Recent Comments

cfbstats.com is about the best site I've found, and even they don't track average down and distance. I'll look for other options though.

I'm wondering if we're getting redundant with yards per play, though. On the average, once you have hit an acceptable sample size, it's a fair bet that a team that averages 5 yards per play would on average face a second and five, a third and short, and would face lower than the median number of third downs.

It's a balance picking stats to use, because at some point you get focused enough that you're just watching the whole game on paper. I don't necessarily think that's what you're suggesting, I just want to make sure I'm not following the same start three different ways.

Lemme do some research and see if what you're suggesting is practical.

Just curious... his contract seemed incentive laden.... was lining him up elsewhere on the first play and thus have him not start a way for the Bills to manage their salary spend?

When I first saw it, I thought he had a cut down basketball net around his neck. I was like "Ok, so he won the game and THEN the NCAA tournament??? Awesome!!!"

I think last minute heartbreakers hurt bad for a few days, but then when you have time to analyze things you realize that you're at least close. A good old fashioned a$$ kicking leaves you with that feeling of "good God we suck" for long after the game is over.

Haha touch. There's got to be a stat source out there that tracks down and distance for every play, or maybe I'm just being hopeful...

I agree with all of those points, plus 1 game..vs. Furman? I think we should hold off before jumping on that particular hype train. Not that I don't believe that TM can be special, but he still needs to prove it over a few games against better competition.

No baseline or presumptions about what "acceptable" improvement would look like, just a stastitics-driven presentation of this season vs. the same point in last season. Then, perhaps at the end of the year, trends over the course of the season might become apparent that are lost when taking "season as a whole" stats.

Just a fun way to look at the data. Do with what I present as you will.

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