Recent Comments

I don't know about the rest of you, but I'm going nuts looking for where we're getting more linemen this year before we run out of scholarships (or as the lady in the hamburger commercial used to say "where's the beef ?"). Any Ideas ?

Texas will lookout for Texas.

Of course. But the governor and the legislature have the final say, just as we saw in VA.

I think while this is a fair warning and reminder, I wouldn't fault Eshiben5 for giving fair warning on what it could look like. Better to be over prepared as opposed to underprepared keeping in mind that the forecast will adjust constantly.

Yep, Isabelle. That was a crazy game. I have never been so drenched in my life. Granted, the remnants of Isabelle that we got in Blacksburg that year I don't believe will be on the same level as what we're looking at this weekend, if the storm stays on course.

Also, for those asking, wind speed probabilities (hurricane-force, 50 knot, and tropical storm-force) are also provided by the NHC here.

And also, don't discount observation and conversation, with surf anglers usually being pretty friendly and informative as long as you aren't crowding them. Local knowledge is invaluable. It is easy to just see the surf and not know the difference between here and there. French's tips are spot on, as usual, but a little shameless imitation is always a great way to cut to the chase and flatten the learning curve. Don't forget to report when you return, please.

Just want to give a note of caution here - Saturday/Sunday is a VERY long time away forecast-wise for this storm. Average forecast errors from the National Hurricane Center result in a possible landfall and/or worst effects, anywhere from Florida to the Outer Banks to none at all (out to sea).

Average strength errors (with consideration to the possible tracks of the storm) result in a spread of storm strength anywhere from strong tropical storm to major hurricane upon landfall and/or interaction with land.

At this point I strongly discourage any concrete changing of plans and reliance on forecasts like the above - but it is important to note that those in the possible path of the storm (again, anywhere from Florida to the Outer Banks to the Tidewater area) should be prepared with plans to stay safe.

eshiben5, this is not meant as a slight towards you - I really enjoy your gametime forecasts! I do think that specific forecasts 4 to 5 days before storm effects take place is jumping the gun way too early. After all, the model ensembles just took a major shift yesterday, bringing the consensus track significantly shifted towards the coast. There is still a lot of time for more significant changes in model consensus and ultimately actual storm track.

Those who may possibly be affected should keep a close eye on the NHC's forecasts available here (click on the Hurricane Matthew icon on the map), and NHC discussion of hurricane forecasts available here.

This.

Don't want to toot my #sauces horn too much, but my understanding is that Buzz didn't give anyone the time of day last spring.

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