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Was in Reagan Airport sitting at the bar with the gf. I saw a guy in a hokie shirt and hat looking around for 2 seats together. We were leaving soon, so I flagged him down to give him our spots. Not saying I wouldn't have done it for 2 people wearing some other apparel, but something felt good about giving it to some fellow hokies.

Very true, and I didn't shift the data. I just took the raw numbers in the articles as they were all relatively close to each other in time and was something I could easily calculate.

I did take a look at this about 3 years ago and gathered the 4-5 star totals myself from Rivals data. The trends in the big states and the northern states was the same, as was the per capita figure.

At that time Virginia was a bit "underrated". In states that have fewer players in the NFL, it doesn't take a lot of change in rosters to shift the "discrepancy" calculation. However, the ratings pubs are fairly predictable in terms of their, I'll call them "allocations", to the major clusters of their subscribers.

I like the way things are going now with still grabbing recruits in state, then
looking out of state for guys here and there.

Take Lecitus Smith. I feel like it's worth it to go out of state for a guy like that.

Hope that happens. He's so talented I hope he gets a couple years as the starter.
It's a shame about last year burning the redshirt and I hope he doesn't end up transferring.

that is awesome. I'm so far resisting the urge to click that link because I actually want to get something done today, but wow. charts for the win.

And yet, how are we not winning EVERY world series!?!?

The only school gear (other than VT) that I see consistently throughout my travels is Ohio State. Granted, they have a larger alumni base than us, but they represent very well.

This ensures that nobody from the university takes the stand and that whatever truly happened remains a secret at least for the time being.

Maybe I'm reading this wrong, but it sounds like you're insinuating that a settlement means that university is guilty? Don't forget - in a civil case, the standard of proof is NOT "beyond a reasonable doubt," but just "the preponderance of the evidence." Basically, in a criminal case, the plantiff must prove that the defendant is guilty with ~99% confidence. In a civil case, that number is more like 51%.

Even if this case went perfectly for UT, and the accusations were completely debunked, it would still cost the school far more than $2.5 mil in legal fees. A settlement DOES NOT imply guilt in any way, shape or form.

Another thought I just had is that (if I am understanding the OP's analysis) the data needs to be shifted to reflect the 3-4 year college period. Of the last 5 years of 4-5 star recruits only 2 years worth of the data would be reflected in the NFL numbers, half of the recruits would still be in college. It seems like the recruiting ranking numbers need to include only data from 5-9 years ago to reflect the last 5 years of NFL rosters.

Daveinop, did you shift the data?

This also means the plaintiffs don't have to go through the trial process and all it entails. Humiliting depositions, humiliating discovery, high priced attorneys for UT going through their entire lives including sexual history, interviews of friends and family. Just to get to a trial filled with Tenn people.

Wow, this has me conflicted. On one hand this makes me question how serious the claims were. The settlement, $186,000 after attorney fees (civil and class action lawsuits seem to only help attorneys), makes this feel like pride was the only thing that was hurt. If I was truly exposed to some of the things the plaintiffs claimed, I would want justice for those responsible and to make sure that what happened to me did not happen to others.

On the other hand, I don't know what happened behind the legal curtain, but this could be the best justice the plaintiffs thought they would receive in TN going up against the beloved UT Athletics dept. I am not sure which of the two is worse, but I am struggling not to take a cynical point of view at this point.

Virginia has had some very talented/highly ranked classes in the last few years. Would like to see if these statistics hold true or if the ratings are closer to ground truth.

One thing to consider with this data is the effect of population shifts. OH, PA, and MI have all seen dropping populations for what seems like a decade, thanks to the auto industry manufacturing abroad, while the sun belt states have seen their population increase. The NFL per capita reflects some of these shifts I think and also seems like a better indicator for where to have a higher rate of success in finding talent.

The little disclaimer on stock prospectus' holds here: past performance is not indicative of future results. Fuente and company will have to guess where the recruiting hot beds will be in the future and plan the satellite camps now. I would propose to look at states with the highest NFL players per capita as this would indicate that there is a higher chance of the average player becoming an NFL talent where a state like NY would imply they are under-ranked, but would indicate to me that there are much more exceptions than norms (NYC's large population probably put some skew into the data).

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