OT: Coronavirus Tracking Thread Part II

By: VTFootballGrad on February 10, 2020, 10:40 AM | 8 comments

The other thread was having trouble loading at times.

Here is the GIS Map with real-time data.

Forums:

Off Topic

DISCLAIMER: Forum topics may not have been written or edited by The Key Play staff.

Comments

VTFootballGrad | 6 years 4 months #

The coronavirus outbreak is creating a hockey stick shortage. https://t.co/4wW0mFzJSx— Axios (@axios) February 10, 2020

Alum07

🦃 LEG KING 🦃



| 6 years 4 months # ^

Not the end of the world. These new composite sticks suck ass anyway

Egbert

BEER



| 6 years 4 months #

I just heard an interview on NPR with an expert from Johns Hopkins that said China is short on the resources to test suspected cases and so they are only testing the worse cases.

This implies that the actual number of cases are quite understated, I would think.

hokiebuzz

🥓🥓🥓



| 6 years 4 months # ^

That could also mean that the percentage of fatalities is much higher than what the death incidence truly is if only the bad cases are being tested.

The flip side of the coin is there are likely deaths not being counted as China doesn't have time nor resources for autopsies to confirm if the death was due to coronavirus.

Chazz Michael Michaelzz



| 6 years 4 months #

Here's a really good read on modeling the outbreak: Science Mag

Bottom line:

The take home message from this R analysis is that countries other than China still have a good chance of containing 2019-nCoV. "Early on in an outbreak, you can take advantage of the fact that there's this probability of the thing fading out," Thompson says. "And if you can isolate the few infected people you have very quickly, then the probability of this fading out is much higher."

R is the rate of transmission.