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I said "and then wins out" for a reason.
I think both Miami and us could beat them. But I also think FSU would be a favorite in both of those situations. It's not unreasonable at all to think that if they get by Clemson they win out.
Hovering right over 50% for the season, I need a big week to move the needle in the right direction. Not sure this is going to be the week, though...
Louisville (I'll bite. Again. Hope Lousiville doesn't let me down this week.)
Florida (Keep waiting for Mizzou to lose. Don't love a Florida pick here, but love Mizzou less, I guess)
Stanford (Can't get the image of 9 angry O-linemen out of my head. I think they roll here)
Auburn (Will go with BCO here on the strength of the argument regarding A&M's weak D)
Washington (My weekly toss up. No reason here. Just a mental coin flip)
Clemson (FSU may be better, overall. But tough to go against #3 in the nation as a home dog)
MRSDOZER:
UCF - "i don't think they'll win by 12.5"
Mizzou - "mizzou to win"
Stanford - "sure"
Auburn - "i think 12.5 is too many points again... so no"
Arizona State - "i guess i'll say yes"
Clemson - and i think i have to go home field advantage - clemson to win
you really think they'll beat miami twice? (assuming we lose to miami)
you really think we can't beat FSU? (assuming we beat miami)
If FSU wins this week and then wins out, they probably make the NCG.
Listen, I'm sure he's a great person but as a coach, he's not for me. Its in my Hokie DNA, give me the old school guy that wants to run the ball down your throat and suffocate you with defense over the cheerleader jumping around and screaming for attention like a rap video hype man (no disrespect to Flava Flav).
Dabo does win the battle of cooler arch rival though. Head Ball Coach > Head Ball Cop. (Full disclosure, my wife is a Gamecock)
It's too bad FSU is gonna upset them this weekend :(
looks like another year w/out a Championship berth for the ACC
Clemson has the best resume of anyone in the country right now, and a win against a Top 5 FSU team only significantly improves it. It would be hard to keep them on the outside looking in if they run the table, and even if they end up with one-loss but somehow still win the ACC they probably have a decent shot.
Turkey legs for all the guitarists!
I won't be able to make it, but I do have a suggestion for some of the donations - the NRV Women's Resource Center. My girlfriend did a lot of work with them when we were at Tech and said that they always are running low on supplies. They provide services (including feeding and temporarily housing) women and children who are victims of domestic or sexual violence. It's currently Domestic Violence Awareness Month and in the light of the Adrian Peterson tragedy, I think it's important to take a look at helping a place like this. I know all charities and food banks need donations too, just wanted to throw out the idea.
http://www.wrcnrv.org/howYouCanHelp/do_neededitems.shtml
Major items they need: canned/non-perishable food, 13 gallon trash bags, toilet paper, batteries, flashlights, etc.
I can also get ya'll set up with someone to pick stuff up and take it to the WRC in Radford if needed so nobody has to make the trip.
Disagree that the ACC won't make it to the NCG without everybody else having one loss. Clemson could very well do it this year. If they run the table, I think they have a better argument than any team in the country not named Alabama. Beat #5 UGA, #6 FSU, and top 10 USCe. I would actually be disappointed if they ran the table and were excluded. That's a better resume than Oregon and Ohio State will have even if they are undefeated and the computers will recognize that. I have a feeling that when the BCS rankings are released Sunday, whoever wins the Clemson/FSU game will be ranked 2nd and Ohio State will be sitting around 4 or 5 because the computers are pulling them down.
Thank you, sir. If I ever find the time, I will look into that. Sounds like it could make for an interesting read.
So are the backboards. They are only fiberglass, after all.
Awesome job. Really impressed with this approach. Only thing I would love to have seen was in the section you put the 2013 by game ratings if you could have put the stats that went with it next to them. A guy might have been 100 but he may have only seen two targets. Just gives us a better idea of the game to game impact that each receiver had. Also would be great to see a section with the receivers in 2013 listed by total targets along with their ranking to see if the game plan is leading Logan to throw to his more efficient receivers or not.
Yeah its a long shot..most schools don't play the two time champs bc they don't want to have that one loss. I tend to wish we had played another top 15 team instead.
Thanks for catching that. It's a possibility, but I don't think UCLA has a shot at Oregon or Stanford at all. I think the bigger threat out of the Pac12 is the Ducks and Trees. Hard to see both of them having two losses at the end of the year.
UCF
Mizzou
Stanford
Texas A&M
Washington
Clemson...I really fucking hate picking Clipsun, but they're on that Bolivian Marching Powder.
Until the media frenzy over the SEC and a couple of other teams ends (Oregon, OSU, etc) the only way ANY team from the ACC makes in into the NCG is by being undefeated and everybody else having 1 loss.
But I am going to enjoy our Hokie team no matter where we end up. But first take care of business against Duke.
Zach, if you have the patience and interest to carry out this type of project I recommend you read the Sartin Methodology, specifically Tom Brohamer's work on pace in horse races. You would probably love it if you could find the time on the side. There is money to be made. Still can't get over how awesome this post is.
Well maybe we will see where he stands this weekend, as he likely will be up in a starting role for the Packers due to injury. I hope he has a great game.
Very cool article. Thanks for the post.
They currently have four teams in the AP Top 25 (Oregon, UCLA, Stanford, Washington) and Oregon and UCLA are undefeated so far. They won't meet until the Pac12 championship game so if they both go in undefeated, say goodbye to the other national championship game slot.
Oregon and UCLA play on the 26th. I think UCLA drops the next 2 games (Stanford and Oregon), Stanford beats Oregon, and UCLA gets revenge on Stanford in the Championship game. At least that's what I hope happens.
Definitely, he deserves at least three years of his own players. Meanwhile, hopefully Weaver is saving the half million dollar a year salary difference between Greenburg and Johnson for spending on a new coach if Johnson doesn't work out.
I probably can, he does make house calls.
But last time I tailgated with Big Dan, he brought a bowling ball and pins (only 8 of them) and tried to bowl in the parking lot. He was sipping what he called "polyjuice potion" out of a flask (we later found out it was absinthe and MDMA) and he disappeared into Stadium Woods before the game. Showed up in the stands about midway through the third quarter with blood all over him and when I asked him what happened, he just gave me dirty look and said "Attorney-Client privilege, bro." So, just be warned, he goes hard in the paint.
At least two of those teams have a good chance to end up with two losses. aTm and Auburn play this week (both one loss), and LSU still has to play aTm and Bama. Plus, aTm still faces Mizzou and Auburn still has to play Georgia.