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Hanes Empanada

Let's consider the hurricane factor. I think, schematically, it plays into our favor. A lot of folks are saying that if UNC can complete passes over press coverage than they should win. Bud is going to limit passes over the middle, and short yardage success. High velocity, long passes being slung in rain falling at a rate to accumulate 2" by games end, limiting visibility, and grip are going to be harder to complete. If the consensus is that UNC needs those completions to win, then I feel the Weather is going to impact that in our favor.

Moreover, UNC's Defense is reported as being weak against the run. That is the best method of attack during this type of weather. I think we looked good in the run vs BC. We didn't run the same speed option plays so much against ECU, so I don't think it is apples to apples comparison between those games. That is evidence that our Offense can scheme against a defense. I know that BYE week practice was focused on Zone blocking and the run game. We all know that we came out of the BYE ranked so we must have done something right...right?

I hope we can see the same success in the run as we had vs BC. That opened play action pass. It was a really strong offensive game plan against a good defense. If we can do that again, well that is just going to make this weather situation that much worse for UNC.

oh, well that covers it.

St Augustine checking in...blessed and thankful to be safe and dry. We have a generator, portable A/C, and food, and no apparent damage

We decided to stay even though we were in Zone B...I know.

I would guess we had a 3 to 4 foot surge here. We are across the street from a tidal marsh but the house is new and built and elevated above code.

Water made it to the yard but didn't threaten the house

Our big tees are also still standing...not sure how. Some big limbs down close by and a tree or two

Neighbors not so fortunate. Next door house flooded as did the car they left behind. wished I'd had his keys

May not see the game. Counting on y'all to take up slack

I'm with you...I'm on board with #firepetemorris

he basically says Foster can't stop their offense

Bingo. If someone insults my mama, I can shake it off...but insult Bud? He deserves what he gets. :)

further compounded by the fact Florida now has Torian Gray

Mike Perrin says there is "no magic number" when it comes to a decision on Charlie Strong." Did like the sound of 8 wins, though. #hookem— Cedric Golden (@CedGolden) October 7, 2016

So, 8 wins? No, not really, but yes, probably.

To be fair, I think most of the chest-thumping was in response to Andrew's answer to the final question. Up to that point, he's broken down UNC's performance with some pretty good detail. (And, as you mentioned, in his own free time.) And then when Joey asks him for a prediction, that kind of goes off the rails a little bit. I think it's comments like this that raised some hackles around here:

As great as Foster is at what he does, I don't see the Tar Heels slowing down much offensively.

Okay. Why? Is there something Andrew sees in Foster's defense that makes him think Fedora and Trusbisky can exploit it? Because despite all the in depth analysis Andrew has provided up to this point, here he just comes across as throwing shade.

It would be one thing if Andrew had said, "I see UNC coming out on top," and left it at that. But instead he basically says Foster can't stop their offense, and then turns around and says the UNC D will be ready for VT because of the offense the Tarheels run. All that after the "unless Miami just never loses" comment that, regardless of Andrew's intent, comes across as saying that if UNC is going to drop a Coastal game, it wouldn't be to VT. Those are baited comments, and some people responded only to them and not to any of the (quality) analysis.

Granted, not everyone articulated the reasons why we disagree with Andrew's assessment, but you already published a pretty good summation of that in French's analysis of UNC.

Facts could change my mind. But I just haven't read many. Just lots of complaints about tactics that seemed to make no sense at the time but ended up working out pretty well. Which is pretty much what I think is going to happen here.

And this is one of the reasons I think something else is under discussion/consideration. When everybody (ACC and others) is either at or moving to some variation of a 10 game P5 schedule, the only logical explanation for staying at 8+1 is that it's not the final word.

Contrary to what the anti-Swofford crowd always falls back on rationalize their complaints, Swofford has generally led the league in a direction that makes it more stable and strong - and since 2004 he generally operates in radio silence with a little misdirection thrown in for good measure while doing so (which frustrates the hell out of the armchair commissioners).

Good point. Just hope they've stayed hungry.