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And quite frankly,

Pun intended? Sure hope so.

while there are no sure bets in this coaching market, he's the closest one to it out there right now.

Spot on. There are no sure bets. You make the best choice you can based on the information available. We have nearly two decades of data on James Franklin.

And quite frankly, while there are no sure bets in this coaching market, he's the closest one to it out there right now. If you don't think he can do it for us, there is nobody out there who can.

Last time I heard this we hired Justin Fuente.

Nothing is guaranteed. Nothing. That's why I'm not comfortable chasing Franklin, who will demand a salary that would inhibit our ability to hire top flight coordinators.

At the end of the day, you and I are both just keyboard warriors with little knowledge of what's actually happening in the coaching search. I hope that by new years we'll know who our coach is. I think it's more likely than not that the new coach will be neither Franklin nor Chesney.

We'll spend the rest of the off season dissecting the hire every which way and convincing ourselves that it was either the best possible hire or the worst possible hire but we won't really know until 2029.

And 90% of the time the 'ceiling' is bullshit. For the longest time there was wide belief within coaching that Andy Reid's ceiling was what he accomplished with McNabb and the Eagles. And now he has 3 Lombardi trophies to his name after being fired in Philly and more success elsewhere.

I'm not saying that Franklin is guaranteed to win a Natty, but Penn St wasn't willing to give him a legitimate long-term chance. Less than 12 months ago the PSU program hit their high water mark over the last 30 years, and they fired him because they think they can do better. It would be like VT giving into the ridiculous pressure at the time and firing Frank in 2003 after he smacked a player in the helmet on the sidelines and lost to UVa at the end of the year.

Which coach out there is winning all these games against top 5 teams that isn't already locked into an absurd deal?

It's not about who has won these games, it's about who could. Because they know that James Franklin cannot.

I"m convinced that PSU should go after Fran Brown. He'll keep up the recruiting. He calls games well. See where it goes.

Us bringing in Franklin would be betting on him to get us into the P2. At the end of the day, that is the goal of the hire. Everything we are setting up from the BoV agreements to the football oversight team to the GM that the coach essentially hires is tailor made for someone like Franklin to come in and run this program as he sees fit to get us there. And the kicker is, Penn St is contractually obligated to make up the difference between whatever salary we give him and the $8m he was making through the end of the decade. We actually have less chance to become coach-poor because of that offset clause than with most of the other guys we'll be considering. And if our bet pays off, we would likely be in the P2 by the time the offset clause lifts and we'd have enough cashflows to make up the difference.

And quite frankly, while there are no sure bets in this coaching market, he's the closest one to it out there right now. If you don't think he can do it for us, there is nobody out there who can.

I think CFB fans never want to hire someone who's ceiling is known. If you hire an unknown coach, you have no idea what his ceiling is. If you're LSU poaching BK from ND, you can convince yourself that with increased talent, BK could take you to a Natty. But if you hire Franklin, you're acknowledging that you're never going to win a natty.

Some VT fans are at peace with that. Most are not.

t is Franklin not able to beat teams with similar or superior talent. He will not have top talent here at VT. If he is going against teams with similar talent as what VT has, will he be able to beat NC State, Wake Forest, Pitt, etc.? Maybe, but I'm skeptical. And that is not even thinking about beating Miami, FSU, Clemson, etc., which I am highly skeptical he can beat.

I know that UF/UGA were down when he was at Vandy, but those teams still had more stars and talent than his Vandy team ever did, and he got wins there.

Probably all a moot point anyway as it seems really unlikely he'll be here anyway.

I tend to agree

My initial reaction is that if Franklin gets hired, my view of the team would be similar to how it was under Frank.

Very Confident: we beat the teams we're supposed to.
Confident: we routinely beat the mediocre conference/OOC teams.
Coin flip: we beat a 15-25 ranked team.
Hopeful: we get a Top 10 win.

I don't care about the Top 10 record, I'm familiar with not winning Top 10 games and football was fun as shit even when we were losing those.

Give me this mentality back.

Realistically, we aren't good enough for him. If he's at all interested, thank our lucky stars for it and give him whatever the hell he wants to come here and be our head coach.

See this is exactly my point. I don't think he'd come here and for him to even consider it he'd demand a big paycheck. I'm afraid we'd make ourselves coach poor by hiring him and I'm not certain that he'd find the same sort of success he's enjoyed elsewhere. It's not guaranteed. The only guarantee is that we'd spend a ton of money for him. I don't subscribe to throwing tons of money at a coach for work that hasn't been done yet. And there's lots of work that needs doing at VT.

How sorry would we be to throw everything at Franklin only to have him go 22-17 in 3 years?

I think Franklin would be an excellent fit at Florida.

I could also see Florida being delusional enough to pass on him thinking they will get someone better.

With the way that Florida and Franklin both recruit, I can see him there without any problem. Florida fans are delusional enough to believe that their talent level would let Franklin win those big games.

I agree that having UF open again, and PSU and FSU hurt but at the same time, Napier wasn't going to fix VT so who cares who Florida picks. FSU hired Willie Taggart and a man who did well following Justin Fuente. I'm not sure they will make a good choice that impacts us. PSU might get some one that is terrible recruiting NoVa so that could be a plus. Who knows what's going to happen. Those programs have just as many issues when trying to find a coach as we have and they don't have a great track record.

Our NIL budget is competitive, that's one of the very few things we do well, and one of the reasons we had quite a few good players come in over the last couple years (though, we still missed the mark in making it a complete team, but that's a whole other topic).

You give Franklin the keys to this program in this region and he'll dominate it in recruiting. No other qualifications needed, the James Franklin name itself has legitimacy in this region and pairing it with Virginia Tech would supercharge our ability to recruit in our own region. As you said, he was able to recruit at Vandy before Penn St, you damn well know he'd be able to recruit to VT.

At the end of the day, Franklin was a FG away from being in the National Championship Game this year and he was fired 10 months later because of 3 losses. Penn St made a giant mistake they are most likely going to regret for a very long time, and we should be throwing whatever it takes to bring him in here. If you're looking for someone to come in and immediately raise the floor and push our ceiling back up to where it was under Beamer, this is who you hire. If you're hellbent on making sure your profile is that of a school routinely participating in big games, driving national hype and positioning yourself to be highly sought after when the ACC implodes, James Franklin is your guy. Sure, there might be other guys out there who might be better, there might be other guys out there that might have a higher ceiling, but Franklin has proven his abilities at historically worse schools in tougher conferences than what we are and where we are now. He would immediately have us annually contending for the ACC title. We would routinely be in the mix for the playoffs, and would routinely be ranked. Our steady state would be where it was under Beamer before the downturn.

We should consider ourselves lucky to ever routinely get back to the point that Franklin would most likely have us playing at within 2 years if we hired him. In fact, its insulting to him to even consider that he isn't good enough for us. Realistically, we aren't good enough for him. If he's at all interested, thank our lucky stars for it and give him whatever the hell he wants to come here and be our head coach.

the floor at VT is phenomenally low at the moment. I think any coach would raise it. It's just a question of by how much. And then there's the ceiling to consider too. In the age of NIL, I wonder how any coach will do recruiting to VT with our pretty modest war chest. Franklin has recruited well at Penn State but how much of that is him vs PSU recruiting itself? He recruited well at Vandy but that was BEFORE NIL - are things different now? I don't know.

I think Franklin would probably do okay here. I'm fairly confident he'd raise the floor (again, though, not hard to do) but I don't think he raises the ceiling by that much. I don't think hiring him guarantees us 9+ wins and that seems to be what pro-Franklin fans on TKP think he would do. Could he? Maybe. I think it's just as likely that he completely falls apart when he doesn't have the talent that he's used to. And in order to get him here, we'd have to spend a pretty penny on him. I just don't think it's worth it. I'd much rather pay less for a younger G5 guy who has done well with the resources he's had at previous stops. Pry's biggest mistake right off the bat was hiring two completely green coordinators as a first time head coach. I'd rather have a guy with HC experience, albeit at a lower level, who can hire experienced coordinators with a larger budget for staffing because we don't have to pay the head whistle an arm and a leg just to get him here. I don't think chasing big names and paying tons of money to a guy who won perennially at a blue-blood program is the path to success for VT. I think you make the same pitch you would to Franklin (easy path to the playoff, etc.) but to a younger up-and-comer who wants to make a name for himself. If a guy like Bob Chesney wants to win a national championship in his career, VT is a great place for him to get P4 HC experience with a relatively easy path to the playoff. Win 10+ games and the ACCCG and you're pretty much in the big dance. He doesn't even have to win it here - but he could use a playoff run at VT as a springboard to a blue-blood program that will provide him with all the resources he'd need to go and win a championship.

At this point, I'd love for the next coach to be able to get VT to the promised land and win a championship here but that just seems incredibly unlikely. At the very least, I'd gladly take a coach who can elevate our station en route to a bigger job for himself. If we're getting big-dogged by some blue-blood that would be an improvement over where we are. Nobody has been knocking down our doors trying to take any of our coaches for a long time. We need to get back to that. I think then it would mean that we're better than we are right now. I'd take that for the next 5-10 years.

Complaining that Franklin can't win the big game is missing the forest for the trees. As you're implying right now, Virginia Tech has played in maybe 3 or 4 legitimately 'big' games since Beamer retired. Right now, it would be a significant step in the right direction just to be involved in any big games. To pretend that he isn't good enough for us shows a complete lack of awareness on where we are right now.

This isn't the early 2000s anymore, we haven't been nationally relevant in a decade.

I get what each one is saying. Here's how I view Franklin and to do so by referencing your comments above....

Agreed, he, like so many others (most), and just like Frank, can't win the big games - Top 5.

However, he should be a top candidate to stop VT from losing to ODU, JMU, Temple, Wake, BC, on a contual basis, thus giving us the consistenct opportunity to make our conference championship game and be competitive. Thus winning some to make the NC playoffs.

I believe we can print this ticket with Franklin as our coach.

And though it sucked that Frank couldn't get us "over the himp" on those big games, the Frank Beamer run was awesome and exciting before the last few seasons.

I will gladly take a Beamer and Franklin scenario today so we can make the next hire to the truly elite coaching level vs going the complacency route that was the root of all evil that has led us to where we are today (learn from our past mistakes).

Unfortunately, I also agree to an extent, that we are not on or will be on his radar this hiring cycle.

It's not that I'll be angry if he is hired at VT. But I'm skeptical of his ability to win here.

We know Franklin is not a good on-the-sidelines coach. Okay, you don't have to be if you have top coordinators with you. Will we be able to afford him and top coordinators? Maybe, but far from guaranteed.

Franklin pretty much never winning a big game is not just a matter of Franklin not able to beat top teams. Lots of coaches have terrible records against top 10 teams. What was Beamer's? It is Franklin not able to beat teams with similar or superior talent. He will not have top talent here at VT. If he is going against teams with similar talent as what VT has, will he be able to beat NC State, Wake Forest, Pitt, etc.? Maybe, but I'm skeptical. And that is not even thinking about beating Miami, FSU, Clemson, etc., which I am highly skeptical he can beat.

Franklin is a great recruiter. Well, he was a great recruiter at Penn State with all that money and history. Will that ability translate to VT? Maybe. That he was able to do it at Vanderbilt is promising - and I did not realize his recruitment there was good/vastly elevated over the past, so thank you for highlighting that. But I still don't think he'll be anywhere near as good recruiting to VT as to Penn State.

He sure comes across as a whiney brat and a fake tough guy with the pretending to want to attack the fans and he gets past them and has guards between them. Is that cherry-picking items? Maybe. I have not followed him closely, but have seen enough to give me pause. If he wins, that's all okay. But who knows if he will.

And, I freely admit this, I just detest Penn State and he just gives me an icky feel. Especially after how the last Penn State hire went. Yeah, I know, I'm being irrational on this last point. If we hired someone from University X at the office and they were terrible it does not mean the next person from here will be terrible unless there is some reason to assume a pattern, but I just get the, 'ugh' feel from him.

Probably all a moot point anyway as it seems really unlikely he'll be here anyway.

Yeah, but his great grandkids will be set for life after he is fired from Florida. His kids and grandkids are already set from being fired at Penn State.

Frankly, I think hiring Shane would be worse than hiring some unknown

VT needs a reboot - not some legacy coach with deep ties to the program. If we hire Shane we'll win 6 games next year and everyone will be patting him on the back because it's an improvement and then we'll extend his contract for another 4 years and he'll fail to win 10 games a single time. VT will be skipped over when the ACC implodes and we'll be stuck in football purgatory for the rest of our lives.

DO NOT HIRE SHANE.

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