Recent Comments

One thing that jumps out at me is the prominence of a feature back. I'm going to exclude QB's here, since we're talking running back rotations. But let's assume that the feature back for each team is set to 100% of the workload and adjust the other backs in relation to the lead back's load, telling us how often a running back is used compared to the workhorse.

VT
Travon - 100% 200 carries
Sam Rogers - 31% 62 carries
JCC - 24% 48 carries
Trey - 24% 47 carries
Memphis
Doroland - 100% 155 carries
Jarvis - 59% 91 carries
Craft - 53% 82 carries
Henderson - 39% 60 carries

I think this is really interesting. Memphis' 4th back got more touches then our 2nd back in relation to the workhorse. The second and third backs got more work than the lead back for memphis, where as our 2nd, 3rd, and 4th backs still got less combined carries then Travon. That seems to suggest that Memphis spread the ball around a lot to their running backs (as we had already predicted), and that even the 4th back will get his shot.

The bigger question is if that distribution is a staple of the scheme, or a reaction to not having a true workhorse.

Jeez this is exactly how I feel right now. My Robust Optimization paper and presentation are about 5% done and they're both due in 24 hours. So I'll probably stay up all night doing anything else.

You need to change how you calculate averages. Cam's run should not throw off the average at all. What you seem to be doing is adding up each back's average then dividing by number of backs. What you really want is to add up the number of yards, add up the number of carries, and divide the former by the latter. That gets you the true yards per carry for each team, which is the number you actually want.

So Memphis' average is 4.3 ypc, while ours is 3.8 ypc

EDIT: Seems many of us had the same thought at the same time

I think that's the first time I've seen Sam Rogers called "Sam". I had no idea who you were talking about.

It's the second mile marker — perhaps you missed the first while yielding onto the highway; it's OK it was hazy in the car

This. This right here. This is quality, skillful TKP-ing. We're in good hands on this site, y'all

Good move for Idaho. If they dominate the FCS they will get more out of football than sucking every year at FBS

Only issue I have with your data is the Total AVG = 6.06 (w/o Cam = 4.42). I was trying to figure out how one 24 yard run changes our entire team average by a yard and half.

For the 6.06, you took the average of the averages. This is a statistic (don't remember the term) but it's not the correct statistic for what you're trying to represent. The Team Total AVG should be (2070 yards / 545 carries = ) 3.80 yards/carry. Without Cam's run would be (2046/544) = 3.76 yards/carry.

Otherwise, thanks for the information. Very informative.

One thing I noticed at the spring game, in 80(ish) plays we went 3-and-out twice. (maybe 3 times, but the last one would have been at the very end). That seems like a low number compared to our previous offense. I don't have the data but I'm willing to bet our offense went 3-and-out far more frequently than once every 40 plays.

You want to open up our state for everyone else to use, fine.... We'll annex the rest of the commonwealth, setting up permanent shop in every major recruiting hotbed and take it to the extreme. Oh, you don't like it, tough shit, NCAA, you had your chance.

I think they're willing to bet that we won't go overboard with our extremely modest recruiting and athletic budget.

Fuck it, you're going to come and try to poach ours, we'll double down on poaching yours

You need to get over this "our state our recruits" mentality. There is no ours and yours. Recruits aren't owed to their states and out of state schools aren't being dicks by approaching them.

For a site that continually wants a greater presence nationally, I don't understand why people here wanted the ban. This is nothing but good for exposure

rotations can work certainly but both play design and use of the rotation must be at the opportune times and I think we whiffed on that the last few years.

also for the collective stats id still divide the total yardage by the number of carries giving us a number at 3.79 ypc and memphis 4.29. That half a yard is HUGE. I expect to see improvement in our running game, I also see the running backs having more chances to make plays as we wont be 3 and out every other drive

Michigan was following the rules.

If that scenario you just described is within the rules and affordable within the football/athletic budget VT 100% should be doing that. I have a hard time getting upset at Michigan because they found a flaw in the rules and exploited it better (or more aggressively) then everyone else. The ACC shouldn't have had a ban to begin with

EDIT: what he said^

I think French has said that he expects our running game to improve under the new coaching staff. If the running game appears to be productive that will keep fans quiet for the most part I suspect.

Pages