Illinois Hokie's Recent Comments
What a great name.
True story, I thought Elon Musk was a cologne for two years.
Can you even score a 400 on the new SAT? I thought it started at 600.
Never mind. I see now it says math and verbal only.
That's not really the point, though. At least, to me it isn't. The point is, given what we're getting back this season and the development we've seen in the spring, is the 2015 squad going to be at least "one more drive" better than the 2014 squad? It isn't to say that we were better than our record last year, but rather, how much would we have to improve to be five wins better than we were last season? And based on the examples above, the answer is not much.
Totally agree. A field goal inside the 20 is basically losing four points instead of gaining three. But I don't know if Frank sees it that way. Obviously Frank will take the three if we get behind in down and distance, but it sounds and looks like finishing was a big focus this spring and the spring game results look promising.
Late in the game, one of the Hopkins brothers basically suplexed Crompton because he was fighting for yardage after the initial contact. I heard so many Vol fans bitch and moan about that play because it wound up sending Crompton to the hospital after the game.
Still, you should think about trademarking joelestrametrics.
There's a lot of truth to this. Frank had never been bothered with having to punt when the alternative would be a high risk play on a long third down which could result in a short field for our opponents. I think it's wrong when people say Frank doesn't want to score every drive, but he would rather punt than risk a costly turnover. Essentially if we get behind the sticks, he's okay flipping the field and leaning on our defense.
You did the dad thing right, BTW...
This is such a great example. Let's say the Australian government paid for his education in accounting (whether they did or not is irrelevant, let's say they did for this example). That education enabled him to have the skill set to be a ridiculously successful window washer. He made way more than an accountant can make because he went to school to learn accounting. There's no predicting that outcome, but you can't argue that paying for that guy's education doesn't have a significant ROI in a way no one would ever imagine.
I agree that skilled and technical laborers should get free education, but I don't agree they're the only ones who should get a free education. I also don't think that making college free to the student will eliminate unemployment, but I do think that every dollar investec in education (both college and skilled/technical/vocational) will generate more than a dollar's worth of positive economic impact.
Of course there has to be oversight. A sliding scale of financial assistance based on academic performance is a great idea, as is requiring service hours or work within one's chosen field that provides a community service after graduation. Whati don't support is selective financial assistance based on course of study. My father majored in physics and minored in Russian, and he had a very successful career working for a high end office furniture company.
The one restriction, of course, is that it would have to be a public university, so if it's not a degree offered at public universities, you're on your own. That would fairly well eliminate the OP's example of a "money pit" degree, by and large. But outside of that, the best strategy is to let people pursue their passion, whether it be as a welder, an electrical engineer, or a political scientist.
This post specifically illustrates why countries that are moving toward making college education a right are leaving the US in the dust in terms of education. Having students shoulder the financial burden of higher education is not the best model. There are too many factors in the American system that dissuade potential students from pursuing higher education, and punishing them economically if they do. It's a broken system and it's harming this country.
College education is a right we make it a right, and a privelige if we make it a privilege. And if we continue viewing it as a privilege, we're just shooting ourselves in the foot.
Also an illustration of the inherent deceptiveness of "total offense." You can only gain the yards between the line of scrimmage and the end zone. That's why I've always thought percentage of potential yards gained would be a better metric to judge an offense by than the total offense stat. If you get the ball on your own 20 and gain 30 yards before you punt, you've gained 38% of the yards you could have possibly gained. If you get the ball on your opponent's 20 and have a 20 yard touchdown drive, you've gained 100%. You've done everything you could possibly do. But in the total offense stat, that punt at the 50 looks better than the red zone touchdown drive.
Well considering one of our biggest Achilles' heels recently has been red zone execution, seeing multiple short field touchdown drives is encouraging.
Looking at the spring game, what areas are you claiming showed how much room for improvement there still is? The first team offense was efficient on every series. I didn't see any glaring deficiencies given the situation the offense actually faced.

I was just thinking out loud (thinking in text?) anyway. You've piqued my curiosity with this.
Just to get an idea of how much work you have to put into this series, do you have to manually enter each individual play to populate the graph?
Considering they're running away from the program, I assume they're early declarers for the draft.
We only missed the ACCCG in '06 and '09. And we toasted Tennessee in '09, which made up some of the sting of not making the ACCCG in my mind.
I also think Scot is learning how to be an OC. I don't mean Xs and Os, I mean work/life balance. I'm hoping last year was his awakening that burning the candle at both ends takes a toll down the stretch. And hopefully, with his system installed, he doesn't have to work himself to the brink like that again. There's simply no way we were getting his best effort down the stretch simply because he'd taxed himself to the brink.
I'm also curious what actual last second game clenchers look like on the probability graph. BC '07 or GT '10, as an example of devastating and dominating, respectively. Those games had plays at the wire that decided the outcome of the game, but depending on what the probability graph looked like immediately prior those plays, the jump up or down might not have been sufficient to make the list.
LOLUVA's upcoming season:

Sometimes I wonder what you'll talk about if Loeffler's offense is successful.
This is a really interesting way to look at important plays. This type of conversation always focuses on plays that factor into the final outcome. By looking at large swings in in-game win probability we get an entirely different conversation, and some plays that would otherwise be forgotten such as the two above.
This makes me wonder though if certain huge plays would be at a statistical disadvantage in trying to make the conversation. Like Danny Coale's catch vs Nebraska. We were still trailing after that catch was made, so I would bet a play that basically just flipped the field wouldn't really spike our win percentage. Or maybe I'm wrong and I don't understand what formula is used to determine win percentage.
Either way, interesting way to frame the conversation.

Enduring a tad bit of cognitive dissonance over this.
On one hand, recognized as having best pass rush combo in nation...
On the other hand, Bleacher Report...