and turned it into a national power that never sniffed bad off the field press as a program). First it was Beamer couldn't recruit, now that recruiting hasn't really improved it is he couldn't coach. Come on, can't we celebrate a living legend. Sorry, off my soapbox, Go Hokies.

I KNEW I should have put something in there about this. I'm very well aware of Beamer's accomplishments and I think he made us into a football powerhouse at one point. He could absolutely coach, I just think the last couple years he coached though were underperforming years, and not all of that was even on him. I think people started using his age in recruiting against him and there were other things that were going on. I'm only calling into question his last 3 years. You can't tell me he was at the top of his game those last 3 years, that's all I'm saying.

And apparently, even though people were using his age against him in recruiting, Tech still got higher top-end talent than Fuente got.

I would like to remind everyone that there are always multiple reasons why teams win and just as many reasons why teams lose. There were years where injuries to critically important VT players during the season (Michael Brewer's broken clavicle during the OSU game in Blacksburg is an example, but not the only example) were a major factor as to why the team underperformed. If you blame the coach because a key player is lost due to injury and the team did not meet the fan expectations, then it seems to me that you would be willing to fire Saban for Alabama's "failure" this year after Tua's injury.

Coach Beamer was loved and respected by the players, even carrying him off the field in his last game in Lane stadium despite the 3 OT loss to UNC, I don't think he was every criticized for having lost the locker room (admittedly my O&M glasses may be in play for that statement).

He received criticism for predictable play calling (sound familiar anyone?) perhaps justifiably. I will defer to others who are more qualified than myself to evaluate that. However, he was pretty successful with those plays for many years. I think it is unrealistic for many teams to make major changes in the playbook in mid-season even when injuries happen to the key players on the team. He was not perfect but, even in the later years, IMHO he was a Hall of Fame Coach and got the team to ready to play.

Ut Prosim Ad Dei Gloriam